tennis / Challenger Men - Singles / Milan (Italy) - Qualification, Clay
28.06.2026 08:20
M. Donald
2 - 0
L. Potenza
Finished
M. Donald vs L. Potenza Predictions
Match Winner
BTR Win ProbabilityM. Donald
57%57%43%
1M. Donald57%2L. Potenza43%
Confidence66%Best odds1.66Bookmakers10
Prediction Summary56.9% implied probability from 10 bookmakers
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.60-1.69 odds range shows 58.6% wins from 74,312 settled tipster picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Tennis tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.5% from 4,790 predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: in Tennis, published picks on 1st player win in Match Winner Full Match within the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 62.9% from 558 settled predictions
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 56.0% wins from 62,506 settled market tests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 56.1% from 20,443 backtests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows 1st player win in Match Winner Full Match using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range winning 49.7% from 503 settled outcomes.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1M. Donald
Opening1.60
↑
Current1.63
Drifted1.9%
2L. Potenza
Opening2.21
↓
Current2.16
Dropped2.4%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while M. Donald is the market favorite:
- For 2nd player win in Match Winner Full Match in the 2.10-2.19 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 46.8% / lost 53.2% from 216 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 48.7% / lost 51.3% from 298 settled market-outcome tests.
1st Set Winner
BTR Win ProbabilityM. Donald
55%55%45%
1M. Donald55%2L. Potenza45%
Confidence57%Best odds1.69Bookmakers5
Prediction Summary55.2% implied probability from 5 bookmakers
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.60-1.69 odds range shows 58.6% wins from 74,312 settled tipster picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis picks at published odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.5% from 4,790 settled predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis tipsters taking 1st player win in Match Winner 1st Set at prices in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 64.3% from 14 settled picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 56.0% wins in the 1.60-1.69 odds range from 62,506 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 56.1% from 20,443 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows 1st player win in Match Winner 1st Set using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range winning 53.8% from 498 settled outcomes.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1M. Donald
Opening1.67
↑
Current1.68
Drifted0.8%
2L. Potenza
Opening2.11
↓
Current2.07
Dropped1.7%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while M. Donald is the market favorite:
- For 2nd player win in Match Winner 1st Set in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 47.8% / lost 52.2% from 23 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 59.0% / lost 41.0% from 266 settled market-outcome tests.
Total Match Sets (Over/Under)
BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 2.562%OpenClose
38%62%
Over2.538%Under2.562%
Confidence57%Best odds1.52Bookmakers3
Prediction Summary61.7% implied probability from 3 bookmakers
- Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.7% from 50,692 settled records
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis picks at published odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.6% from 3,021 settled predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive shows Under in Over/Under Total Sets Full Match priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range winning 65.9% from 129 settled tipster picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 64.2% wins in the 1.40-1.49 odds range from 55,193 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 64.8% from 13,657 backtests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows Under in Over/Under Total Sets Full Match using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range winning 67.9% from 1,073 settled outcomes.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Over2.5
Opening2.42
↓
Current2.41
Dropped0.4%
Under2.5
Opening1.49
→
Current1.49
No move0.0%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 2.5 is the market favorite:
- For Over in Over/Under Total Sets Full Match in the 2.40-2.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 40.0% / lost 60.0% from 65 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 35.1% / lost 64.9% from 385 settled market-outcome tests.
Total Match Games (Over/Under)
BTR Win ProbabilityOver 2058%OpenClose
58%42%
Over2058%Under2042%
Confidence53%Best odds1.63Bookmakers1
Prediction Summary57.8% implied probability from 1 bookmakers
- odds dropped by 0.6% on average
- Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 58.6% from 74,312 settled records
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive priced in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 59.5% wins from 4,790 settled picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis tipsters taking Over in Over/Under Total Games Full Match at prices in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 56.4% from 133 settled picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 56.0% wins in the 1.60-1.69 odds range from 62,506 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 56.1% from 20,443 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows Over in Over/Under Total Games Full Match using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range winning 0.0% from 2,962 settled outcomes.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Over20
Opening1.64
↓
Current1.63
Dropped0.6%
Under20
Opening2.25
↓
Current2.23
Dropped0.9%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 20 is the market favorite:
- For Under in Over/Under Total Games Full Match in the 2.20-2.29 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 42.9% / lost 57.1% from 28 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 100.0% / lost 0.0% from 1,251 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 2254%OpenClose
46%54%
Over2246%Under2254%
Confidence54%Best odds1.72Bookmakers3
Prediction Summary54.4% implied probability from 3 bookmakers
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.70-1.79 odds range shows 55.4% wins from 112,200 settled tipster picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Tennis tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.0% from 6,017 predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive shows Under in Over/Under Total Games Full Match priced in the 1.70-1.79 odds range winning 54.8% from 221 settled tipster picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 52.8% from 72,816 backtested outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 53.8% from 23,397 backtests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Tennis, Under in Over/Under Total Games Full Match tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 100.0% from 4,347 outcome checks.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Over22
Opening2.04
→
Current2.04
No move0.0%
Under22
Opening1.71
→
Current1.71
No move0.0%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 22 is the market favorite:
- For Over in Over/Under Total Games Full Match in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 46.2% / lost 53.8% from 158 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 0.0% / lost 100.0% from 3,322 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityOver 20.554%OpenClose
54%46%
Over20.554%Under20.546%
Confidence51%Best odds1.76Bookmakers1
Prediction Summary53.6% implied probability from 1 bookmakers
- Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 112,200 settled records
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive priced in the 1.70-1.79 odds range returned 55.0% wins from 6,017 settled picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis tipsters taking Over in Over/Under Total Games Full Match at prices in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.0% from 433 settled picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 52.8% wins in the 1.70-1.79 odds range from 72,816 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 53.8% from 23,397 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows Over in Over/Under Total Games Full Match using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range winning 0.0% from 3,587 settled outcomes.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Over20.5
Opening1.76
→
Current1.76
No move0.0%
Under20.5
Opening2.04
↓
Current2.03
Dropped0.5%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 20.5 is the market favorite:
- For Under in Over/Under Total Games Full Match in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 44.3% / lost 55.7% from 61 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 100.0% / lost 0.0% from 2,541 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 21.551%OpenClose
49%51%
Over21.549%Under21.551%
Confidence53%Best odds1.83Bookmakers3
Prediction Summary51.3% implied probability from 3 bookmakers
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.80-1.89 odds range shows 53.2% wins from 158,264 settled tipster picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Tennis tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 52.8% from 7,535 predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive shows Under in Over/Under Total Games Full Match priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range winning 53.8% from 327 settled tipster picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 49.9% from 111,741 backtested outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 50.7% from 29,064 backtests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Tennis, Under in Over/Under Total Games Full Match tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 100.0% from 4,710 outcome checks.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Over21.5
Opening1.91
→
Current1.91
No move0.0%
Under21.5
Opening1.80
↑
Current1.81
Drifted0.4%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 21.5 is the market favorite:
- For Over in Over/Under Total Games Full Match in the 1.90-1.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 56.4% / lost 43.6% from 298 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 0.0% / lost 100.0% from 4,113 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityOver 2151%OpenClose
51%49%
Over2151%Under2149%
Confidence53%Best odds1.85Bookmakers3
Prediction Summary51.1% implied probability from 3 bookmakers
- odds dropped by 0.4% on average
- Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.2% from 158,264 settled records
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range returned 52.8% wins from 7,535 settled picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis tipsters taking Over in Over/Under Total Games Full Match at prices in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 52.6% from 437 settled picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 49.9% wins in the 1.80-1.89 odds range from 111,741 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 50.7% from 29,064 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows Over in Over/Under Total Games Full Match using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range winning 0.0% from 4,434 settled outcomes.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Over21
Opening1.82
→
Current1.82
No move0.0%
Under21
Opening1.90
→
Current1.90
No move0.0%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 21 is the market favorite:
- For Under in Over/Under Total Games Full Match in the 1.90-1.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 43.8% / lost 56.2% from 185 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 100.0% / lost 0.0% from 3,567 settled market-outcome tests.
1st Set Total Games (Over/Under)
BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 9.559%OpenClose
41%59%
Over9.541%Under9.559%
Confidence59%Best odds1.57Bookmakers2
Prediction Summary58.6% implied probability from 2 bookmakers
- odds dropped by 4.6% on average
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.50-1.59 odds range shows 63.0% wins from 59,307 settled tipster picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive priced in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 64.1% wins from 4,600 settled picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis tipsters taking Under in Over/Under Total Sets 1st Set at prices in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 58.3% from 12 settled picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 60.2% wins in the 1.50-1.59 odds range from 60,412 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting at current odds returned 60.7% wins in the 1.50-1.59 odds range from 17,416 settled outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Tennis, Under in Over/Under Total Sets 1st Set tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 61.2% from 938 outcome checks.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Over9.5
Opening2.11
↑
Current2.22
Drifted5.2%
Under9.5
Opening1.65
↓
Current1.57
Dropped4.8%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 9.5 is the market favorite:
- For Over in Over/Under Total Sets 1st Set in the 2.20-2.29 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 48.3% / lost 51.8% from 228 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 44.4% / lost 55.6% from 545 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityOver 8.568%OpenClose
68%32%
Over8.568%Under8.532%
Confidence58%Best odds1.38Bookmakers1
Prediction Summary68.1% implied probability from 1 bookmakers
- odds dropped by 0.7% on average
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.30-1.39 odds range shows 70.8% wins from 75,124 settled tipster picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive priced in the 1.30-1.39 odds range returned 72.7% wins from 2,932 settled picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: in Tennis, published picks on Over in Over/Under Total Sets 1st Set within the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 77.4% from 31 settled predictions
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range returned 68.2% wins from 55,657 settled market tests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting at current odds returned 67.3% wins in the 1.30-1.39 odds range from 11,353 settled outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting for Over in Over/Under Total Sets 1st Set, priced by current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range, won 75.0% from 930 settled market tests.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Over8.5
Opening1.39
↓
Current1.38
Dropped0.7%
Under8.5
Opening2.95
→
Current2.95
No move0.0%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 8.5 is the market favorite:
- For Under in Over/Under Total Sets 1st Set in the 2.90-2.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 27.8% / lost 72.2% from 18 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 27.8% / lost 72.3% from 191 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 10.576%OpenClose
24%76%
Over10.524%Under10.576%
Confidence61%Best odds1.24Bookmakers1
Prediction Summary75.6% implied probability from 1 bookmakers
- odds dropped by 0.8% on average
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 74.1% wins in the 1.20-1.29 odds range from 55,411 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting at current odds returned 74.5% wins in the 1.20-1.29 odds range from 11,569 settled outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Tennis, Under in Over/Under Total Sets 1st Set tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range won 75.8% from 2,569 outcome checks.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Over10.5
Opening3.85
↓
Current3.84
Dropped0.3%
Under10.5
Opening1.25
↓
Current1.24
Dropped0.8%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 10.5 is the market favorite:
- For Over in Over/Under Total Sets 1st Set in the 3.80-3.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 23.1% / lost 76.9% from 39 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 22.9% / lost 77.1% from 297 settled market-outcome tests.
Asian Handicap Sets
BTR Win ProbabilityL. Potenza -1.562%OpenClose
38%62%
1M. Donald38%2L. Potenza62%
Confidence60%Best odds1.55Bookmakers4
Prediction Summary62.0% implied probability from 4 bookmakers
- odds dropped by 0.9% on average
- best bookmaker price is 3.7% above the market average
- Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 59,307 settled predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Tennis tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 64.1% from 4,600 predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive shows 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match priced in the 1.50-1.59 odds range winning 62.9% from 89 settled tipster picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 60.2% wins from 60,412 settled market tests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 60.7% from 17,416 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting for 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match, priced by current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range, won 65.2% from 500 settled market tests.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1M. Donald
Opening2.40
↑
Current2.44
Drifted1.7%
2L. Potenza
Opening1.51
↓
Current1.50
Dropped1.0%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while L. Potenza -1.5 is the market favorite:
- For 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match in the 2.40-2.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 40.0% / lost 60.0% from 40 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 25.0% / lost 75.0% from 176 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityM. Donald +1.573%OpenClose
73%27%
1M. Donald73%2L. Potenza27%
Confidence62%Best odds1.29Bookmakers3
Prediction Summary73.1% implied probability from 3 bookmakers
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 74.1% wins in the 1.20-1.29 odds range from 55,411 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting at current odds returned 74.5% wins in the 1.20-1.29 odds range from 11,569 settled outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match using current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range winning 74.9% from 706 settled outcomes.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1M. Donald
Opening1.26
↑
Current1.27
Drifted0.5%
2L. Potenza
Opening3.55
↓
Current3.46
Dropped2.6%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while M. Donald +1.5 is the market favorite:
- For 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap in the 3.40-3.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 27.9% / lost 72.1% from 721 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 31.7% / lost 68.3% from 104 settled market-outcome tests.
Asian Handicap Match Games
BTR Win ProbabilityL. Potenza -459%OpenClose
41%59%
1M. Donald41%2L. Potenza59%
Confidence56%Best odds1.59Bookmakers1
Prediction Summary59.0% implied probability from 1 bookmakers
- odds dropped by 2.5% on average
- Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 59,307 settled records
- Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Tennis tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 64.1% from 4,600 predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: in Tennis, published picks on 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match within the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 66.7% from 27 settled predictions
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 60.2% wins in the 1.50-1.59 odds range from 60,412 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 60.7% from 17,416 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Tennis, 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 1,958 outcome checks.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1M. Donald
Opening2.25
↑
Current2.29
Drifted1.8%
2L. Potenza
Opening1.63
↓
Current1.59
Dropped2.5%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while L. Potenza -4 is the market favorite:
- For 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match in the 2.20-2.29 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 50.0% / lost 50.0% from 52 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 40.1% / lost 59.9% from 1,097 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityL. Potenza -3.554%OpenClose
46%54%
1M. Donald46%2L. Potenza54%
Confidence56%Best odds1.73Bookmakers2
Prediction Summary54.3% implied probability from 2 bookmakers
- odds dropped by 3.1% on average
- Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 112,200 settled records
- Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Tennis tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.0% from 6,017 predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: in Tennis, published picks on 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match within the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 58.4% from 315 settled predictions
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 52.8% wins in the 1.70-1.79 odds range from 72,816 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 53.8% from 23,397 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Tennis, 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 54.8% from 3,003 outcome checks.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1M. Donald
Opening1.98
↑
Current2.03
Drifted2.8%
2L. Potenza
Opening1.76
↓
Current1.71
Dropped3.1%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while L. Potenza -3.5 is the market favorite:
- For 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 44.6% / lost 55.4% from 184 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 45.6% / lost 54.4% from 2,225 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityM. Donald -154%OpenClose
54%46%
1M. Donald54%2L. Potenza46%
Confidence51%Best odds1.74Bookmakers1
Prediction Summary54.1% implied probability from 1 bookmakers
- Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 112,200 settled records
- Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Tennis tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.0% from 6,017 predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis tipsters taking 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match at prices in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.6% from 329 settled picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 52.8% wins in the 1.70-1.79 odds range from 72,816 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 53.8% from 23,397 backtests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting for 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match, priced by current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range, won 52.9% from 2,940 settled market tests.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1M. Donald
Opening1.74
→
Current1.74
No move0.0%
2L. Potenza
Opening2.05
→
Current2.05
No move0.0%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while M. Donald -1 is the market favorite:
- For 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 34.4% / lost 65.6% from 160 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 45.5% / lost 54.5% from 2,251 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityM. Donald -1.554%OpenClose
54%46%
1M. Donald54%2L. Potenza46%
Confidence53%Best odds1.75Bookmakers1
Prediction Summary53.6% implied probability from 1 bookmakers
- odds dropped by 2.2% on average
- Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 112,200 settled records
- Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Tennis tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.0% from 6,017 predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis tipsters taking 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match at prices in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.6% from 329 settled picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 52.8% wins in the 1.70-1.79 odds range from 72,816 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 53.8% from 23,397 backtests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting for 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match, priced by current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range, won 52.9% from 2,940 settled market tests.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1M. Donald
Opening1.79
↓
Current1.75
Dropped2.2%
2L. Potenza
Opening2.01
↑
Current2.02
Drifted0.5%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while M. Donald -1.5 is the market favorite:
- For 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 34.4% / lost 65.6% from 160 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 45.5% / lost 54.5% from 2,251 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityL. Potenza -353%OpenClose
47%53%
1M. Donald47%2L. Potenza53%
Confidence57%Best odds1.77Bookmakers1
Prediction Summary53.1% implied probability from 1 bookmakers
- odds dropped by 6.3% on average
- Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 112,200 settled records
- Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Tennis tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.0% from 6,017 predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: in Tennis, published picks on 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match within the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 58.4% from 315 settled predictions
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 52.8% wins in the 1.70-1.79 odds range from 72,816 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 53.8% from 23,397 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Tennis, 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 54.8% from 3,003 outcome checks.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1M. Donald
Opening1.91
↑
Current2.00
Drifted4.7%
2L. Potenza
Opening1.89
↓
Current1.77
Dropped6.3%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while L. Potenza -3 is the market favorite:
- For 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 44.6% / lost 55.4% from 184 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 45.6% / lost 54.4% from 2,225 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityL. Potenza -2.551%OpenClose
49%51%
1M. Donald49%2L. Potenza51%
Confidence54%Best odds1.88Bookmakers3
Prediction Summary50.7% implied probability from 3 bookmakers
- odds dropped by 2.2% on average
- Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.2% from 158,264 settled records
- Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Tennis tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 52.8% from 7,535 predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: in Tennis, published picks on 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match within the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.2% from 393 settled predictions
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 49.9% wins in the 1.80-1.89 odds range from 111,741 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 50.7% from 29,064 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Tennis, 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 51.7% from 3,813 outcome checks.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1M. Donald
Opening1.84
↑
Current1.88
Drifted2.4%
2L. Potenza
Opening1.88
↓
Current1.83
Dropped2.3%
Odds Stats by SourceBalanced market context: historical stats by current odds range:
- For 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 53.2% / lost 46.8% from 393 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 51.7% / lost 48.3% from 3,813 settled market-outcome tests.
- For 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 54.4% / lost 45.6% from 450 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 49.7% / lost 50.3% from 3,738 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityM. Donald -252%OpenClose
52%48%
1M. Donald52%2L. Potenza48%
Confidence50%Best odds1.81Bookmakers1
Prediction Summary51.7% implied probability from 1 bookmakers
- Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.2% from 158,264 settled records
- Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Tennis tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 52.8% from 7,535 predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis tipsters taking 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match at prices in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 54.4% from 450 settled picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 49.9% wins in the 1.80-1.89 odds range from 111,741 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 50.7% from 29,064 backtests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting for 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match, priced by current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range, won 49.7% from 3,738 settled market tests.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1M. Donald
Opening1.72
↑
Current1.81
Drifted5.2%
2L. Potenza
Opening2.11
↓
Current1.94
Dropped8.1%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while M. Donald -2 is the market favorite:
- For 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match in the 1.90-1.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 50.0% / lost 50.0% from 234 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 48.9% / lost 51.1% from 2,693 settled market-outcome tests.
1st Set Asian Handicap Games
BTR Win ProbabilityM. Donald +1.561%OpenClose
61%39%
1M. Donald61%2L. Potenza39%
Confidence54%Best odds1.53Bookmakers1
Prediction Summary61.5% implied probability from 1 bookmakers
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.50-1.59 odds range shows 63.0% wins from 59,307 settled tipster picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive priced in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 64.1% wins from 4,600 settled picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive shows 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap 1st Set priced in the 1.50-1.59 odds range winning 75.9% from 29 settled tipster picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 60.2% wins in the 1.50-1.59 odds range from 60,412 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 60.7% from 17,416 backtests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting for 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap 1st Set, priced by current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range, won 59.9% from 715 settled market tests.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1M. Donald
Opening1.51
↑
Current1.53
Drifted1.3%
2L. Potenza
Opening2.64
↓
Current2.44
Dropped7.6%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while M. Donald +1.5 is the market favorite:
- For 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap in the 2.40-2.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 31.0% / lost 69.0% from 29 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 36.9% / lost 63.1% from 222 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityL. Potenza -1.550%OpenClose
50%50%
1M. Donald50%2L. Potenza50%
Confidence54%Best odds1.88Bookmakers3
Prediction Summary50.4% implied probability from 3 bookmakers
- odds dropped by 1.7% on average
- Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.2% from 158,264 settled records
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range returned 52.8% wins from 7,535 settled picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: in Tennis, published picks on 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap within the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 54.0% from 849 settled predictions
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range returned 49.9% wins from 111,741 settled market tests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting at current odds returned 50.7% wins in the 1.80-1.89 odds range from 29,064 settled outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap 1st Set using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range winning 50.5% from 1,037 settled outcomes.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1M. Donald
Opening1.87
→
Current1.87
No move0.0%
2L. Potenza
Opening1.87
↓
Current1.84
Dropped1.8%
Odds Stats by SourceBalanced market context: historical stats by current odds range:
- For 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 54.0% / lost 46.1% from 849 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 50.5% / lost 49.5% from 1,037 settled market-outcome tests.
- For 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 54.0% / lost 46.1% from 849 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 49.6% / lost 50.4% from 1,040 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityL. Potenza -3.579%OpenClose
21%79%
1M. Donald21%2L. Potenza79%
Confidence64%Best odds1.19Bookmakers1
Prediction Summary79.0% implied probability from 1 bookmakers
- odds dropped by 1.7% on average
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.10-1.19 odds range returned 81.5% wins from 54,553 settled market tests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting at current odds returned 84.0% wins in the 1.10-1.19 odds range from 9,735 settled outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap 1st Set using current odds in the 1.10-1.19 odds range winning 89.2% from 231 settled outcomes.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1M. Donald
Opening4.57
↓
Current4.49
Dropped1.8%
2L. Potenza
Opening1.21
↓
Current1.19
Dropped1.7%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while L. Potenza -3.5 is the market favorite:
- For 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap in the 4.40-4.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 21.3% / lost 78.7% from 136 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 22.7% / lost 77.3% from 22 settled market-outcome tests.
Set Betting (Correct Score)
BTR Win Probability2:035%OpenClose
35%25%22%Others
2:035%0:225%2:122%1:218%
Confidence48%Best odds2.62Bookmakers5
Prediction Summary35.3% implied probability from 5 bookmakers
- best bookmaker price is 5.7% above the market average
- Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 2.40-2.49 odds range won 39.6% from 25,668 settled predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive priced in the 2.40-2.49 odds range returned 37.5% wins from 1,719 settled picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: in Tennis, published picks on 2:0 exact score in Correct Set Score Full Match within the 2.40-2.49 odds range won 35.0% from 20 settled predictions
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 2.40-2.49 odds range won 37.3% from 20,657 backtested outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting at current odds returned 37.7% wins in the 2.40-2.49 odds range from 5,162 settled outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Tennis, 2:0 exact score in Correct Set Score Full Match tested against settled results with current odds in the 2.40-2.49 odds range won 27.6% from 76 outcome checks.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
2:0
Opening2.44
↑
Current2.48
Drifted1.6%
0:2
Opening3.60
↓
Current3.48
Dropped3.3%
2:1
Opening3.97
↑
Current4.04
Drifted1.8%
1:2
Opening4.80
↑
Current4.89
Drifted2.0%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while 2:0 is the market favorite:
- For 0:2 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 3.40-3.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 27.9% / lost 72.1% from 721 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 25.3% / lost 74.7% from 95 settled market-outcome tests.
- For 2:1 exact score in Correct Set Score Full Match in the 4.00-4.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 28.3% / lost 71.7% from 53 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 22.0% / lost 78.0% from 291 settled market-outcome tests.
- For 1:2 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 4.80-4.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 21.8% / lost 78.2% from 78 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 16.2% / lost 83.8% from 74 settled market-outcome tests.
Odd/Even Total Match Games
BTR Win ProbabilityBalanced Odd/Even50%OpenClose
50%50%
Even50%Odd50%
Confidence26%Best odds1.84Bookmakers2
Prediction Summary50.0% implied probability from 2 bookmakers
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.80-1.89 odds range shows 53.2% wins from 158,264 settled tipster picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range returned 52.8% wins from 7,535 settled picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive shows even total games in Odd/Even Total Games Full Match priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range winning 48.2% from 496 settled tipster picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 49.9% wins in the 1.80-1.89 odds range from 111,741 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 50.7% from 29,064 backtests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows even total games in Odd/Even Total Games Full Match using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range winning 69.0% from 2,226 settled outcomes.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Even
Opening1.84
→
Current1.84
No move0.0%
Odd
Opening1.84
→
Current1.84
No move0.0%
Odds Stats by SourceBalanced market context: historical stats by current odds range:
- For odd total games in Odd/Even Total Games Full Match in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 50.6% / lost 49.4% from 585 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 30.6% / lost 69.4% from 2,219 settled market-outcome tests.
- For even total games in Odd/Even Total Games Full Match in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 48.2% / lost 51.8% from 496 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 69.0% / lost 31.0% from 2,226 settled market-outcome tests.
1st Set Odd/Even Games
BTR Win ProbabilityEven53%OpenClose
53%47%
Even53%Odd47%
Confidence52%Best odds1.73Bookmakers2
Prediction Summary53.2% implied probability from 2 bookmakers
- Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 112,200 settled predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Tennis tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.0% from 6,017 predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis tipsters taking even total sets in Odd/Even Total Sets 1st Set at prices in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 47.9% from 48 settled picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 52.8% wins in the 1.70-1.79 odds range from 72,816 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 53.8% from 23,397 backtests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting for even total sets in Odd/Even Total Sets 1st Set, priced by current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range, won 56.0% from 1,572 settled market tests.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Even
Opening1.73
→
Current1.73
No move0.0%
Odd
Opening1.97
→
Current1.97
No move0.0%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Even is the market favorite:
- For odd total sets in Odd/Even Total Sets 1st Set in the 1.90-1.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 66.7% / lost 33.3% from 12 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 44.4% / lost 55.6% from 1,416 settled market-outcome tests.
My pick
M. Donald vs L. Potenza tennis predictions
Discover community predictions and betting tips for M. Donald vs L. Potenza in the Challenger Men - Singles: Milan (Italy) - Qualification, Clay on 28.06.2026. Review high-yield tipster selections, community consensus, and detailed picks for this specific tennis matchup. Combine our community's betting insights with real-time odds, head-to-head stats, and tournament context to build a smarter betting strategy.
M. Donald vs L. Potenza Predictions by Live Score Odds


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