Worcester vs Durham Bulls Baseball Predictions, Tips & Picks

baseball / Usa / Il - Second Stage

19.09.2026 20:00

Worcester

3-4

Durham Bulls

Finished

Worcester vs Durham Bulls Predictions

DNB Full + Over Time Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityWorcester

51%

51%49%

1Worcester51%2Durham Bulls49%

Confidence54%Best odds1.88Bookmakers4

Prediction Summary51.0% implied probability from 4 bookmakers

best bookmaker price is 3.6% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.3% from 164,878 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 51.4% from 1,186 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: in Baseball, published picks on 1st team win in Moneyline Full Game Including Extra Innings within the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.1% from 32 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 49.9% from 98,162 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 49.4% from 2,597 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 1st team win in Moneyline Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 32.6% from 141 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Worcester

Opening1.82

Current1.82

No move0.0%

2Durham Bulls

Opening1.89

Current1.89

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Worcester is the market favorite:

For 2nd team win in Moneyline Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 52.6% / lost 47.4% from 19 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 64.1% / lost 35.9% from 170 settled market-outcome tests.

O/U Full + Over Time Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 1257%OpenClose

43%57%

Over1243%Under1257%

Confidence54%Best odds1.59Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary56.9% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 62,010 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 63.1% wins from 252 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 60.1% wins from 64,175 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 58.3% from 2,590 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 57.1% from 483 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over12

Opening2.10

Current2.10

No move0.0%

Under12

Opening1.59

Current1.59

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 12 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 2.10-2.19 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 66.7% / lost 33.3% from 18 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 43.9% / lost 56.1% from 280 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 1058%OpenClose

58%42%

Over1058%Under1042%

Confidence54%Best odds1.55Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary58.3% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.50-1.59 odds range shows 63.0% wins from 62,010 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.1% from 252 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 60.1% wins in the 1.50-1.59 odds range from 64,175 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 58.3% wins in the 1.50-1.59 odds range from 2,590 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 58.5% from 426 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over10

Opening1.55

Current1.55

No move0.0%

Under10

Opening2.17

Current2.17

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 10 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 2.10-2.19 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 60.9% / lost 39.1% from 23 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 39.5% / lost 60.5% from 266 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 10.555%OpenClose

55%45%

Over10.555%Under10.545%

Confidence53%Best odds1.65Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary54.8% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.60-1.69 odds range shows 58.6% wins from 77,233 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.5% from 555 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 56.0% wins in the 1.60-1.69 odds range from 63,976 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 55.6% wins in the 1.60-1.69 odds range from 2,571 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 60.5% from 400 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over10.5

Opening1.65

Current1.65

No move0.0%

Under10.5

Opening2.00

Current2.00

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 10.5 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 31.3% / lost 68.8% from 16 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 45.2% / lost 54.8% from 310 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 12.559%OpenClose

41%59%

Over12.541%Under12.559%

Confidence55%Best odds1.53Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary59.1% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 62,010 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 63.1% wins from 252 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 60.1% wins from 64,175 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 58.3% from 2,590 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 57.1% from 483 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over12.5

Opening2.21

Current2.21

No move0.0%

Under12.5

Opening1.53

Current1.53

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 12.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.20-2.29 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 37.5% / lost 62.5% from 24 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 40.0% / lost 60.0% from 225 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 1364%OpenClose

36%64%

Over1336%Under1364%

Confidence57%Best odds1.41Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary64.1% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.7% from 52,560 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 65.7% wins from 137 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 64.8% wins from 67,006 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 63.1% from 2,006 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 58.0% from 398 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over13

Opening2.52

Current2.52

No move0.0%

Under13

Opening1.41

Current1.41

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 13 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.50-2.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 92.3% / lost 7.7% from 13 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 43.8% / lost 56.3% from 144 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 11.553%OpenClose

47%53%

Over11.547%Under11.553%

Confidence53%Best odds1.79Bookmakers3

Prediction Summary52.8% implied probability from 3 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 117,234 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.70-1.79 odds range returned 54.9% wins from 882 settled picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball tipsters taking Under in Over/Under Total Runs at prices in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 58.8% from 51 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range returned 52.9% wins from 68,193 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 49.2% from 2,252 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 50.0% from 330 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over11.5

Opening1.96

Current1.96

No move0.0%

Under11.5

Opening1.75

Current1.75

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 11.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 1.90-1.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 56.5% / lost 43.5% from 23 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 51.7% / lost 48.3% from 393 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 1151%OpenClose

51%49%

Over1151%Under1149%

Confidence51%Best odds1.79Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary50.6% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.70-1.79 odds range shows 55.4% wins from 117,234 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 54.9% from 882 predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: in Baseball, published picks on Over in Over/Under Total Runs within the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 58.8% from 51 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 52.9% wins in the 1.70-1.79 odds range from 68,193 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 49.2% wins in the 1.70-1.79 odds range from 2,252 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 53.8% from 355 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over11

Opening1.79

Current1.79

No move0.0%

Under11

Opening1.83

Current1.83

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceBalanced market context: historical stats by current odds range:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 1.70-1.79 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 58.8% / lost 41.2% from 51 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 53.8% / lost 46.2% from 355 settled market-outcome tests.
For Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 60.0% / lost 40.0% from 20 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 54.2% / lost 45.8% from 467 settled market-outcome tests.

O/U 1st Inning Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 0.555%OpenClose

55%45%

Over0.555%Under0.545%

Confidence53%Best odds1.63Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary55.5% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.60-1.69 odds range shows 58.6% wins from 77,233 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.5% from 555 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 56.0% wins from 63,976 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 55.6% wins in the 1.60-1.69 odds range from 2,571 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for Over in Over/Under Total Runs 1st Inning, priced by current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range, won 100.0% from 64 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over0.5

Opening1.63

Current1.63

No move0.0%

Under0.5

Opening2.03

Current2.03

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 0.5 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 44.0% / lost 56.0% from 25 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 0.0% / lost 100.0% from 36 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 1.564%OpenClose

36%64%

Over1.536%Under1.564%

Confidence57%Best odds1.41Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary64.1% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.40-1.49 odds range shows 66.7% wins from 52,560 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.7% from 137 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 64.8% wins in the 1.40-1.49 odds range from 67,006 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 63.1% wins in the 1.40-1.49 odds range from 2,006 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows Under in Over/Under Total Runs 1st Inning using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range winning 0.0% from 38 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over1.5

Opening2.52

Current2.52

No move0.0%

Under1.5

Opening1.41

Current1.41

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 1.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs 1st Inning in the 2.50-2.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 91.7% / lost 8.3% from 12 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 100.0% / lost 0.0% from 15 settled market-outcome tests.

O/U 1st 5 Innings Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 6.555%OpenClose

45%55%

Over6.545%Under6.555%

Confidence51%Best odds1.65Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary55.4% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 58.6% from 77,233 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 59.5% wins from 555 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 56.0% wins from 63,976 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 55.6% from 2,571 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs 1st 5 Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 24.3% from 103 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over6.5

Opening2.05

Current2.05

No move0.0%

Under6.5

Opening1.65

Current1.65

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 6.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 44.0% / lost 56.0% from 25 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 82.6% / lost 17.4% from 86 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 5.554%OpenClose

54%46%

Over5.554%Under5.546%

Confidence51%Best odds1.69Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary54.2% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 58.6% from 77,233 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 59.5% wins from 555 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 56.0% wins from 63,976 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 55.6% from 2,571 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Over in Over/Under Total Runs 1st 5 Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 89.0% from 82 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over5.5

Opening1.69

Current1.69

No move0.0%

Under5.5

Opening2.00

Current2.00

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 5.5 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 44.0% / lost 56.0% from 25 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 15.2% / lost 84.8% from 66 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 7.564%OpenClose

36%64%

Over7.536%Under7.564%

Confidence55%Best odds1.44Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary63.5% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.7% from 52,560 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 65.7% wins from 137 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 64.8% wins from 67,006 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 63.1% from 2,006 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs 1st 5 Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 17.7% from 68 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over7.5

Opening2.51

Current2.51

No move0.0%

Under7.5

Opening1.44

Current1.44

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 7.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.50-2.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 92.3% / lost 7.7% from 13 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 70.0% / lost 30.0% from 20 settled market-outcome tests.

AH Full + Over Time Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityWorcester +1.559%OpenClose

59%41%

1Worcester59%2Durham Bulls41%

Confidence56%Best odds1.62Bookmakers3

Prediction Summary59.4% implied probability from 3 bookmakers

best bookmaker price is 4.1% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 62,010 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.1% from 252 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 60.1% from 64,175 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 58.3% from 2,590 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range winning 57.5% from 341 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Worcester

Opening1.56

Current1.56

No move0.0%

2Durham Bulls

Opening2.27

Current2.27

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Worcester +1.5 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.20-2.29 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 39.2% / lost 60.8% from 199 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 42.7% / lost 57.3% from 164 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityWorcester +155%OpenClose

55%45%

1Worcester55%2Durham Bulls45%

Confidence53%Best odds1.63Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary55.5% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 58.6% from 77,233 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.5% from 555 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 56.0% from 63,976 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 55.6% from 2,571 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range winning 57.3% from 276 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Worcester

Opening1.63

Current1.63

No move0.0%

2Durham Bulls

Opening2.03

Current2.03

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Worcester +1 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 36.4% / lost 63.6% from 11 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 46.4% / lost 53.6% from 140 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityDurham Bulls -157%OpenClose

43%57%

1Worcester43%2Durham Bulls57%

Confidence54%Best odds1.59Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary56.9% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 62,010 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.1% from 252 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 60.1% wins from 64,175 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 58.3% from 2,590 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows 2nd team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range winning 68.9% from 241 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Worcester

Opening2.10

Current2.10

No move0.0%

2Durham Bulls

Opening1.59

Current1.59

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Durham Bulls -1 is the market favorite:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.10-2.19 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 41.3% / lost 58.7% from 276 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 31.9% / lost 68.1% from 94 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityDurham Bulls -1.563%OpenClose

37%63%

1Worcester37%2Durham Bulls63%

Confidence56%Best odds1.43Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary63.2% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.7% from 52,560 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.7% from 137 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 64.8% wins from 67,006 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 63.1% from 2,006 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows 2nd team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range winning 75.7% from 288 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Worcester

Opening2.46

Current2.46

No move0.0%

2Durham Bulls

Opening1.43

Current1.43

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Durham Bulls -1.5 is the market favorite:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.40-2.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 46.0% / lost 54.0% from 187 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 25.4% / lost 74.6% from 114 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityWorcester +263%OpenClose

63%37%

1Worcester63%2Durham Bulls37%

Confidence56%Best odds1.43Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary63.2% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.7% from 52,560 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.7% from 137 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 64.8% from 67,006 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 63.1% from 2,006 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range winning 65.0% from 349 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Worcester

Opening1.43

Current1.43

No move0.0%

2Durham Bulls

Opening2.46

Current2.46

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Worcester +2 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.40-2.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 46.0% / lost 54.0% from 187 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 42.9% / lost 57.1% from 126 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityWorcester +2.566%OpenClose

66%34%

1Worcester66%2Durham Bulls34%

Confidence58%Best odds1.37Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary66.0% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 70.9% from 78,463 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 68.8% from 64 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 69.3% from 75,827 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 64.4% from 1,763 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range winning 66.6% from 425 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Worcester

Opening1.37

Current1.37

No move0.0%

2Durham Bulls

Opening2.66

Current2.66

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Worcester +2.5 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.60-2.69 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 41.8% / lost 58.3% from 103 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 45.5% / lost 54.5% from 121 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityWorcester +370%OpenClose

70%30%

1Worcester70%2Durham Bulls30%

Confidence60%Best odds1.28Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary70.4% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range won 75.1% from 77,826 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range won 69.1% from 1,251 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range winning 69.9% from 306 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Worcester

Opening1.28

Current1.28

No move0.0%

2Durham Bulls

Opening3.05

Current3.05

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Worcester +3 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 3.00-3.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 43.6% / lost 56.4% from 55 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 30.0% / lost 70.0% from 70 settled market-outcome tests.

How BTR Win Probability is Calculated

Standard sports statistics are completely blind to real-world context like team motivation, tactical lineup shifts, or irregular lower-league match outcomes.

Our BTR Win Probability uses a double-layered, anomaly-resistant algorithm to cut through market noise and deliver the authentic layout of a match:

Historical Tipster Predictions: We compare today's prices with a proprietary archive of over 1,000,000 settled tipster predictions tracked since 2015, showing how real published picks performed in the same odds range, sport, market, period, and outcome. This matters because very few prediction sites can support their probabilities with such a large transparent record of real historical picks.

Recent Hypothetical Picks: We also backtest recent settled odds markets by treating each available outcome as a hypothetical pick, then checking it against the real result. This shows how similar prices performed in live match conditions, even when no tipster selected that outcome.

BTR Probability Blend: The final percentage balances bookmaker implied probability, historical tipster predictions, recent hypothetical picks, market movement, and bookmaker consensus. This helps reduce blind trust in very short odds while still rewarding prices that have performed well in similar conditions.

By fusing traditional lines with a decade of community conviction, we provide an unfiltered, back-tested projection you can trust.

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