F. Arnaboldi vs P. Nesterov Predictions, Tips & Picks

tennis / Itf Men - Singles / M25 Milano (Italy), Clay

17.06.2026 10:55

F. Arnaboldi

0 - 2

P. Nesterov

Finished

F. Arnaboldi vs P. Nesterov Predictions

Match Winner

BTR Win ProbabilityBalanced Home/Away

51%

49%51%

1F. Arnaboldi49%2P. Nesterov51%

Confidence51%Best odds1.87Bookmakers10

50.7% implied probability from 10 bookmakers, Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.80-1.89 odds range shows 53.2% wins from 157,556 settled tipster picks; Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Tennis tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 52.9% from 7,419 predictions; Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive shows 2nd player win in Match Winner Full Match priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range winning 52.3% from 814 settled tipster picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range returned 49.9% wins from 165,241 settled market tests; Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting at current odds returned 50.5% wins in the 1.80-1.89 odds range from 47,519 settled outcomes; Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting for 2nd player win in Match Winner Full Match, priced by current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range, won 55.5% from 761 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1F. Arnaboldi

Opening1.87

Current1.88

Drifted0.5%

2P. Nesterov

Opening1.83

Current1.83

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceBalanced market context: historical stats by current odds range:

For 2nd player win in Match Winner Full Match in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 52.3% / lost 47.7% from 814 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 55.5% / lost 44.5% from 761 settled market-outcome tests.
For 1st player win in Match Winner Full Match in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 51.1% / lost 48.9% from 952 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 45.8% / lost 54.2% from 679 settled market-outcome tests.

Set Betting (Correct Score)

BTR Win ProbabilityBalanced Set Betting (Correct Score)31%OpenClose

31%30%20%Others

0:231%2:030%1:220%2:119%

Confidence31%Best odds3.00Bookmakers3

31.2% implied probability from 3 bookmakers; best bookmaker price is 6.6% above the market average, Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 2.80-2.89 odds range won 34.2% from 16,053 settled predictions; Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Tennis tipster picks in the 2.80-2.89 odds range won 34.9% from 797 predictions; Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive shows 0:2 exact score in Correct Set Score Full Match priced in the 2.80-2.89 odds range winning 14.3% from 14 settled tipster picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 32.5% wins in the 2.80-2.89 odds range from 19,482 settled outcome checks; Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting at current odds returned 35.7% wins in the 2.80-2.89 odds range from 4,563 settled outcomes; Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows 0:2 exact score in Correct Set Score Full Match using current odds in the 2.80-2.89 odds range winning 44.7% from 152 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

0:2

Opening2.84

Current2.81

Dropped0.9%

2:0

Opening2.97

Current2.98

No move0.0%

1:2

Opening4.41

Current4.41

No move0.0%

2:1

Opening4.44

Current4.51

Drifted1.5%

Odds Stats by SourceBalanced market context: historical stats by current odds range:

For 0:2 exact score in Correct Set Score Full Match in the 2.80-2.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 14.3% / lost 85.7% from 14 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 44.7% / lost 55.3% from 152 settled market-outcome tests.
For 2:0 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 2.90-2.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 30.7% / lost 69.4% from 633 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 16.0% / lost 84.0% from 100 settled market-outcome tests.
For 1:2 exact score in Correct Set Score Full Match in the 4.40-4.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 30.0% / lost 70.0% from 20 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 27.0% / lost 73.0% from 178 settled market-outcome tests.
For 2:1 exact score in Correct Set Score Full Match in the 4.50-4.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 25.0% / lost 75.0% from 32 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 23.4% / lost 76.6% from 380 settled market-outcome tests.

1st Set Correct Score

BTR Win ProbabilityBalanced Correct Score 1st Half12%OpenClose

12%12%10%Others

4:612%6:312%6:410%3:610%2:69%6:28%6:77%7:67%6:16%5:75%7:55%1:65%0:62%6:02%

Confidence12%Best odds6.50Bookmakers2

12.1% implied probability from 2 bookmakers, Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 6.50-6.59 odds range shows 13.7% wins from 1,654 settled tipster picks; Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis picks at published odds in the 6.50-6.59 odds range won 10.5% from 76 settled predictions; Historical Tipster Predictions: in Tennis, published picks on 4:6 exact score in Correct Set Score within the 6.50-6.59 odds range won 0.0% from 14 settled predictions; Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 11.3% wins in the 6.50-6.59 odds range from 11,235 settled outcome checks; Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting at current odds returned 12.0% wins in the 6.50-6.59 odds range from 3,529 settled outcomes; Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting for 4:6 exact score in Correct Set Score 1st Set, priced by current odds in the 6.50-6.59 odds range, won 16.7% from 478 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

4:6

Opening6.50

Current6.50

No move0.0%

6:3

Opening6.50

Current6.50

No move0.0%

6:4

Opening7.50

Current7.50

No move0.0%

3:6

Opening8.00

Current8.00

No move0.0%

2:6

Opening9.00

Current9.00

No move0.0%

6:2

Opening10.00

Current10.00

No move0.0%

6:7

Opening12.00

Current12.00

No move0.0%

7:6

Opening12.00

Current12.00

No move0.0%

6:1

Opening13.00

Current13.00

No move0.0%

5:7

Opening15.00

Current15.00

No move0.0%

7:5

Opening15.00

Current15.00

No move0.0%

1:6

Opening17.00

Current17.00

No move0.0%

0:6

Opening34.00

Current34.00

No move0.0%

6:0

Opening34.00

Current34.00

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceBalanced market context: historical stats by current odds range:

For 4:6 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 6.50-6.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 0.0% / lost 100.0% from 14 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 16.7% / lost 83.3% from 478 settled market-outcome tests.
For 6:3 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 6.50-6.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 0.0% / lost 100.0% from 14 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 7.4% / lost 92.6% from 299 settled market-outcome tests.
For 6:4 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 7.50-7.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 16.7% / lost 83.3% from 24 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 12.2% / lost 87.8% from 335 settled market-outcome tests.
For 3:6 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 8.00-8.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 22.6% / lost 77.4% from 31 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 8.6% / lost 91.4% from 222 settled market-outcome tests.
For 2:6 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 9.00-9.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 15.4% / lost 84.6% from 13 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 6.5% / lost 93.5% from 138 settled market-outcome tests.
For 6:2 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 10.00-10.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 8.7% / lost 91.3% from 23 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 7.4% / lost 92.6% from 229 settled market-outcome tests.
For 6:7 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 12.00-12.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 7.1% / lost 92.9% from 784 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 6.7% / lost 93.3% from 390 settled market-outcome tests.
For 7:6 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 12.00-12.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 7.1% / lost 92.9% from 784 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 10.4% / lost 89.6% from 423 settled market-outcome tests.
For 6:1 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 13.00-13.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 6.5% / lost 93.5% from 704 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 1.9% / lost 98.1% from 212 settled market-outcome tests.
For 5:7 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 15.00-15.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 6.1% / lost 93.9% from 1,841 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 3.6% / lost 96.4% from 1,011 settled market-outcome tests.
For 7:5 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 15.00-15.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 6.1% / lost 93.9% from 1,841 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 4.4% / lost 95.6% from 1,009 settled market-outcome tests.
For 1:6 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 17.00-17.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 0.0% / lost 100.0% from 10 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 3.9% / lost 96.1% from 258 settled market-outcome tests.
For 6:0 exact score in Correct Set Score 1st Set in the 34.00-34.09 odds range: Recent Hypothetical Picks won 0.4% / lost 99.6% from 239 settled market-outcome tests.
For 0:6 exact score in Correct Set Score 1st Set in the 34.00-34.09 odds range: Recent Hypothetical Picks won 1.4% / lost 98.6% from 219 settled market-outcome tests.

How BTR Win Probability is Calculated

Standard sports statistics are completely blind to real-world context like team motivation, tactical lineup shifts, or irregular lower-league match outcomes.

Our BTR Win Probability uses a double-layered, anomaly-resistant algorithm to cut through market noise and deliver the authentic layout of a match:

Historical Tipster Predictions: We compare today's prices with a proprietary archive of over 1,000,000 settled tipster predictions tracked since 2015, showing how real published picks performed in the same odds range, sport, market, period, and outcome. This matters because very few prediction sites can support their probabilities with such a large transparent record of real historical picks.

Recent Hypothetical Picks: We also backtest recent settled odds markets by treating each available outcome as a hypothetical pick, then checking it against the real result. This shows how similar prices performed in live match conditions, even when no tipster selected that outcome.

BTR Probability Blend: The final percentage balances bookmaker implied probability, historical tipster predictions, recent hypothetical picks, market movement, and bookmaker consensus. This helps reduce blind trust in very short odds while still rewarding prices that have performed well in similar conditions.

By fusing traditional lines with a decade of community conviction, we provide an unfiltered, back-tested projection you can trust.

My pick

F. Arnaboldi vs P. Nesterov tennis predictions

Discover community predictions and betting tips for F. Arnaboldi vs P. Nesterov in the Itf Men - Singles: M25 Milano (Italy), Clay on 17.06.2026. Review high-yield tipster selections, community consensus, and detailed picks for this specific tennis matchup. Combine our community's betting insights with real-time odds, head-to-head stats, and tournament context to build a smarter betting strategy.

Tipster	Profit	Yield
dieztips2xr	542.28	31.92 %
noja57	484.98	-1.59 %
gerrard062xr	451.74	30.18 %
beterini	408.49	4.65 %
b1848	377.71	9.13 %
blackface1	265.61	3.46 %
rantunes	263.52	36.91 %
madek	241.19	67.56 %
prospurs192xr	226.35	15.39 %
jayglitch2xr	221.63	13.92 %

F. Arnaboldi vs P. Nesterov Predictions

F. Arnaboldi vs P. Nesterov Predictions

Match Winner

1st Set Winner

2nd Set Winner

Total Match Games (Over/Under)

Set Betting (Correct Score)

1st Set Correct Score

Odd/Even Total Match Games

1st Set Odd/Even Games

F. Arnaboldi vs P. Nesterov tennis predictions

F. Arnaboldi vs P. Nesterov Predictions

F. Arnaboldi vs P. Nesterov Predictions

Match Winner

F. Arnaboldi vs P. Nesterov tennis predictions

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