Dambulla Sixers vs Galle Gallants Cricket Predictions, Tips & Picks

cricket / Sri Lanka / Lanka Premier League

22.07.2026 14:00

Galle Gallants

178/820.0 ov180/416.1 ov

Dambulla Sixers

Finished

Galle Gallants vs Dambulla Sixers Predictions

Draw No Bet

BTR Win ProbabilityDambulla Sixers

53%

47%53%

1Galle Gallants47%2Dambulla Sixers53%

Confidence57%Best odds1.83Bookmakers5

Prediction Summary53.0% implied probability from 5 bookmakers

odds dropped by 0.5% on average
best bookmaker price is 3.6% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 113,720 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: Cricket picks at published odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 54.8% from 155 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 53.4% from 90,149 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Cricket backtesting at current odds returned 39.5% wins in the 1.70-1.79 odds range from 86 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Cricket backtesting for 2nd team win in Moneyline Full Time Including OT, priced by current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range, won 28.6% from 14 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Galle Gallants

Opening1.97

Current1.99

Drifted1.1%

2Dambulla Sixers

Opening1.78

Current1.77

Dropped0.6%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Galle Gallants is the market favorite:

For 1st team win in Moneyline in the 1.90-1.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 49.2% / lost 50.8% from 122 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 54.6% / lost 45.5% from 11 settled market-outcome tests.

Over/Under Total Runs

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 343.554%OpenClose

54%46%

Over343.554%Under343.546%

Confidence61%Best odds1.71Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary53.5% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

odds dropped by 10.5% on average
Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.70-1.79 odds range shows 55.4% wins from 113,720 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Cricket archive priced in the 1.70-1.79 odds range returned 54.8% wins from 155 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 53.4% wins in the 1.70-1.79 odds range from 90,149 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Cricket market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 39.5% from 86 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Cricket, Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Match tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 38.6% from 44 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over343.5

Opening1.91

Current1.71

Dropped10.5%

Under343.5

Opening1.76

Current1.97

Drifted11.9%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 343.5 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs in the 1.90-1.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 49.2% / lost 50.8% from 122 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 59.5% / lost 40.5% from 42 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 347.551%OpenClose

49%51%

Over347.549%Under347.551%

Confidence38%Best odds1.83Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary51.0% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.2% from 160,179 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Cricket archive priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range returned 60.4% wins from 192 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 50.0% from 141,179 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Cricket backtesting at current odds returned 51.9% wins in the 1.80-1.89 odds range from 108 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Cricket match database shows Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Match using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range winning 55.9% from 34 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over347.5

Opening1.87

Current1.87

No move0.0%

Under347.5

Opening1.80

Current1.80

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 347.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 60.4% / lost 39.6% from 192 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 43.2% / lost 56.8% from 37 settled market-outcome tests.

How BTR Win Probability is Calculated

Standard sports statistics are completely blind to real-world context like team motivation, tactical lineup shifts, or irregular lower-league match outcomes.

Our BTR Win Probability uses a double-layered, anomaly-resistant algorithm to cut through market noise and deliver the authentic layout of a match:

Historical Tipster Predictions: We compare today's prices with a proprietary archive of over 1,000,000 settled tipster predictions tracked since 2015, showing how real published picks performed in the same odds range, sport, market, period, and outcome. This matters because very few prediction sites can support their probabilities with such a large transparent record of real historical picks.

Recent Hypothetical Picks: We also backtest recent settled odds markets by treating each available outcome as a hypothetical pick, then checking it against the real result. This shows how similar prices performed in live match conditions, even when no tipster selected that outcome.

BTR Probability Blend: The final percentage balances bookmaker implied probability, historical tipster predictions, recent hypothetical picks, market movement, and bookmaker consensus. This helps reduce blind trust in very short odds while still rewarding prices that have performed well in similar conditions.

By fusing traditional lines with a decade of community conviction, we provide an unfiltered, back-tested projection you can trust.

My pick