F. Lopez vs Lucas Pouille prediction

I was expecting much more from Pouille in Germany but he is far below his fitness level. Yes, he reached final and did his mission but he struggled a lot. At R16, he lost first set to Struff than managed to win 2 tie breaks in a row. He passed German Philipp 2-1 again than he had beaten Paire after long sets. Pouille had only %15 breaks of serve which is quite low for finals level. On the other side, a lot people had bias about which Lopez will appear in Germany. But he showed good character and fought for every points, sets. He has good stats of serve hold, really good server for grass and his breaks are almost %5 bigger than Pouille. He came to final after beating very strong opponents, Zverev- Berdy- Chardy and Simon. Lopez is also quite good on his second serve statistics, which i believe will be very vital statistics for final against poor returner. Their 2 meetings were very tight, went 3 sets. Firstly, I expect Lopez victory than I suggest over 10.5 games at first set at bigger odds 2.20.