Somerset vs Gloucestershire Cricket Predictions, Tips & Picks

cricket / England / One-Day Cup

24.07.2026 13:00

Somerset

Gloucestershire

13:00

Somerset vs Gloucestershire Predictions

Draw No Bet

BTR Win ProbabilityGloucestershire

54%

46%54%

1Somerset46%2Gloucestershire54%

Confidence56%Best odds1.84Bookmakers7

Prediction Summary54.1% implied probability from 7 bookmakers

best bookmaker price is 6.1% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 113,787 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: Cricket picks at published odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 54.8% from 155 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 53.5% from 85,598 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Cricket market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 48.1% from 79 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Cricket backtesting for 2nd team win in Moneyline Full Time Including OT, priced by current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range, won 46.2% from 13 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Somerset

Opening2.09

Current2.04

Dropped2.1%

2Gloucestershire

Opening1.71

Current1.73

Drifted1.6%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Gloucestershire is the market favorite:

For 1st team win in Moneyline Full Time Including OT in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 90.0% / lost 10.0% from 10 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 38.5% / lost 61.5% from 13 settled market-outcome tests.

How BTR Win Probability is Calculated

Standard sports statistics are completely blind to real-world context like team motivation, tactical lineup shifts, or irregular lower-league match outcomes.

Our BTR Win Probability uses a double-layered, anomaly-resistant algorithm to cut through market noise and deliver the authentic layout of a match:

Historical Tipster Predictions: We compare today's prices with a proprietary archive of over 1,000,000 settled tipster predictions tracked since 2015, showing how real published picks performed in the same odds range, sport, market, period, and outcome. This matters because very few prediction sites can support their probabilities with such a large transparent record of real historical picks.

Recent Hypothetical Picks: We also backtest recent settled odds markets by treating each available outcome as a hypothetical pick, then checking it against the real result. This shows how similar prices performed in live match conditions, even when no tipster selected that outcome.

BTR Probability Blend: The final percentage balances bookmaker implied probability, historical tipster predictions, recent hypothetical picks, market movement, and bookmaker consensus. This helps reduce blind trust in very short odds while still rewarding prices that have performed well in similar conditions.

By fusing traditional lines with a decade of community conviction, we provide an unfiltered, back-tested projection you can trust.

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