Queensland vs New South Wales Cricket Predictions, Tips & Picks

cricket / Australia / One-Day Cup (Australia)

22.09.2026 04:00

Queensland

358/1049.5 ov359/649.0 ov

New South Wales

Finished

Queensland vs New South Wales Predictions

DNB Full + Over Time Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityNew South Wales

56%

44%56%

1Queensland44%2New South Wales56%

Confidence62%Best odds1.75Bookmakers6

Prediction Summary56.0% implied probability from 6 bookmakers

odds dropped by 2.5% on average
best bookmaker price is 4.1% above the market average
best bookmaker price is 14.4% above the lowest available odds
Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 58.6% from 77,804 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: Cricket picks at published odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 55.2% from 136 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: Cricket tipsters taking 2nd team win in Moneyline Full Time Including OT at prices in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 70.0% from 10 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 56.5% wins from 59,976 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Cricket backtesting at current odds returned 71.4% wins in the 1.60-1.69 odds range from 14 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Cricket match database shows 2nd team win in Moneyline Full Time Including OT using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range winning 90.0% from 10 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Queensland

Opening2.07

Current2.15

Drifted3.9%

2New South Wales

Opening1.73

Current1.68

Dropped2.5%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while New South Wales is the market favorite:

For 1st team win in Moneyline Full Time Including OT in the 2.10-2.19 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 25.0% / lost 75.0% from 16 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 60.0% / lost 40.0% from 15 settled market-outcome tests.

O/U Runs Full Time Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 529.552%OpenClose

48%52%

Over529.548%Under529.552%

Confidence50%Best odds1.76Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary52.0% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 118,260 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Cricket archive priced in the 1.70-1.79 odds range returned 55.1% wins from 156 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 52.9% from 67,875 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Cricket match database using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 44.8% from 29 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Cricket backtesting for Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Match, priced by current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range, won 60.0% from 10 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over529.5

Opening1.91

Current1.91

No move0.0%

Under529.5

Opening1.76

Current1.76

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 529.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 1.90-1.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 49.6% / lost 50.4% from 123 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 40.0% / lost 60.0% from 10 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 545.552%OpenClose

48%52%

Over545.548%Under545.552%

Confidence50%Best odds1.76Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary52.0% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 118,260 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Cricket archive priced in the 1.70-1.79 odds range returned 55.1% wins from 156 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 52.9% from 67,875 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Cricket match database using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 44.8% from 29 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Cricket backtesting for Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Match, priced by current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range, won 60.0% from 10 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over545.5

Opening1.91

Current1.91

No move0.0%

Under545.5

Opening1.76

Current1.76

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 545.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 1.90-1.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 49.6% / lost 50.4% from 123 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 40.0% / lost 60.0% from 10 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 528.550%OpenClose

50%50%

Over528.550%Under528.550%

Confidence24%Best odds1.83Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary50.0% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.3% from 166,168 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Cricket tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 60.2% from 196 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 50.2% from 100,752 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Cricket backtesting at current odds returned 57.1% wins in the 1.80-1.89 odds range from 35 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Cricket, Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Match tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 61.5% from 13 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over528.5

Opening1.83

Current1.83

No move0.0%

Under528.5

Opening1.83

Current1.83

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceBalanced market context: historical stats by current odds range:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 60.2% / lost 39.8% from 196 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 61.5% / lost 38.5% from 13 settled market-outcome tests.
For Under in Over/Under Total Runs in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 60.2% / lost 39.8% from 196 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 41.7% / lost 58.3% from 12 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 530.550%OpenClose

50%50%

Over530.550%Under530.550%

Confidence24%Best odds1.83Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary50.0% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.3% from 166,168 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Cricket tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 60.2% from 196 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 50.2% from 100,752 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Cricket backtesting at current odds returned 57.1% wins in the 1.80-1.89 odds range from 35 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Cricket, Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Match tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 61.5% from 13 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over530.5

Opening1.83

Current1.83

No move0.0%

Under530.5

Opening1.83

Current1.83

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceBalanced market context: historical stats by current odds range:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 60.2% / lost 39.8% from 196 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 61.5% / lost 38.5% from 13 settled market-outcome tests.
For Under in Over/Under Total Runs in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 60.2% / lost 39.8% from 196 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 41.7% / lost 58.3% from 12 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 535.550%OpenClose

50%50%

Over535.550%Under535.550%

Confidence24%Best odds1.83Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary50.0% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.3% from 166,168 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Cricket tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 60.2% from 196 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 50.2% from 100,752 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Cricket backtesting at current odds returned 57.1% wins in the 1.80-1.89 odds range from 35 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Cricket, Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Match tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 61.5% from 13 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over535.5

Opening1.83

Current1.83

No move0.0%

Under535.5

Opening1.83

Current1.83

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceBalanced market context: historical stats by current odds range:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 60.2% / lost 39.8% from 196 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 61.5% / lost 38.5% from 13 settled market-outcome tests.
For Under in Over/Under Total Runs in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 60.2% / lost 39.8% from 196 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 41.7% / lost 58.3% from 12 settled market-outcome tests.

How BTR Win Probability is Calculated

Standard sports statistics are completely blind to real-world context like team motivation, tactical lineup shifts, or irregular lower-league match outcomes.

Our BTR Win Probability uses a double-layered, anomaly-resistant algorithm to cut through market noise and deliver the authentic layout of a match:

Historical Tipster Predictions: We compare today's prices with a proprietary archive of over 1,000,000 settled tipster predictions tracked since 2015, showing how real published picks performed in the same odds range, sport, market, period, and outcome. This matters because very few prediction sites can support their probabilities with such a large transparent record of real historical picks.

Recent Hypothetical Picks: We also backtest recent settled odds markets by treating each available outcome as a hypothetical pick, then checking it against the real result. This shows how similar prices performed in live match conditions, even when no tipster selected that outcome.

BTR Probability Blend: The final percentage balances bookmaker implied probability, historical tipster predictions, recent hypothetical picks, market movement, and bookmaker consensus. This helps reduce blind trust in very short odds while still rewarding prices that have performed well in similar conditions.

By fusing traditional lines with a decade of community conviction, we provide an unfiltered, back-tested projection you can trust.

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