Denis Kudla vs Ivo Karlovic prediction

First of all, this is not their best surfaces court for them, but still a fast clay surfaces though so I see Karlovic with his big serve has plus point. Kudla had 8-2 wins and 81/53 record in clay during his career, while Karlovic had 4-6 wins and 75/83 clay record; their H2H record so far is 2-2. By such stats Denis Kudla put as favorite. I disagree with market though but I will go to safer option and back over 25 games since this clash possibly have tie a break in any set and very likely ends in 3 sets.