Atletico-MG vs Gremio prediction (1x2)

First match of the Brazilian Cup final between two teams with opposite characteristics. Atletico Mineiro has offensive features, an excellent attack with extreme quality players, while Gremio has a more defensive stance, especially in games on road. Atletico is a more consistent team playing at home, with no losses in the last 17 games; 13W-4D and goals average 38-14. For this game Luan is out and will be replaced by Cazares. And Gremio has no significant absences, but certainly has a posture and a very defensive system for this first game of the final. I believe in a game with Atletico Mineiro taking more initiative in plays in attack while Gremio had tried to administer a draw or even defeat by a 1 goal difference, which did not seriously see a bad result for away team. If away team risk too much in attacking and expose too much the defensive system,home team can score more goals and win this game for some goal difference, consequently this is too bad for the pretensions of away team in Next game, In the grand finale. So, I do not think Gremio takes a lot of chances in attack, even if it's a 1-0 negative result, for example. I think Home team has many conditions to win the game, and depending on the posture of away team after possibly conceding first goal, it may be that the home team increases the goal difference. I don't think the game ended tied, a hypothesis for this happen, would away team be perfect defensively. And honestly, I do not see extreme defensive quality for this to happen, considering the excellent home team attack. I think Atletico win by 1-0, and if away team take the risk in attack; Home team has conditions to win by 2-0 or more.