Chinatrust Brothers vs TSG Hawks Baseball Predictions, Tips & Picks

baseball / Taiwan / Cpbl - Second Stage

04.10.2026 09:05

Chinatrust Brothers

12-1

TSG Hawks

Finished

Chinatrust Brothers vs TSG Hawks Predictions

DNB Full + Over Time Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityChinatrust Brothers

65%

65%35%

1Chinatrust Brothers65%2TSG Hawks35%

Confidence83%Best odds1.81Bookmakers9

Prediction Summary64.5% implied probability from 9 bookmakers

odds dropped by 12.5% on average
best bookmaker price is 24.5% above the market average
best bookmaker price is 32.1% above the lowest available odds
best price is 16.8% above fair odds
Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.6% from 53,277 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.7% from 143 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 64.4% from 62,228 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 59.9% from 1,542 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 1st team win in Moneyline Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 67.9% from 28 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Chinatrust Brothers

Opening1.67

Current1.45

Dropped12.8%

2TSG Hawks

Opening2.11

Current2.66

Drifted26.2%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Chinatrust Brothers is the market favorite:

For 2nd team win in Moneyline in the 2.60-2.69 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 40.2% / lost 59.8% from 107 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 30.8% / lost 69.2% from 13 settled market-outcome tests.

O/U Full + Over Time Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 7.556%OpenClose

56%44%

Over7.556%Under7.544%

Confidence64%Best odds1.71Bookmakers6

Prediction Summary56.4% implied probability from 6 bookmakers

odds dropped by 4.4% on average
best bookmaker price is 4.6% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.60-1.69 odds range shows 58.7% wins from 78,015 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.2% from 573 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 56.5% from 68,682 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 51.8% wins in the 1.60-1.69 odds range from 1,706 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range winning 63.1% from 255 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over7.5

Opening1.71

Current1.64

Dropped4.5%

Under7.5

Opening2.01

Current2.12

Drifted5.4%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 7.5 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 2.10-2.19 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 56.0% / lost 44.0% from 25 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 39.4% / lost 60.6% from 165 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 9.560%OpenClose

40%60%

Over9.540%Under9.560%

Confidence59%Best odds1.62Bookmakers5

Prediction Summary60.0% implied probability from 5 bookmakers

best bookmaker price is 5.1% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 62,748 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 262 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 59.8% wins from 65,754 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 54.0% wins in the 1.50-1.59 odds range from 1,892 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 52.7% from 349 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over9.5

Opening2.46

Current2.31

Dropped6.2%

Under9.5

Opening1.48

Current1.54

Drifted4.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 9.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.30-2.39 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 67.6% / lost 32.4% from 37 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 47.3% / lost 52.7% from 129 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 955%OpenClose

45%55%

Over945%Under955%

Confidence54%Best odds1.74Bookmakers3

Prediction Summary55.1% implied probability from 3 bookmakers

best bookmaker price is 4.0% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 58.7% from 78,015 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.2% from 573 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 56.5% wins from 68,682 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 51.8% wins in the 1.60-1.69 odds range from 1,706 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 48.7% from 259 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over9

Opening2.26

Current2.05

Dropped9.3%

Under9

Opening1.56

Current1.67

Drifted7.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 9 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 17.7% / lost 82.4% from 17 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 54.1% / lost 45.9% from 196 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 854%OpenClose

54%46%

Over854%Under846%

Confidence62%Best odds1.74Bookmakers3

Prediction Summary54.2% implied probability from 3 bookmakers

odds dropped by 8.1% on average
Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.70-1.79 odds range shows 55.4% wins from 118,657 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 54.5% from 909 predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball tipsters taking Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings at prices in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 70.0% from 10 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 53.4% from 82,886 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 48.2% wins in the 1.70-1.79 odds range from 1,315 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range winning 56.0% from 209 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over8

Opening1.85

Current1.70

Dropped8.1%

Under8

Opening1.85

Current2.01

Drifted9.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 8 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 26.3% / lost 73.7% from 19 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 41.3% / lost 58.7% from 196 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 1064%OpenClose

36%64%

Over1036%Under1064%

Confidence58%Best odds1.50Bookmakers3

Prediction Summary63.6% implied probability from 3 bookmakers

best bookmaker price is 3.7% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.6% from 53,277 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.7% from 143 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 64.4% wins from 62,228 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 59.9% wins in the 1.40-1.49 odds range from 1,542 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 53.8% from 253 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over10

Opening2.71

Current2.53

Dropped6.5%

Under10

Opening1.39

Current1.45

Drifted3.8%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 10 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.50-2.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 92.3% / lost 7.7% from 13 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 52.9% / lost 47.1% from 140 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 764%OpenClose

64%36%

Over764%Under736%

Confidence65%Best odds1.46Bookmakers3

Prediction Summary64.1% implied probability from 3 bookmakers

odds dropped by 6.9% on average
Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.40-1.49 odds range shows 66.6% wins from 53,277 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.7% from 143 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 64.4% from 62,228 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 59.9% wins in the 1.40-1.49 odds range from 1,542 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range winning 72.7% from 242 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over7

Opening1.54

Current1.43

Dropped6.9%

Under7

Opening2.31

Current2.57

Drifted11.3%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 7 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.50-2.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 92.3% / lost 7.7% from 13 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 28.7% / lost 71.3% from 108 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 8.551%OpenClose

49%51%

Over8.549%Under8.551%

Confidence48%Best odds1.93Bookmakers7

Prediction Summary51.1% implied probability from 7 bookmakers

best bookmaker price is 5.8% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.3% from 166,603 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 51.6% from 1,220 predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: in Baseball, published picks on Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings within the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 61.9% from 21 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range returned 49.9% wins from 139,375 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 49.9% wins in the 1.80-1.89 odds range from 1,712 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 46.2% from 234 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over8.5

Opening1.96

Current1.90

Dropped3.1%

Under8.5

Opening1.74

Current1.82

Drifted4.8%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 8.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 1.90-1.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 52.0% / lost 48.0% from 25 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 52.2% / lost 47.8% from 209 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 6.564%OpenClose

64%36%

Over6.564%Under6.536%

Confidence57%Best odds1.46Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary63.9% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

odds dropped by 0.7% on average
Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.40-1.49 odds range shows 66.6% wins from 53,277 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.7% from 143 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 64.4% from 62,228 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 59.9% wins in the 1.40-1.49 odds range from 1,542 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range winning 72.7% from 242 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over6.5

Opening1.47

Current1.46

Dropped0.7%

Under6.5

Opening2.57

Current2.59

Drifted1.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 6.5 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.50-2.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 92.3% / lost 7.7% from 13 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 28.7% / lost 71.3% from 108 settled market-outcome tests.

O/U 1st Inning Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 1.571%OpenClose

29%71%

Over1.529%Under1.571%

Confidence60%Best odds1.28Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary70.9% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range returned 75.3% wins from 66,997 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range won 65.7% from 1,188 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for Under in Over/Under Total Runs 1st Inning, priced by current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range, won 0.0% from 98 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over1.5

Opening3.27

Current3.11

Dropped4.9%

Under1.5

Opening1.26

Current1.28

Drifted1.2%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 1.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 3.10-3.19 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 26.9% / lost 73.1% from 26 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 100.0% / lost 0.0% from 11 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 0.551%OpenClose

49%51%

Over0.549%Under0.551%

Confidence51%Best odds1.78Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary51.1% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.70-1.79 odds range shows 55.4% wins from 118,657 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 54.5% from 909 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball tipsters taking Under in Over/Under Total Runs 1st Inning at prices in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 51.1% from 45 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range returned 53.4% wins from 82,886 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 48.2% from 1,315 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for Under in Over/Under Total Runs 1st Inning, priced by current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range, won 0.0% from 47 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over0.5

Opening1.92

Current1.85

Dropped3.6%

Under0.5

Opening1.73

Current1.77

Drifted2.3%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 0.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs 1st Inning in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 52.4% / lost 47.6% from 21 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 100.0% / lost 0.0% from 47 settled market-outcome tests.

AH Full + Over Time Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityTSG Hawks -2.557%OpenClose

43%57%

1Chinatrust Brothers43%2TSG Hawks57%

Confidence57%Best odds1.76Bookmakers4

Prediction Summary57.0% implied probability from 4 bookmakers

best bookmaker price is 8.8% above the market average
best bookmaker price is 15.8% above the lowest available odds
best price is 0.4% above fair odds
Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 58.7% from 78,015 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.2% from 573 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 56.5% wins in the 1.60-1.69 odds range from 68,682 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 51.8% from 1,706 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 2nd team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 52.2% from 115 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Chinatrust Brothers

Opening2.50

Current2.15

Dropped14.0%

2TSG Hawks

Opening1.46

Current1.62

Drifted11.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while TSG Hawks -2.5 is the market favorite:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.10-2.19 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 41.2% / lost 58.8% from 291 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 60.4% / lost 39.6% from 48 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityTSG Hawks -363%OpenClose

37%63%

1Chinatrust Brothers37%2TSG Hawks63%

Confidence58%Best odds1.59Bookmakers3

Prediction Summary62.8% implied probability from 3 bookmakers

best bookmaker price is 8.7% above the market average
best bookmaker price is 13.6% above the lowest available odds
Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.6% from 53,277 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.7% from 143 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 64.4% wins in the 1.40-1.49 odds range from 62,228 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 59.9% from 1,542 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 2nd team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 64.0% from 211 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Chinatrust Brothers

Opening3.03

Current2.47

Dropped18.4%

2TSG Hawks

Opening1.31

Current1.46

Drifted12.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while TSG Hawks -3 is the market favorite:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.40-2.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 45.3% / lost 54.7% from 192 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 45.0% / lost 55.0% from 60 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityChinatrust Brothers -1.551%OpenClose

51%49%

1Chinatrust Brothers51%2TSG Hawks49%

Confidence59%Best odds2.00Bookmakers7

Prediction Summary51.5% implied probability from 7 bookmakers

odds dropped by 12.5% on average
best bookmaker price is 10.1% above the market average
best bookmaker price is 19.0% above the lowest available odds
best price is 2.9% above fair odds
Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.3% from 166,603 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 51.6% from 1,220 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range returned 49.9% wins from 139,375 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 49.9% from 1,712 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range, won 53.3% from 92 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Chinatrust Brothers

Opening2.10

Current1.82

Dropped13.5%

2TSG Hawks

Opening1.69

Current1.93

Drifted14.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Chinatrust Brothers -1.5 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 1.90-1.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 48.5% / lost 51.5% from 827 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 46.3% / lost 53.7% from 67 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityTSG Hawks -253%OpenClose

47%53%

1Chinatrust Brothers47%2TSG Hawks53%

Confidence48%Best odds1.96Bookmakers3

Prediction Summary53.5% implied probability from 3 bookmakers

best bookmaker price is 13.1% above the market average
best bookmaker price is 21.0% above the lowest available odds
best price is 4.8% above fair odds
Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 118,657 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 54.5% from 909 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 53.4% wins in the 1.70-1.79 odds range from 82,886 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 48.2% from 1,315 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 2nd team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 42.1% from 76 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Chinatrust Brothers

Opening2.61

Current1.99

Dropped23.9%

2TSG Hawks

Opening1.45

Current1.73

Drifted19.5%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while TSG Hawks -2 is the market favorite:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 1.90-1.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 48.5% / lost 51.5% from 827 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 55.1% / lost 44.9% from 49 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityChinatrust Brothers -158%OpenClose

58%42%

1Chinatrust Brothers58%2TSG Hawks42%

Confidence64%Best odds1.55Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary58.3% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

odds dropped by 18.4% on average
Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 62,748 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 262 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 59.8% wins from 65,754 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 54.0% from 1,892 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range, won 60.6% from 226 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Chinatrust Brothers

Opening1.93

Current1.55

Dropped19.5%

2TSG Hawks

Opening1.77

Current2.17

Drifted22.9%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Chinatrust Brothers -1 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.10-2.19 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 41.2% / lost 58.8% from 291 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 32.8% / lost 67.2% from 67 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityChinatrust Brothers +277%OpenClose

77%23%

1Chinatrust Brothers77%2TSG Hawks23%

Confidence66%Best odds1.29Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary76.7% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

odds dropped by 3.3% on average
best bookmaker price is 6.6% above the market average
best bookmaker price is 14.2% above the lowest available odds
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range returned 75.3% wins from 66,997 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range won 65.7% from 1,188 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range, won 71.9% from 238 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Chinatrust Brothers

Opening1.25

Current1.21

Dropped3.2%

2TSG Hawks

Opening3.58

Current4.23

Drifted18.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Chinatrust Brothers +2 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 4.20-4.29 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 23.8% / lost 76.2% from 4,385 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 32.0% / lost 68.0% from 25 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityTSG Hawks -3.562%OpenClose

38%62%

1Chinatrust Brothers38%2TSG Hawks62%

Confidence54%Best odds1.50Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary61.7% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 62,748 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 262 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 59.8% wins in the 1.50-1.59 odds range from 65,754 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 54.0% from 1,892 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 2nd team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 57.8% from 135 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Chinatrust Brothers

Opening2.85

Current2.42

Dropped15.1%

2TSG Hawks

Opening1.37

Current1.50

Drifted9.5%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while TSG Hawks -3.5 is the market favorite:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.40-2.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 45.3% / lost 54.7% from 192 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 45.0% / lost 55.0% from 60 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityChinatrust Brothers +2.579%OpenClose

79%21%

1Chinatrust Brothers79%2TSG Hawks21%

Confidence66%Best odds1.23Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary78.8% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

odds dropped by 3.0% on average
best bookmaker price is 5.1% above the market average
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.10-1.19 odds range returned 82.3% wins from 67,689 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.10-1.19 odds range won 72.1% from 875 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.10-1.19 odds range, won 78.7% from 216 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Chinatrust Brothers

Opening1.21

Current1.17

Dropped2.9%

2TSG Hawks

Opening3.90

Current4.55

Drifted16.7%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Chinatrust Brothers +2.5 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 4.50-4.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 21.5% / lost 78.5% from 4,175 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 21.7% / lost 78.3% from 23 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityChinatrust Brothers +172%OpenClose

72%28%

1Chinatrust Brothers72%2TSG Hawks28%

Confidence71%Best odds1.25Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary72.4% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

odds dropped by 12.8% on average
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range returned 75.3% wins from 66,997 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range won 65.7% from 1,188 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range, won 71.9% from 238 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Chinatrust Brothers

Opening1.45

Current1.25

Dropped13.5%

2TSG Hawks

Opening2.54

Current3.28

Drifted29.4%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Chinatrust Brothers +1 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 3.20-3.29 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 23.1% / lost 76.9% from 39 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 28.3% / lost 71.7% from 46 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityChinatrust Brothers +1.575%OpenClose

75%25%

1Chinatrust Brothers75%2TSG Hawks25%

Confidence72%Best odds1.22Bookmakers3

Prediction Summary75.2% implied probability from 3 bookmakers

odds dropped by 9.1% on average
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range returned 75.3% wins from 66,997 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range won 65.7% from 1,188 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range, won 71.9% from 238 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Chinatrust Brothers

Opening1.34

Current1.22

Dropped9.4%

2TSG Hawks

Opening2.98

Current3.71

Drifted24.2%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Chinatrust Brothers +1.5 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 3.70-3.79 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 26.3% / lost 73.7% from 10,781 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 37.5% / lost 62.5% from 24 settled market-outcome tests.

AH 1st 5 Innings Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityChinatrust Brothers +063%OpenClose

63%37%

1Chinatrust Brothers63%2TSG Hawks37%

Confidence62%Best odds1.43Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary63.0% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

odds dropped by 5.3% on average
Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.40-1.49 odds range shows 66.6% wins from 53,277 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.7% from 143 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 64.4% from 62,228 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 59.9% from 1,542 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows 1st team run line cover in Run Line 1st 5 Innings using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range winning 65.1% from 43 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Chinatrust Brothers

Opening1.51

Current1.43

Dropped5.3%

2TSG Hawks

Opening2.23

Current2.43

Drifted9.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Chinatrust Brothers +0 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.40-2.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 45.3% / lost 54.7% from 192 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 20.0% / lost 80.0% from 20 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityTSG Hawks -1.551%OpenClose

49%51%

1Chinatrust Brothers49%2TSG Hawks51%

Confidence50%Best odds1.80Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary51.5% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.3% from 166,603 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 51.6% from 1,220 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 49.9% wins in the 1.80-1.89 odds range from 139,375 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 49.9% from 1,712 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 2nd team run line cover in Run Line 1st 5 Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 41.4% from 70 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Chinatrust Brothers

Opening2.05

Current1.91

Dropped6.8%

2TSG Hawks

Opening1.70

Current1.80

Drifted5.9%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while TSG Hawks -1.5 is the market favorite:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 1.90-1.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 48.5% / lost 51.5% from 827 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 52.3% / lost 47.7% from 44 settled market-outcome tests.

How BTR Win Probability is Calculated

Standard sports statistics are completely blind to real-world context like team motivation, tactical lineup shifts, or irregular lower-league match outcomes.

Our BTR Win Probability uses a double-layered, anomaly-resistant algorithm to cut through market noise and deliver the authentic layout of a match:

Historical Tipster Predictions: We compare today's prices with a proprietary archive of over 1,000,000 settled tipster predictions tracked since 2015, showing how real published picks performed in the same odds range, sport, market, period, and outcome. This matters because very few prediction sites can support their probabilities with such a large transparent record of real historical picks.

Recent Hypothetical Picks: We also backtest recent settled odds markets by treating each available outcome as a hypothetical pick, then checking it against the real result. This shows how similar prices performed in live match conditions, even when no tipster selected that outcome.

BTR Probability Blend: The final percentage balances bookmaker implied probability, historical tipster predictions, recent hypothetical picks, market movement, and bookmaker consensus. This helps reduce blind trust in very short odds while still rewarding prices that have performed well in similar conditions.

By fusing traditional lines with a decade of community conviction, we provide an unfiltered, back-tested projection you can trust.

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