Turkey vs Iceland prediction (Over/Under)

I was tracking this match recently. Turkey -0.75 odds were at around 2.05 last night and bookies offer 1.85 now. Everton striker Tosun got injured last night and only Yilmaz left in squad but he doesn't take regular time on his team due to the injuries. Rest of team is very talented on midfielder and wings position as Under from Roma, Calhanoglu from Milan and maestro Emre from Fenerbahce. We should understand that there is also maths in this group stages. Players have this in mind. Turkey is 19, France is 19 and Iceland has 15 points. A draw will also bring Turkey Euro 2020 ticket but they also want leadership to be in the first spot at Euro 2020. Turkey got only defeat to Iceland in this group stage and they have been meeting on the last 4 years. Iceland will have important missing player, playmaker Gunnarsson got injured in Qatar. He takes all set pieces and throw ins. They found the goal against Turkey from throwin and a corner kick. Therefore, it is huge miss for them. They obvious say that want to stop Turkey getting 3 points. Their physical level is tough and Turkey got struggle to find tough defence against Andorra and Albania recently. I expect that Iceland will make strong defense at first half and Turkey knows 1 point is also enough for them. Therefore, Turkey has no chance to play risky game at first half. 0-0 half time is very logical to me and with strong home support, we might see goals on second half. Low scoring game is appealing to me.