L. Giustino vs E. Carrascosa Diaz Predictions, Tips & Picks

tennis / Itf Men - Singles / M25 Sabadell 2 (Spain), Clay

23.09.2026 09:00

L. Giustino

E. Carrascosa Diaz

09:00

L. Giustino vs E. Carrascosa Diaz Predictions

Winner Full Time Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityL. Giustino

86%

86%14%

1L. Giustino86%2E. Carrascosa Diaz14%

Confidence66%Best odds1.10Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary85.5% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.10-1.19 odds range returned 82.2% wins from 77,461 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.10-1.19 odds range won 84.1% from 1,519 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Tennis, 1st player win in Match Winner Full Match tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.10-1.19 odds range won 90.9% from 99 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1L. Giustino

Opening1.10

Current1.10

No move0.0%

2E. Carrascosa Diaz

Opening6.50

Current6.50

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while L. Giustino is the market favorite:

For 2nd player win in Match Winner in the 6.50-6.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 10.0% / lost 90.0% from 10 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 0.0% / lost 100.0% from 14 settled market-outcome tests.

CS 1st Set Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityBalanced Correct Score 1st Half17%OpenClose

17%16%14%Others

6:317%6:216%6:114%6:413%6:07%7:56%7:66%4:65%3:64%6:73%2:63%5:73%1:62%0:61%

Confidence36%Best odds4.50Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary17.2% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 4.50-4.59 odds range shows 21.4% wins from 4,166 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive priced in the 4.50-4.59 odds range returned 18.6% wins from 371 settled picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Tennis archive shows 6:3 exact score in Correct Set Score priced in the 4.50-4.59 odds range winning 19.6% from 46 settled tipster picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 4.50-4.59 odds range returned 19.1% wins from 9,970 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Tennis market outcomes priced by current odds in the 4.50-4.59 odds range won 17.4% from 281 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Tennis match database shows 6:3 exact score in Correct Set Score 1st Set using current odds in the 4.50-4.59 odds range winning 23.1% from 13 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

6:3

Opening4.50

Current4.50

No move0.0%

6:2

Opening4.75

Current4.75

No move0.0%

6:1

Opening5.50

Current5.50

No move0.0%

6:4

Opening6.00

Current6.00

No move0.0%

6:0

Opening11.00

Current11.00

No move0.0%

7:5

Opening13.00

Current13.00

No move0.0%

7:6

Opening13.00

Current13.00

No move0.0%

4:6

Opening15.00

Current15.00

No move0.0%

3:6

Opening21.00

Current21.00

No move0.0%

6:7

Opening23.00

Current23.00

No move0.0%

2:6

Opening26.00

Current26.00

No move0.0%

5:7

Opening29.00

Current29.00

No move0.0%

1:6

Opening41.00

Current41.00

No move0.0%

0:6

Opening80.50

Current80.50

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceBalanced market context: historical stats by current odds range:

For 6:3 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 4.50-4.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 19.6% / lost 80.4% from 46 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 23.1% / lost 76.9% from 13 settled market-outcome tests.
For 6:2 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 4.70-4.79 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 14.8% / lost 85.2% from 27 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 25.0% / lost 75.0% from 60 settled market-outcome tests.
For 6:1 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 5.50-5.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 20.0% / lost 80.0% from 10 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 11.7% / lost 88.3% from 137 settled market-outcome tests.
For 6:4 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 6.00-6.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 14.3% / lost 85.7% from 14 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 16.7% / lost 83.3% from 24 settled market-outcome tests.
For 6:0 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 11.00-11.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 14.3% / lost 85.7% from 14 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 5.6% / lost 94.4% from 179 settled market-outcome tests.
For 7:5 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 13.00-13.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 6.2% / lost 93.8% from 738 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 13.2% / lost 86.8% from 91 settled market-outcome tests.
For 7:6 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 13.00-13.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 6.2% / lost 93.8% from 738 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 4.9% / lost 95.1% from 41 settled market-outcome tests.
For 4:6 exact score in Correct Set Score in the 15.00-15.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 6.1% / lost 93.9% from 1,891 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 5.5% / lost 94.5% from 343 settled market-outcome tests.
For 3:6 exact score in Correct Set Score 1st Set in the 21.00-21.09 odds range: Recent Hypothetical Picks won 3.2% / lost 96.8% from 157 settled market-outcome tests.
For 6:7 exact score in Correct Set Score 1st Set in the 23.00-23.09 odds range: Recent Hypothetical Picks won 0.8% / lost 99.2% from 132 settled market-outcome tests.
For 2:6 exact score in Correct Set Score 1st Set in the 26.00-26.09 odds range: Recent Hypothetical Picks won 0.0% / lost 100.0% from 10 settled market-outcome tests.
For 5:7 exact score in Correct Set Score 1st Set in the 29.00-29.09 odds range: Recent Hypothetical Picks won 0.0% / lost 100.0% from 10 settled market-outcome tests.
For 1:6 exact score in Correct Set Score 1st Set in the 41.00-41.09 odds range: Recent Hypothetical Picks won 0.0% / lost 100.0% from 22 settled market-outcome tests.

How BTR Win Probability is Calculated

Standard sports statistics are completely blind to real-world context like team motivation, tactical lineup shifts, or irregular lower-league match outcomes.

Our BTR Win Probability uses a double-layered, anomaly-resistant algorithm to cut through market noise and deliver the authentic layout of a match:

Historical Tipster Predictions: We compare today's prices with a proprietary archive of over 1,000,000 settled tipster predictions tracked since 2015, showing how real published picks performed in the same odds range, sport, market, period, and outcome. This matters because very few prediction sites can support their probabilities with such a large transparent record of real historical picks.

Recent Hypothetical Picks: We also backtest recent settled odds markets by treating each available outcome as a hypothetical pick, then checking it against the real result. This shows how similar prices performed in live match conditions, even when no tipster selected that outcome.

BTR Probability Blend: The final percentage balances bookmaker implied probability, historical tipster predictions, recent hypothetical picks, market movement, and bookmaker consensus. This helps reduce blind trust in very short odds while still rewarding prices that have performed well in similar conditions.

By fusing traditional lines with a decade of community conviction, we provide an unfiltered, back-tested projection you can trust.

My pick

L. Giustino vs E. Carrascosa Diaz tennis predictions

Discover community predictions and betting tips for L. Giustino vs E. Carrascosa Diaz in the Itf Men - Singles: M25 Sabadell 2 (Spain), Clay on 23.09.2026. Review high-yield tipster selections, community consensus, and detailed picks for this specific tennis matchup. Combine our community's betting insights with real-time odds, head-to-head stats, and tournament context to build a smarter betting strategy.

Tipster	Profit	Yield
smartbet	1479.85	8.11 %
vitibet	1460.98	7.45 %
vije	1457.49	4.22 %
adibet	1355.62	6.80 %
soccervista	1354.86	6.85 %
theone	1254.25	11.79 %
windrawwin	1137.53	11.30 %
magenta	1126.12	5.79 %
predictz	1043.27	5.52 %
soccerpunter	923.01	6.06 %

L. Giustino vs E. Carrascosa Diaz Predictions

L. Giustino vs E. Carrascosa Diaz Predictions

Winner Full Time Predictions

Winner 1st Set Predictions

AH Games 1st Set Predictions

CS 1st Set Predictions

L. Giustino vs E. Carrascosa Diaz tennis predictions

L. Giustino vs E. Carrascosa Diaz Predictions

L. Giustino vs E. Carrascosa Diaz Predictions

Winner Full Time Predictions

L. Giustino vs E. Carrascosa Diaz tennis predictions

Share this page