AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II prediction (Over/Under)

Soccer Soccer Netherlands Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II prediction

Kickoff 11.09.2026, 18:00 (UTC+0)

Starts in 0d 3h 40m
Prediction Under 4.0

the number of goals will be Under 4.0 in the Full Time

Stake 28
1.74 Pinnacle
Published 11 September 2026 - 11:23 UTC+0
Live OddsGoals Over/Under
OverUnder
2.085m:2.02Open:2.131.825m:1.83Open:1.70
Tip Preview

Automated preview, generated from tipster input.

The Soccer game featuring AZ Alkmaar versus Willem II is scheduled for 11.09.2026 in the Eredivisie held in Netherlands. Our expert tipster, franko, has provided a betting prediction: the number of goals will be Under 4.0 in the Full Time. He is placing a 28 bet at 1.74 odds with Pinnacle. Based on this Over / Under prediction in Soccer, franko could potentially earn a profit of 20.72.
Tipster Reasoning

While some tipsters choose to share their reasoning, we never force them to write nonsense or copy-paste AI text just to fill space. Over the years, we've learned that walls of text are completely useless without real, verified tipster stats to back them up.

Over/Under BTR Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II
BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 4.054%OpenClose
Over4.046%Under4.054%
Confidence60%Best odds1.82Bookmakers7
Prediction Summary54.0% implied probability from 7 bookmakers
  • best bookmaker price is 4.6% above the market average
  • Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 117,234 settled predictions
  • Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Soccer tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 87,947 predictions
  • Historical Tipster Predictions: in Soccer, published picks on Under in Over/Under Total Goals Full Time within the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 3,053 settled predictions
  • Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 52.9% wins in the 1.70-1.79 odds range from 68,193 settled outcome checks
  • Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Soccer match database using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 52.8% from 37,871 settled outcome checks
  • Recent Hypothetical Picks: Soccer backtesting for Under in Over/Under Total Goals Full Time, priced by current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range, won 55.6% from 3,702 settled market tests.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Over4.0
Opening2.13
Current2.04
Dropped4.3%
Under4.0
Opening1.67
Current1.74
Drifted3.9%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 4.0 is the market favorite:
  • For Over in Over/Under Total Goals Full Time in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 48.3% / lost 51.7% from 10,096 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 42.6% / lost 57.4% from 2,880 settled market-outcome tests.

More Predictions for

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II
Soccer Eredivisie
1 prediction
AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II
3h 40m
BTR Win Probability Odds 1.18
1 83% X 11% 2 6%
From Tipsters
Under 4.0 Odds 1.74 1
1 tipster Best odds 1.74
See Odds See All Tips
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