tennis / Challenger Men - Singles / Villena (Spain) - Qualification, Hard
04.10.2026 13:00
C. Chen
-
P. Nesterov
13:00
C. Chen vs P. Nesterov Predictions
Winner Full Time Predictions
BTR Win ProbabilityP. Nesterov
87%13%87%
1C. Chen13%2P. Nesterov87%
Confidence76%Best odds1.07Bookmakers8
Prediction Summary87.4% implied probability from 8 bookmakers
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.00-1.09 odds range returned 90.2% wins from 52,052 settled market tests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting at current odds returned 88.4% wins in the 1.00-1.09 odds range from 1,011 settled outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting for 2nd player win in Match Winner Full Match, priced by current odds in the 1.00-1.09 odds range, won 100.0% from 27 settled market tests.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1C. Chen
Opening8.10
↓
Current7.43
Dropped8.3%
2P. Nesterov
Opening1.05
↑
Current1.06
Drifted1.3%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while P. Nesterov is the market favorite:
- For 1st player win in Match Winner in the 7.40-7.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 12.5% / lost 87.5% from 112 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 11.1% / lost 88.9% from 72 settled market-outcome tests.
Winner 1st Set Predictions
BTR Win ProbabilityP. Nesterov
80%20%80%
1C. Chen20%2P. Nesterov80%
Confidence67%Best odds1.18Bookmakers4
Prediction Summary80.4% implied probability from 4 bookmakers
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.10-1.19 odds range won 82.3% from 67,689 backtested outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.10-1.19 odds range won 82.9% from 1,557 backtests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows 2nd player win in Match Winner 1st Set using current odds in the 1.10-1.19 odds range winning 91.3% from 23 settled outcomes.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1C. Chen
Opening5.44
↓
Current4.85
Dropped10.8%
2P. Nesterov
Opening1.13
↑
Current1.16
Drifted2.4%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while P. Nesterov is the market favorite:
- For 1st player win in Match Winner in the 4.80-4.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 21.3% / lost 78.8% from 80 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 13.2% / lost 86.8% from 129 settled market-outcome tests.
O/U Sets Full Time Predictions
BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 2.574%OpenClose
26%74%
Over2.526%Under2.574%
Confidence63%Best odds1.28Bookmakers3
Prediction Summary73.6% implied probability from 3 bookmakers
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range won 75.3% from 66,997 backtested outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting at current odds returned 72.8% wins in the 1.20-1.29 odds range from 1,971 settled outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting for Under in Over/Under Total Sets Full Match, priced by current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range, won 81.8% from 22 settled market tests.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Over2.5
Opening3.66
↓
Current3.52
Dropped3.8%
Under2.5
Opening1.23
↑
Current1.26
Drifted2.4%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 2.5 is the market favorite:
- For Over in Over/Under Total Sets in the 3.50-3.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 26.3% / lost 73.7% from 654 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 24.4% / lost 75.6% from 356 settled market-outcome tests.
O/U Games Full Time Predictions
BTR Win ProbabilityOver 1955%OpenClose
55%45%
Over1955%Under1945%
Confidence63%Best odds1.71Bookmakers3
Prediction Summary55.5% implied probability from 3 bookmakers
- odds dropped by 8.4% on average
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.60-1.69 odds range shows 58.7% wins from 78,015 settled tipster picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis picks at published odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.6% from 5,031 settled predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive shows Over in Over/Under Total Games Full Match priced in the 1.60-1.69 odds range winning 56.4% from 156 settled tipster picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 56.5% from 68,682 backtested outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.1% from 4,013 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows Over in Over/Under Total Games Full Match using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range winning 0.0% from 504 settled outcomes.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Over19
Opening1.82
↓
Current1.67
Dropped8.4%
Under19
Opening1.88
↑
Current2.08
Drifted10.4%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 19 is the market favorite:
- For Under in Over/Under Total Games Full Match in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 46.2% / lost 53.8% from 65 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 100.0% / lost 0.0% from 439 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityOver 18.559%OpenClose
59%41%
Over18.559%Under18.541%
Confidence59%Best odds1.61Bookmakers1
Prediction Summary59.0% implied probability from 1 bookmakers
- odds dropped by 6.4% on average
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.60-1.69 odds range shows 58.7% wins from 78,015 settled tipster picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis picks at published odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.6% from 5,031 settled predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive shows Over in Over/Under Total Games Full Match priced in the 1.60-1.69 odds range winning 56.4% from 156 settled tipster picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 56.5% from 68,682 backtested outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.1% from 4,013 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows Over in Over/Under Total Games Full Match using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range winning 0.0% from 504 settled outcomes.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Over18.5
Opening1.72
↓
Current1.61
Dropped6.4%
Under18.5
Opening2.11
↑
Current2.32
Drifted10.0%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 18.5 is the market favorite:
- For Under in Over/Under Total Games Full Match in the 2.30-2.39 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 42.1% / lost 57.9% from 19 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 100.0% / lost 0.0% from 117 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 20.557%OpenClose
43%57%
Over20.543%Under20.557%
Confidence52%Best odds1.66Bookmakers1
Prediction Summary57.3% implied probability from 1 bookmakers
- Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 58.7% from 78,015 settled predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive priced in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 59.6% wins from 5,031 settled picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: in Tennis, published picks on Under in Over/Under Total Games Full Match within the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 64.4% from 59 settled predictions
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 56.5% wins from 68,682 settled market tests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting at current odds returned 59.1% wins in the 1.60-1.69 odds range from 4,013 settled outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows Under in Over/Under Total Games Full Match using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range winning 100.0% from 614 settled outcomes.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Over20.5
Opening2.34
↓
Current2.23
Dropped4.7%
Under20.5
Opening1.59
↑
Current1.66
Drifted4.4%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 20.5 is the market favorite:
- For Over in Over/Under Total Games Full Match in the 2.20-2.29 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 43.3% / lost 56.7% from 30 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 0.0% / lost 100.0% from 245 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityOver 1862%OpenClose
62%38%
Over1862%Under1838%
Confidence54%Best odds1.52Bookmakers1
Prediction Summary62.2% implied probability from 1 bookmakers
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.50-1.59 odds range shows 63.0% wins from 62,748 settled tipster picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis picks at published odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 64.1% from 4,804 settled predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive shows Over in Over/Under Total Games Full Match priced in the 1.50-1.59 odds range winning 66.7% from 48 settled tipster picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 59.8% from 65,754 backtested outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 61.0% from 3,375 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows Over in Over/Under Total Games Full Match using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range winning 0.0% from 297 settled outcomes.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Over18
Opening1.52
→
Current1.52
No move0.0%
Under18
Opening2.52
↓
Current2.50
Dropped0.8%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 18 is the market favorite:
- For Under in Over/Under Total Games Full Match in the 2.50-2.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 41.7% / lost 58.3% from 12 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 100.0% / lost 0.0% from 61 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 2053%OpenClose
47%53%
Over2047%Under2053%
Confidence53%Best odds1.78Bookmakers3
Prediction Summary52.9% implied probability from 3 bookmakers
- Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 118,657 settled predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive priced in the 1.70-1.79 odds range returned 55.0% wins from 6,621 settled picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: in Tennis, published picks on Under in Over/Under Total Games Full Match within the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 53.7% from 257 settled predictions
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range returned 53.4% wins from 82,886 settled market tests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting at current odds returned 52.5% wins in the 1.70-1.79 odds range from 4,170 settled outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows Under in Over/Under Total Games Full Match using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range winning 100.0% from 671 settled outcomes.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Over20
Opening2.16
↓
Current1.97
Dropped9.0%
Under20
Opening1.62
↑
Current1.75
Drifted8.2%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 20 is the market favorite:
- For Over in Over/Under Total Games Full Match in the 1.90-1.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 55.4% / lost 44.6% from 354 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 0.0% / lost 100.0% from 622 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityOver 19.551%OpenClose
51%49%
Over19.551%Under19.549%
Confidence60%Best odds1.86Bookmakers3
Prediction Summary50.9% implied probability from 3 bookmakers
- odds dropped by 7.3% on average
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.80-1.89 odds range shows 53.3% wins from 166,603 settled tipster picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis picks at published odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 52.8% from 8,056 settled predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive shows Over in Over/Under Total Games Full Match priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range winning 52.6% from 525 settled tipster picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 49.9% from 139,375 backtested outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 50.1% from 5,702 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows Over in Over/Under Total Games Full Match using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range winning 0.0% from 733 settled outcomes.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Over19.5
Opening1.97
↓
Current1.83
Dropped7.3%
Under19.5
Opening1.76
↑
Current1.90
Drifted8.0%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 19.5 is the market favorite:
- For Under in Over/Under Total Games Full Match in the 1.90-1.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 46.5% / lost 53.6% from 211 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 100.0% / lost 0.0% from 574 settled market-outcome tests.
O/U Games 1st Set Predictions
BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 9.558%OpenClose
42%58%
Over9.542%Under9.558%
Confidence54%Best odds1.58Bookmakers2
Prediction Summary57.9% implied probability from 2 bookmakers
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.50-1.59 odds range shows 63.0% wins from 62,748 settled tipster picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis picks at published odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 64.1% from 4,804 settled predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: in Tennis, published picks on Under in Over/Under Total Sets 1st Set within the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 58.3% from 12 settled predictions
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 59.8% wins in the 1.50-1.59 odds range from 65,754 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 61.0% from 3,375 backtests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting for Under in Over/Under Total Sets 1st Set, priced by current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range, won 62.0% from 137 settled market tests.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Over9.5
Opening2.31
↓
Current2.17
Dropped6.1%
Under9.5
Opening1.52
↑
Current1.58
Drifted4.3%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 9.5 is the market favorite:
- For Over in Over/Under Total Sets 1st Set in the 2.10-2.19 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 48.9% / lost 51.1% from 227 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 43.2% / lost 56.8% from 118 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityOver 8.562%OpenClose
62%38%
Over8.562%Under8.538%
Confidence59%Best odds1.50Bookmakers3
Prediction Summary62.2% implied probability from 3 bookmakers
- odds dropped by 1.3% on average
- Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.6% from 53,277 settled records
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 66.9% wins from 3,122 settled picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: in Tennis, published picks on Over in Over/Under Total Sets 1st Set within the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 64.0% from 114 settled predictions
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 64.4% wins in the 1.40-1.49 odds range from 62,228 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 63.5% from 2,456 backtests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting for Over in Over/Under Total Sets 1st Set, priced by current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range, won 59.2% from 157 settled market tests.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Over8.5
Opening1.51
↓
Current1.49
Dropped1.3%
Under8.5
Opening2.39
↑
Current2.45
Drifted2.8%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 8.5 is the market favorite:
- For Under in Over/Under Total Sets 1st Set in the 2.40-2.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 41.7% / lost 58.3% from 12 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 72.2% / lost 27.8% from 18 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 10.578%OpenClose
22%78%
Over10.522%Under10.578%
Confidence62%Best odds1.21Bookmakers1
Prediction Summary78.1% implied probability from 1 bookmakers
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 75.3% wins in the 1.20-1.29 odds range from 66,997 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range won 72.8% from 1,971 backtests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting for Under in Over/Under Total Sets 1st Set, priced by current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range, won 72.3% from 401 settled market tests.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Over10.5
Opening4.51
↓
Current4.32
Dropped4.2%
Under10.5
Opening1.19
↑
Current1.21
Drifted1.7%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 10.5 is the market favorite:
- For Over in Over/Under Total Sets 1st Set in the 4.30-4.39 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 19.8% / lost 80.2% from 81 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 7.3% / lost 92.7% from 55 settled market-outcome tests.
AH Sets Full Time Predictions
BTR Win ProbabilityP. Nesterov
69%31%69%
1C. Chen31%2P. Nesterov69%
Confidence62%Best odds1.36Bookmakers4
Prediction Summary68.5% implied probability from 4 bookmakers
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.30-1.39 odds range shows 70.9% wins from 79,753 settled tipster picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive priced in the 1.30-1.39 odds range returned 72.8% wins from 3,070 settled picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive shows 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match priced in the 1.30-1.39 odds range winning 72.3% from 159 settled tipster picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range returned 69.0% wins from 68,793 settled market tests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 66.4% from 2,079 backtests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match using current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range winning 65.6% from 96 settled outcomes.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1C. Chen
Opening3.12
↓
Current2.94
Dropped5.6%
2P. Nesterov
Opening1.30
↑
Current1.35
Drifted3.5%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while P. Nesterov +1.5 is the market favorite:
- For 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match in the 2.90-2.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 33.3% / lost 66.7% from 12 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 28.6% / lost 71.4% from 21 settled market-outcome tests.
AH Games Full Time Predictions
BTR Win ProbabilityC. Chen +660%OpenClose
60%40%
1C. Chen60%2P. Nesterov40%
Confidence61%Best odds1.58Bookmakers1
Prediction Summary60.2% implied probability from 1 bookmakers
- odds dropped by 7.6% on average
- Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 62,748 settled records
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive priced in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 64.1% wins from 4,804 settled picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis tipsters taking 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match at prices in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 47.6% from 42 settled picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 59.8% wins in the 1.50-1.59 odds range from 65,754 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 61.0% from 3,375 backtests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting for 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match, priced by current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range, won 63.5% from 425 settled market tests.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1C. Chen
Opening1.71
↓
Current1.58
Dropped7.6%
2P. Nesterov
Opening2.11
↑
Current2.39
Drifted13.3%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while C. Chen +6 is the market favorite:
- For 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match in the 2.30-2.39 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 29.4% / lost 70.6% from 17 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 35.8% / lost 64.2% from 193 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityP. Nesterov +557%OpenClose
43%57%
1C. Chen43%2P. Nesterov57%
Confidence52%Best odds1.68Bookmakers1
Prediction Summary56.6% implied probability from 1 bookmakers
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.60-1.69 odds range shows 58.7% wins from 78,015 settled tipster picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis picks at published odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.6% from 5,031 settled predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive shows 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match priced in the 1.60-1.69 odds range winning 62.1% from 116 settled tipster picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 56.5% wins from 68,682 settled market tests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.1% from 4,013 backtests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range winning 58.2% from 498 settled outcomes.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1C. Chen
Opening2.45
↓
Current2.19
Dropped10.6%
2P. Nesterov
Opening1.54
↑
Current1.68
Drifted9.1%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while P. Nesterov +5 is the market favorite:
- For 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match in the 2.10-2.19 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 47.3% / lost 52.7% from 91 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 46.2% / lost 53.8% from 357 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityP. Nesterov +4.562%OpenClose
38%62%
1C. Chen38%2P. Nesterov62%
Confidence55%Best odds1.53Bookmakers1
Prediction Summary62.2% implied probability from 1 bookmakers
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.50-1.59 odds range shows 63.0% wins from 62,748 settled tipster picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis picks at published odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 64.1% from 4,804 settled predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive shows 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match priced in the 1.50-1.59 odds range winning 66.7% from 36 settled tipster picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 59.8% wins from 65,754 settled market tests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 61.0% from 3,375 backtests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range winning 58.9% from 435 settled outcomes.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1C. Chen
Opening2.76
↓
Current2.52
Dropped8.7%
2P. Nesterov
Opening1.44
↑
Current1.53
Drifted6.3%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while P. Nesterov +4.5 is the market favorite:
- For 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match in the 2.50-2.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 50.0% / lost 50.0% from 10 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 21.5% / lost 78.5% from 93 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityC. Chen +6.566%OpenClose
66%34%
1C. Chen66%2P. Nesterov34%
Confidence62%Best odds1.43Bookmakers1
Prediction Summary66.3% implied probability from 1 bookmakers
- odds dropped by 5.3% on average
- Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.6% from 53,277 settled records
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 66.9% wins from 3,122 settled picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis tipsters taking 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match at prices in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 55.6% from 27 settled picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 64.4% wins in the 1.40-1.49 odds range from 62,228 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 63.5% from 2,456 backtests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting for 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match, priced by current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range, won 68.9% from 341 settled market tests.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1C. Chen
Opening1.51
↓
Current1.43
Dropped5.3%
2P. Nesterov
Opening2.54
↑
Current2.81
Drifted10.6%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while C. Chen +6.5 is the market favorite:
- For 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap in the 2.80-2.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 35.0% / lost 65.0% from 821 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 40.9% / lost 59.1% from 44 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityC. Chen +5.551%OpenClose
51%49%
1C. Chen51%2P. Nesterov49%
Confidence62%Best odds1.88Bookmakers3
Prediction Summary50.6% implied probability from 3 bookmakers
- odds dropped by 10.1% on average
- Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.3% from 166,603 settled records
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range returned 52.8% wins from 8,056 settled picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis tipsters taking 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match at prices in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 54.2% from 561 settled picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 49.9% wins in the 1.80-1.89 odds range from 139,375 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 50.1% from 5,702 backtests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting for 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match, priced by current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range, won 50.1% from 718 settled market tests.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1C. Chen
Opening2.05
↓
Current1.84
Dropped10.1%
2P. Nesterov
Opening1.71
↑
Current1.89
Drifted10.5%
Odds Stats by SourceBalanced market context: historical stats by current odds range:
- For 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 54.2% / lost 45.8% from 561 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 50.1% / lost 49.9% from 718 settled market-outcome tests.
- For 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap Full Match in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 53.3% / lost 46.7% from 522 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 51.0% / lost 49.0% from 743 settled market-outcome tests.
AH Games 1st Set Predictions
BTR Win ProbabilityC. Chen +3.567%OpenClose
67%33%
1C. Chen67%2P. Nesterov33%
Confidence60%Best odds1.43Bookmakers1
Prediction Summary66.5% implied probability from 1 bookmakers
- odds dropped by 3.4% on average
- Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.6% from 53,277 settled records
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 66.9% wins from 3,122 settled picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis tipsters taking 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap 1st Set at prices in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 71.4% from 35 settled picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 64.4% from 62,228 backtested outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting at current odds returned 63.5% wins in the 1.40-1.49 odds range from 2,456 settled outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Tennis, 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap 1st Set tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 63.6% from 132 outcome checks.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1C. Chen
Opening1.48
↓
Current1.43
Dropped3.4%
2P. Nesterov
Opening2.62
↑
Current2.84
Drifted8.4%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while C. Chen +3.5 is the market favorite:
- For 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap in the 2.80-2.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 35.0% / lost 65.0% from 821 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 46.2% / lost 53.8% from 26 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityP. Nesterov +1.573%OpenClose
27%73%
1C. Chen27%2P. Nesterov73%
Confidence59%Best odds1.30Bookmakers1
Prediction Summary72.7% implied probability from 1 bookmakers
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.30-1.39 odds range shows 70.9% wins from 79,753 settled tipster picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Tennis tipster picks in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 72.8% from 3,070 predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: in Tennis, published picks on 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap 1st Set within the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 87.9% from 33 settled predictions
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range returned 69.0% wins from 68,793 settled market tests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database using current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 66.4% from 2,079 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Tennis, 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap 1st Set tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 73.2% from 112 outcome checks.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1C. Chen
Opening3.70
↓
Current3.46
Dropped6.5%
2P. Nesterov
Opening1.26
↑
Current1.30
Drifted3.2%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while P. Nesterov +1.5 is the market favorite:
- For 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap in the 3.40-3.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 27.9% / lost 72.1% from 727 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 33.3% / lost 66.7% from 15 settled market-outcome tests.
BTR Win ProbabilityC. Chen +2.550%OpenClose
50%50%
1C. Chen50%2P. Nesterov50%
Confidence32%Best odds1.83Bookmakers2
Prediction Summary50.0% implied probability from 2 bookmakers
- odds dropped by 6.2% on average
- Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.3% from 166,603 settled records
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range returned 52.8% wins from 8,056 settled picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive shows 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap 1st Set priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range winning 72.7% from 11 settled tipster picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 49.9% from 139,375 backtested outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting at current odds returned 50.1% wins in the 1.80-1.89 odds range from 5,702 settled outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Tennis, 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap 1st Set tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 42.3% from 189 outcome checks.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
1C. Chen
Opening1.95
↓
Current1.83
Dropped6.2%
2P. Nesterov
Opening1.72
↑
Current1.83
Drifted6.4%
Odds Stats by SourceBalanced market context: historical stats by current odds range:
- For 1st player handicap cover in Asian Handicap 1st Set in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 72.7% / lost 27.3% from 11 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 42.3% / lost 57.7% from 189 settled market-outcome tests.
- For 2nd player handicap cover in Asian Handicap 1st Set in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 72.7% / lost 27.3% from 11 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 57.5% / lost 42.5% from 179 settled market-outcome tests.
CS Full Time Predictions
BTR Win Probability0:265%OpenClose
65%21%7%Others
0:265%1:221%2:07%2:17%
Confidence60%Best odds1.40Bookmakers4
Prediction Summary65.4% implied probability from 4 bookmakers
- best bookmaker price is 4.3% above the market average
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.30-1.39 odds range shows 70.9% wins from 79,753 settled tipster picks
- Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Tennis tipster picks in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 72.8% from 3,070 predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: in Tennis, published picks on 0:2 exact score in Correct Set Score Full Match within the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 78.4% from 37 settled predictions
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 69.0% wins in the 1.30-1.39 odds range from 68,793 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 66.4% from 2,079 backtests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows 0:2 exact score in Correct Set Score Full Match using opening odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range winning 83.3% from 12 settled outcomes.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
0:2
Opening1.31
↑
Current1.34
Drifted2.7%
1:2
Opening4.45
↓
Current4.24
Dropped4.8%
2:0
Opening12.86
↓
Current12.25
Dropped4.8%
2:1
Opening14.36
↓
Current13.25
Dropped7.7%
Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while 0:2 is the market favorite:
- For 1:2 exact score in Correct Set Score Full Match in the 4.20-4.29 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 19.5% / lost 80.5% from 41 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 26.9% / lost 73.1% from 26 settled market-outcome tests.
- For 2:0 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 12.20-12.29 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 13.0% / lost 87.0% from 46 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 8.3% / lost 91.7% from 48 settled market-outcome tests.
- For 2:1 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 13.20-13.29 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 2.8% / lost 97.2% from 36 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 1.5% / lost 98.5% from 65 settled market-outcome tests.
O/E Full Time Predictions
BTR Win ProbabilityBalanced Odd/Even50%OpenClose
50%50%
Even50%Odd50%
Confidence26%Best odds1.83Bookmakers2
Prediction Summary50.0% implied probability from 2 bookmakers
- Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.3% from 166,603 settled records
- Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Tennis tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 52.8% from 8,056 predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive shows even total games in Odd/Even Total Games Full Match priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range winning 48.2% from 496 settled tipster picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 49.9% wins in the 1.80-1.89 odds range from 139,375 settled outcome checks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting at current odds returned 50.1% wins in the 1.80-1.89 odds range from 5,702 settled outcomes
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Tennis, even total games in Odd/Even Total Games Full Match tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 62.5% from 467 outcome checks.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Even
Opening1.83
→
Current1.83
No move0.0%
Odd
Opening1.83
→
Current1.83
No move0.0%
Odds Stats by SourceBalanced market context: historical stats by current odds range:
- For odd total games in Odd/Even Total Games Full Match in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 50.6% / lost 49.4% from 585 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 38.0% / lost 62.0% from 468 settled market-outcome tests.
- For even total games in Odd/Even Total Games Full Match in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 48.2% / lost 51.8% from 496 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 62.5% / lost 37.5% from 467 settled market-outcome tests.
O/E 1st Set Predictions
BTR Win ProbabilityBalanced Odd/Even (1st Set)50%OpenClose
50%50%
Even50%Odd50%
Confidence51%Best odds1.82Bookmakers2
Prediction Summary50.3% implied probability from 2 bookmakers
- Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.3% from 166,603 settled records
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis picks at published odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 52.8% from 8,056 settled predictions
- Historical Tipster Predictions: Tennis tipsters taking even total sets in Odd/Even Total Sets 1st Set at prices in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 51.9% from 27 settled picks
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range returned 49.9% wins from 139,375 settled market tests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 50.1% from 5,702 backtests
- Recent Hypothetical Picks: Tennis backtesting for even total sets in Odd/Even Total Sets 1st Set, priced by current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range, won 60.0% from 105 settled market tests.
Opening Odds vs Current Odds
Even
Opening1.80
↑
Current1.82
Drifted1.1%
Odd
Opening1.86
↓
Current1.84
Dropped1.1%
Odds Stats by SourceBalanced market context: historical stats by current odds range:
- For even total sets in Odd/Even Total Sets 1st Set in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 51.9% / lost 48.1% from 27 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 60.0% / lost 40.0% from 105 settled market-outcome tests.
- For odd total sets in Odd/Even Total Sets 1st Set in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 53.1% / lost 46.9% from 32 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 41.1% / lost 58.9% from 175 settled market-outcome tests.
My pick
C. Chen vs P. Nesterov tennis predictions
Discover community predictions and betting tips for C. Chen vs P. Nesterov in the Challenger Men - Singles: Villena (Spain) - Qualification, Hard on 04.10.2026. Review high-yield tipster selections, community consensus, and detailed picks for this specific tennis matchup. Combine our community's betting insights with real-time odds, head-to-head stats, and tournament context to build a smarter betting strategy.
C. Chen vs P. Nesterov Predictions by Live Score Odds


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