Surrey vs Kent Cricket Predictions, Tips & Picks

cricket / England / One-Day Cup

05.08.2026 10:00

Surrey

286/1048.3 ov191/1041.5 ov

Kent

Finished

Surrey vs Kent Predictions

Draw No Bet

BTR Win ProbabilityKent

54%

46%54%

1Surrey46%2Kent54%

Confidence67%Best odds1.88Bookmakers7

Prediction Summary53.6% implied probability from 7 bookmakers

odds dropped by 6.8% on average
best bookmaker price is 7.3% above the market average
best bookmaker price is 13.3% above the lowest available odds
best price is 0.7% above fair odds
Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 114,719 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Cricket tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 54.8% from 155 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 52.8% wins in the 1.70-1.79 odds range from 78,013 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Cricket market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 56.3% from 80 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Cricket, 2nd team win in Moneyline Full Time Including OT tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 72.4% from 29 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Surrey

Opening1.87

Current2.02

Drifted8.3%

2Kent

Opening1.88

Current1.75

Dropped6.8%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Kent is the market favorite:

For 1st team win in Moneyline Full Time Including OT in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 90.9% / lost 9.1% from 11 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 20.7% / lost 79.3% from 29 settled market-outcome tests.

How BTR Win Probability is Calculated

Standard sports statistics are completely blind to real-world context like team motivation, tactical lineup shifts, or irregular lower-league match outcomes.

Our BTR Win Probability uses a double-layered, anomaly-resistant algorithm to cut through market noise and deliver the authentic layout of a match:

Historical Tipster Predictions: We compare today's prices with a proprietary archive of over 1,000,000 settled tipster predictions tracked since 2015, showing how real published picks performed in the same odds range, sport, market, period, and outcome. This matters because very few prediction sites can support their probabilities with such a large transparent record of real historical picks.

Recent Hypothetical Picks: We also backtest recent settled odds markets by treating each available outcome as a hypothetical pick, then checking it against the real result. This shows how similar prices performed in live match conditions, even when no tipster selected that outcome.

BTR Probability Blend: The final percentage balances bookmaker implied probability, historical tipster predictions, recent hypothetical picks, market movement, and bookmaker consensus. This helps reduce blind trust in very short odds while still rewarding prices that have performed well in similar conditions.

By fusing traditional lines with a decade of community conviction, we provide an unfiltered, back-tested projection you can trust.

My pick