Essex vs Surrey Cricket Predictions, Tips & Picks

cricket / England / Vitality Blast Men

01.07.2026 18:00

Essex

Surrey

18:00

Essex vs Surrey Predictions

Tips from Tipsters DNB 1X2 O/U Runs

Full + Over Time

Full Time

Tips from Tipsters

salahsyh2xr

+12298.72 11617 Tips in All Sports - All Time

7h 1m ago

Essex vs Surrey

Prediction: DNB 2 (FT+OT)

1.60

Draw No Bet

BTR Win ProbabilitySurrey

62%

38%62%

1Essex38%2Surrey62%

Confidence62%Best odds1.56Bookmakers6

62.3% implied probability from 6 bookmakers; best bookmaker price is 3.1% above the market average, Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 59,307 settled records; Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Cricket tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 61.5% from 91 predictions; Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 60.2% wins from 60,412 settled market tests; Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Cricket market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 65.0% from 40 backtests; Recent Hypothetical Picks: Cricket backtesting for 2nd team win in Moneyline Full Time Including OT, priced by previous odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range, won 81.8% from 11 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Essex

Opening2.39

↑

Current2.50

Drifted4.7%

2Surrey

Opening1.56

↓

Current1.51

Dropped2.9%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Surrey is the market favorite:

For 1st team win in Moneyline in the 2.50-2.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 37.6% / lost 62.4% from 93 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 36.4% / lost 63.6% from 21,095 settled market-outcome tests.

Match Winner (3-Way)

BTR Win ProbabilitySurrey

59%

37%4%59%

1Essex37%XDraw4%2Surrey59%

Confidence59%Best odds1.56Bookmakers1

59.0% implied probability from 1 bookmakers, Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 59,307 settled records; Historical Tipster Predictions: Cricket picks at published odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 61.5% from 91 settled predictions; Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 60.2% wins from 60,412 settled market tests; Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Cricket match database using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 65.0% from 40 settled outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Essex

Opening2.27

↑

Current2.47

Drifted8.8%

XDraw

Opening25.00

→

Current25.00

No move0.0%

2Surrey

Opening1.65

↓

Current1.56

Dropped5.5%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Surrey is the market favorite:

For 1st team win in Match Winner (3-Way) in the 2.40-2.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 38.2% / lost 61.8% from 68 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 37.3% / lost 62.7% from 20,657 settled market-outcome tests.
For draw in Match Winner (3-Way) Full Match in the 25.00-25.09 odds range: Recent Hypothetical Picks won 0.0% / lost 100.0% from 48 settled market-outcome tests.

Over/Under Total Runs

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 348.552%OpenClose

48%52%

Over348.548%Under348.552%

Confidence52%Best odds1.76Bookmakers1

52.0% implied probability from 1 bookmakers, Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.70-1.79 odds range shows 55.4% wins from 112,200 settled tipster picks; Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Cricket tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.0% from 149 predictions; Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 52.8% wins in the 1.70-1.79 odds range from 72,816 settled outcome checks; Recent Hypothetical Picks: Cricket backtesting at current odds returned 49.3% wins in the 1.70-1.79 odds range from 67 settled outcomes; Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Cricket, Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Match tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 59.4% from 32 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over348.5

Opening1.91

→

Current1.91

No move0.0%

Under348.5

Opening1.76

→

Current1.76

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under 348.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 1.90-1.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 48.3% / lost 51.8% from 114 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 40.6% / lost 59.4% from 32 settled market-outcome tests.

How BTR Win Probability is Calculated

Standard sports statistics are completely blind to real-world context like team motivation, tactical lineup shifts, or irregular lower-league match outcomes.

Our BTR Win Probability uses a double-layered, anomaly-resistant algorithm to cut through market noise and deliver the authentic layout of a match:

Historical Tipster Predictions: We compare today's prices with a proprietary archive of over 1,000,000 settled tipster predictions tracked since 2015, showing how real published picks performed in the same odds range, sport, market, period, and outcome. This matters because very few prediction sites can support their probabilities with such a large transparent record of real historical picks.

Recent Hypothetical Picks: We also backtest recent settled odds markets by treating each available outcome as a hypothetical pick, then checking it against the real result. This shows how similar prices performed in live match conditions, even when no tipster selected that outcome.

BTR Probability Blend: The final percentage balances bookmaker implied probability, historical tipster predictions, recent hypothetical picks, market movement, and bookmaker consensus. This helps reduce blind trust in very short odds while still rewarding prices that have performed well in similar conditions.

By fusing traditional lines with a decade of community conviction, we provide an unfiltered, back-tested projection you can trust.

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