Essex vs Derbyshire Cricket Predictions, Tips & Picks

cricket / England / One-Day Cup

26.07.2026 10:00

Essex

Derbyshire

10:00

Essex vs Derbyshire Predictions

Tips from Tipsters DNB 1X2 O/U Runs

Full + Over Time

Full Time

Tips from Tipsters

vitibet

+107.35 570 Tips in All Sports - Last 30 Days

5h 4m ago

Essex vs Derbyshire

Prediction: DNB 1 (FT+OT)

1.66

Draw No Bet

BTR Win ProbabilityEssex

60%

60%40%

1Essex60%2Derbyshire40%

Confidence73%Best odds1.66Bookmakers7

Prediction Summary60.2% implied probability from 7 bookmakers

odds dropped by 11.6% on average
best bookmaker price is 6.3% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 60,420 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Cricket tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 60.6% from 94 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 59.6% wins in the 1.50-1.59 odds range from 64,355 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Cricket match database using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 60.8% from 51 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Cricket backtesting for 1st team win in Moneyline Full Time Including OT, priced by current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range, won 47.4% from 19 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Essex

Opening1.77

↓

Current1.56

Dropped11.9%

2Derbyshire

Opening2.01

↑

Current2.36

Drifted17.8%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Essex is the market favorite:

For 2nd team win in Moneyline Full Time Including OT in the 2.30-2.39 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 50.0% / lost 50.0% from 14 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 41.7% / lost 58.3% from 24 settled market-outcome tests.

Match Winner (3-Way)

BTR Win ProbabilityEssex

60%

60%2%38%

1Essex60%XDraw2%2Derbyshire38%

Confidence63%Best odds1.57Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary59.9% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

odds dropped by 17.8% on average
Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.50-1.59 odds range shows 63.0% wins from 60,420 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: Cricket picks at published odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 60.6% from 94 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 59.6% wins from 64,355 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Cricket match database using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 60.8% from 51 settled outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Essex

Opening1.91

↓

Current1.57

Dropped17.8%

XDraw

Opening50.00

→

Current50.00

No move0.0%

2Derbyshire

Opening1.91

↑

Current2.46

Drifted28.8%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Essex is the market favorite:

For 2nd team win in Match Winner (3-Way) in the 2.40-2.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 38.2% / lost 61.8% from 68 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 35.7% / lost 64.3% from 14 settled market-outcome tests.
For draw in Match Winner (3-Way) Full Match in the 50.00-50.09 odds range: Recent Hypothetical Picks won 0.0% / lost 100.0% from 20 settled market-outcome tests.

Over/Under Total Runs

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 570.551%OpenClose

49%51%

Over570.549%Under570.551%

Confidence38%Best odds1.83Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary51.0% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.2% from 160,569 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Cricket archive priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range returned 60.6% wins from 193 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 50.2% wins in the 1.80-1.89 odds range from 106,345 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Cricket market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 54.0% from 163 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Cricket, Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Match tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 46.8% from 47 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over570.5

Opening1.87

→

Current1.87

No move0.0%

Under570.5

Opening1.80

→

Current1.80

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 570.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 60.6% / lost 39.4% from 193 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 51.0% / lost 49.0% from 51 settled market-outcome tests.

How BTR Win Probability is Calculated

Standard sports statistics are completely blind to real-world context like team motivation, tactical lineup shifts, or irregular lower-league match outcomes.

Our BTR Win Probability uses a double-layered, anomaly-resistant algorithm to cut through market noise and deliver the authentic layout of a match:

Historical Tipster Predictions: We compare today's prices with a proprietary archive of over 1,000,000 settled tipster predictions tracked since 2015, showing how real published picks performed in the same odds range, sport, market, period, and outcome. This matters because very few prediction sites can support their probabilities with such a large transparent record of real historical picks.

Recent Hypothetical Picks: We also backtest recent settled odds markets by treating each available outcome as a hypothetical pick, then checking it against the real result. This shows how similar prices performed in live match conditions, even when no tipster selected that outcome.

BTR Probability Blend: The final percentage balances bookmaker implied probability, historical tipster predictions, recent hypothetical picks, market movement, and bookmaker consensus. This helps reduce blind trust in very short odds while still rewarding prices that have performed well in similar conditions.

By fusing traditional lines with a decade of community conviction, we provide an unfiltered, back-tested projection you can trust.

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