Dustin Brown vs Henri Laaksonen prediction

They meeting twice 5 years ago and now H2H between them was 1-1. Both players were having inconsistent performances so far; Brown only managed 4-6 wins with 246/180 record on clay surfaces, while Laaksonen even worst with 2-8 wins and 137/111 record. By those stats above, Laaksonen put as favorite when this preview writting, weird for me, and I think Brown's price @2.04 (pinnacle) surely value to back. However I will go for over 22.5 games here since I believe both of them wont finish or win this clash easyly, no way !. I also fancy a tie a break in any set, so this overs also value in my opinion.