Durham vs Sussex Cricket Predictions, Tips & Picks

cricket / England / One-Day Cup

24.07.2026 12:30

Durham

Sussex

12:30

Durham vs Sussex Predictions

Draw No Bet

BTR Win ProbabilityDurham

69%

69%31%

1Durham69%2Sussex31%

Confidence66%Best odds1.42Bookmakers7

Prediction Summary68.7% implied probability from 7 bookmakers

best bookmaker price is 4.0% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 70.9% from 76,069 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: Cricket picks at published odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 73.9% from 46 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range returned 68.7% wins from 62,294 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Durham

Opening1.37

Current1.37

No move0.0%

2Sussex

Opening3.01

Current3.01

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Durham is the market favorite:

For 2nd team win in Moneyline in the 3.00-3.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 33.3% / lost 66.7% from 39 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 29.8% / lost 70.2% from 13,581 settled market-outcome tests.

How BTR Win Probability is Calculated

Standard sports statistics are completely blind to real-world context like team motivation, tactical lineup shifts, or irregular lower-league match outcomes.

Our BTR Win Probability uses a double-layered, anomaly-resistant algorithm to cut through market noise and deliver the authentic layout of a match:

Historical Tipster Predictions: We compare today's prices with a proprietary archive of over 1,000,000 settled tipster predictions tracked since 2015, showing how real published picks performed in the same odds range, sport, market, period, and outcome. This matters because very few prediction sites can support their probabilities with such a large transparent record of real historical picks.

Recent Hypothetical Picks: We also backtest recent settled odds markets by treating each available outcome as a hypothetical pick, then checking it against the real result. This shows how similar prices performed in live match conditions, even when no tipster selected that outcome.

BTR Probability Blend: The final percentage balances bookmaker implied probability, historical tipster predictions, recent hypothetical picks, market movement, and bookmaker consensus. This helps reduce blind trust in very short odds while still rewarding prices that have performed well in similar conditions.

By fusing traditional lines with a decade of community conviction, we provide an unfiltered, back-tested projection you can trust.

My pick