Luxembourg vs Slovakia (Asian Handicap) prediction

Luxembourg will host Slovakia today in a game that counts for Euro 2016 Qualifying games. Slovakia lost a few days ago at home against Belarus 0-1, so the game against Luxembourg is now very important for them as they have to win to secure their place in the group. Luxembourg has the worst defense in the group conceeding 23 goals in 9 matches ,they have and only one win ,a draw and 7 losses but still they are not bottom of the group , Macedonia played even worse then them. For Slovakia this is a must win game and im sure that they will get all 3 points tonight , i will bet on their victory with -1.0 handicap as i see value in it , Slovakia won 3-0 the game played at home agaonst Luxembourg , i expect a similar result today.