Toledo Mud Hens vs Louisville Bats Baseball Predictions, Tips & Picks

baseball / Usa / Il - Second Stage

19.09.2026 21:05

Toledo Mud Hens

4-1

Louisville Bats

Finished

Toledo Mud Hens vs Louisville Bats Predictions

DNB Full + Over Time Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityToledo Mud Hens

59%

59%41%

1Toledo Mud Hens59%2Louisville Bats41%

Confidence58%Best odds1.63Bookmakers4

Prediction Summary59.0% implied probability from 4 bookmakers

best bookmaker price is 4.0% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.50-1.59 odds range shows 63.0% wins from 62,010 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.1% from 252 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 60.1% from 64,175 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 58.3% wins in the 1.50-1.59 odds range from 2,590 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows 1st team win in Moneyline Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range winning 62.4% from 101 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Toledo Mud Hens

Opening1.57

Current1.57

No move0.0%

2Louisville Bats

Opening2.25

Current2.25

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Toledo Mud Hens is the market favorite:

For 2nd team win in Moneyline in the 2.20-2.29 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 39.2% / lost 60.8% from 199 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 61.7% / lost 38.3% from 47 settled market-outcome tests.

O/U Full + Over Time Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 1056%OpenClose

44%56%

Over1044%Under1056%

Confidence53%Best odds1.61Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary56.3% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.60-1.69 odds range shows 58.6% wins from 77,233 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.5% from 555 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 56.0% wins from 63,976 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 55.6% wins in the 1.60-1.69 odds range from 2,571 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 57.8% from 481 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over10

Opening2.10

Current2.07

Dropped1.4%

Under10

Opening1.59

Current1.61

Drifted1.3%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 10 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 21.4% / lost 78.6% from 14 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 49.0% / lost 51.0% from 312 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 8.557%OpenClose

57%43%

Over8.557%Under8.543%

Confidence55%Best odds1.59Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary56.9% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

odds dropped by 1.2% on average
Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 62,010 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.1% from 252 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 60.1% wins from 64,175 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 58.3% from 2,590 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 58.5% from 426 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over8.5

Opening1.61

Current1.59

Dropped1.2%

Under8.5

Opening2.07

Current2.10

Drifted1.4%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 8.5 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 2.10-2.19 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 60.9% / lost 39.1% from 23 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 39.5% / lost 60.5% from 266 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 10.559%OpenClose

41%59%

Over10.541%Under10.559%

Confidence55%Best odds1.53Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary59.1% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.50-1.59 odds range shows 63.0% wins from 62,010 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.1% from 252 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 60.1% wins from 64,175 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 58.3% wins in the 1.50-1.59 odds range from 2,590 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 57.1% from 483 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over10.5

Opening2.24

Current2.21

Dropped1.3%

Under10.5

Opening1.52

Current1.53

Drifted0.7%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 10.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.20-2.29 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 37.5% / lost 62.5% from 24 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 40.0% / lost 60.0% from 225 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 861%OpenClose

61%39%

Over861%Under839%

Confidence57%Best odds1.48Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary61.2% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

odds dropped by 1.3% on average
Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.7% from 52,560 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.7% from 137 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 64.8% wins from 67,006 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 63.1% from 2,006 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 69.6% from 395 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over8

Opening1.50

Current1.48

Dropped1.3%

Under8

Opening2.28

Current2.33

Drifted2.2%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 8 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.30-2.39 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 66.7% / lost 33.3% from 36 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 38.8% / lost 61.2% from 196 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 1164%OpenClose

36%64%

Over1136%Under1164%

Confidence57%Best odds1.41Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary64.1% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.40-1.49 odds range shows 66.7% wins from 52,560 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.7% from 137 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 64.8% wins from 67,006 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 63.1% wins in the 1.40-1.49 odds range from 2,006 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 58.0% from 398 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over11

Opening2.59

Current2.52

Dropped2.7%

Under11

Opening1.39

Current1.41

Drifted1.4%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 11 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.50-2.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 92.3% / lost 7.7% from 13 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 43.8% / lost 56.3% from 144 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 9.552%OpenClose

48%52%

Over9.548%Under9.552%

Confidence53%Best odds1.82Bookmakers3

Prediction Summary52.4% implied probability from 3 bookmakers

best bookmaker price is 3.0% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.70-1.79 odds range shows 55.4% wins from 117,234 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 54.9% from 882 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball tipsters taking Under in Over/Under Total Runs at prices in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 58.8% from 51 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range returned 52.9% wins from 68,193 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 49.2% wins in the 1.70-1.79 odds range from 2,252 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 50.0% from 330 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over9.5

Opening1.96

Current1.94

Dropped0.9%

Under9.5

Opening1.75

Current1.77

Drifted1.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 9.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 1.90-1.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 56.5% / lost 43.5% from 23 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 51.7% / lost 48.3% from 393 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 952%OpenClose

52%48%

Over952%Under948%

Confidence53%Best odds1.73Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary52.3% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

odds dropped by 1.7% on average
Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 117,234 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 54.9% from 882 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball tipsters taking Over in Over/Under Total Runs at prices in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 58.8% from 51 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range returned 52.9% wins from 68,193 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 49.2% from 2,252 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 53.8% from 355 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over9

Opening1.76

Current1.73

Dropped1.7%

Under9

Opening1.86

Current1.90

Drifted2.2%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 9 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 1.90-1.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 52.0% / lost 48.0% from 25 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 45.2% / lost 54.8% from 367 settled market-outcome tests.

O/U 1st Inning Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 1.569%OpenClose

31%69%

Over1.531%Under1.569%

Confidence59%Best odds1.32Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary68.6% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 70.9% from 78,463 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.30-1.39 odds range returned 68.8% wins from 64 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range returned 69.3% wins from 75,827 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 64.4% from 1,763 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for Under in Over/Under Total Runs 1st Inning, priced by current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range, won 5.2% from 136 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over1.5

Opening2.92

Current2.88

Dropped1.4%

Under1.5

Opening1.31

Current1.32

Drifted0.8%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 1.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.80-2.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 28.3% / lost 71.7% from 53 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 100.0% / lost 0.0% from 21 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 0.551%OpenClose

51%49%

Over0.551%Under0.549%

Confidence52%Best odds1.77Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary51.1% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

odds dropped by 0.6% on average
Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 117,234 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.70-1.79 odds range returned 54.9% wins from 882 settled picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball tipsters taking Over in Over/Under Total Runs 1st Inning at prices in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 54.1% from 37 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range returned 52.9% wins from 68,193 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 49.2% from 2,252 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for Over in Over/Under Total Runs 1st Inning, priced by current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range, won 100.0% from 58 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over0.5

Opening1.78

Current1.77

Dropped0.6%

Under0.5

Opening1.84

Current1.85

Drifted0.5%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 0.5 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs 1st Inning in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 49.2% / lost 50.8% from 61 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 1.2% / lost 98.8% from 83 settled market-outcome tests.

O/U 1st 5 Innings Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 5.556%OpenClose

44%56%

Over5.544%Under5.556%

Confidence59%Best odds1.63Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary56.2% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

odds dropped by 6.9% on average
Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 58.6% from 77,233 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.5% from 555 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 56.0% wins in the 1.60-1.69 odds range from 63,976 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 55.6% from 2,571 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows Under in Over/Under Total Runs 1st 5 Innings using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range winning 24.3% from 103 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over5.5

Opening1.95

Current2.09

Drifted7.2%

Under5.5

Opening1.75

Current1.63

Dropped6.9%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 5.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 44.0% / lost 56.0% from 25 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 82.6% / lost 17.4% from 86 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 4.554%OpenClose

54%46%

Over4.554%Under4.546%

Confidence51%Best odds1.68Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary54.3% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.60-1.69 odds range shows 58.6% wins from 77,233 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 59.5% wins from 555 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 56.0% wins in the 1.60-1.69 odds range from 63,976 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 55.6% from 2,571 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Over in Over/Under Total Runs 1st 5 Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 89.0% from 82 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over4.5

Opening1.68

Current1.68

No move0.0%

Under4.5

Opening2.00

Current2.00

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 4.5 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 44.0% / lost 56.0% from 25 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 15.2% / lost 84.8% from 66 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 3.565%OpenClose

65%35%

Over3.565%Under3.535%

Confidence56%Best odds1.40Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary65.2% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.40-1.49 odds range shows 66.7% wins from 52,560 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 65.7% wins from 137 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 64.8% wins in the 1.40-1.49 odds range from 67,006 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 63.1% from 2,006 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Over in Over/Under Total Runs 1st 5 Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 86.4% from 59 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over3.5

Opening1.40

Current1.40

No move0.0%

Under3.5

Opening2.62

Current2.62

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 3.5 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.60-2.69 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 90.9% / lost 9.1% from 11 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 21.4% / lost 78.6% from 14 settled market-outcome tests.

AH Full + Over Time Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityLouisville Bats -1.557%OpenClose

43%57%

1Toledo Mud Hens43%2Louisville Bats57%

Confidence55%Best odds1.67Bookmakers3

Prediction Summary56.6% implied probability from 3 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 58.6% from 77,233 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 59.5% wins from 555 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 56.0% from 63,976 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 55.6% from 2,571 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows 2nd team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range winning 71.6% from 183 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Toledo Mud Hens

Opening2.13

Current2.13

No move0.0%

2Louisville Bats

Opening1.63

Current1.63

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Louisville Bats -1.5 is the market favorite:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.10-2.19 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 41.3% / lost 58.7% from 276 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 31.9% / lost 68.1% from 94 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityLouisville Bats -262%OpenClose

38%62%

1Toledo Mud Hens38%2Louisville Bats62%

Confidence56%Best odds1.46Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary62.0% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.7% from 52,560 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 65.7% wins from 137 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 64.8% from 67,006 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 63.1% from 2,006 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows 2nd team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range winning 75.7% from 288 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Toledo Mud Hens

Opening2.38

Current2.38

No move0.0%

2Louisville Bats

Opening1.46

Current1.46

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Louisville Bats -2 is the market favorite:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.30-2.39 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 46.5% / lost 53.5% from 228 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 26.5% / lost 73.5% from 102 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityToledo Mud Hens +165%OpenClose

65%35%

1Toledo Mud Hens65%2Louisville Bats35%

Confidence58%Best odds1.40Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary64.6% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

odds dropped by 0.7% on average
Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.7% from 52,560 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 65.7% wins from 137 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 64.8% wins from 67,006 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 63.1% from 2,006 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.0% from 349 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Toledo Mud Hens

Opening1.41

Current1.40

Dropped0.7%

2Louisville Bats

Opening2.52

Current2.56

Drifted1.6%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Toledo Mud Hens +1 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.50-2.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 44.6% / lost 55.4% from 112 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 35.1% / lost 64.9% from 151 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityLouisville Bats -2.565%OpenClose

35%65%

1Toledo Mud Hens35%2Louisville Bats65%

Confidence57%Best odds1.40Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary64.6% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.7% from 52,560 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 65.7% wins from 137 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 64.8% from 67,006 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 63.1% from 2,006 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows 2nd team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range winning 75.7% from 288 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Toledo Mud Hens

Opening2.59

Current2.56

Dropped1.2%

2Louisville Bats

Opening1.39

Current1.40

Drifted0.7%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Louisville Bats -2.5 is the market favorite:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.50-2.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 44.6% / lost 55.4% from 112 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 34.9% / lost 65.1% from 126 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityToledo Mud Hens +1.567%OpenClose

67%33%

1Toledo Mud Hens67%2Louisville Bats33%

Confidence58%Best odds1.34Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary67.5% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 70.9% from 78,463 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.30-1.39 odds range returned 68.8% wins from 64 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range returned 69.3% wins from 75,827 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 64.4% from 1,763 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 66.6% from 425 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Toledo Mud Hens

Opening1.34

Current1.34

No move0.0%

2Louisville Bats

Opening2.78

Current2.78

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Toledo Mud Hens +1.5 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.70-2.79 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 40.5% / lost 59.5% from 84 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 30.3% / lost 69.7% from 109 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityLouisville Bats -370%OpenClose

30%70%

1Toledo Mud Hens30%2Louisville Bats70%

Confidence59%Best odds1.30Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary69.6% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 70.9% from 78,463 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.30-1.39 odds range returned 68.8% wins from 64 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 69.3% from 75,827 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 64.4% from 1,763 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows 2nd team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range winning 78.4% from 431 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Toledo Mud Hens

Opening2.97

Current2.97

No move0.0%

2Louisville Bats

Opening1.30

Current1.30

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Louisville Bats -3 is the market favorite:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.90-2.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 39.6% / lost 60.4% from 53 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 32.9% / lost 67.1% from 70 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityToledo Mud Hens -151%OpenClose

51%49%

1Toledo Mud Hens51%2Louisville Bats49%

Confidence51%Best odds1.78Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary50.8% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

odds dropped by 0.6% on average
Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 117,234 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.70-1.79 odds range returned 54.9% wins from 882 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range returned 52.9% wins from 68,193 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 49.2% from 2,252 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 49.7% from 183 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Toledo Mud Hens

Opening1.79

Current1.78

Dropped0.6%

2Louisville Bats

Opening1.83

Current1.84

Drifted0.5%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Toledo Mud Hens -1 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 51.4% / lost 48.6% from 1,186 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 58.0% / lost 42.0% from 131 settled market-outcome tests.

How BTR Win Probability is Calculated

Standard sports statistics are completely blind to real-world context like team motivation, tactical lineup shifts, or irregular lower-league match outcomes.

Our BTR Win Probability uses a double-layered, anomaly-resistant algorithm to cut through market noise and deliver the authentic layout of a match:

Historical Tipster Predictions: We compare today's prices with a proprietary archive of over 1,000,000 settled tipster predictions tracked since 2015, showing how real published picks performed in the same odds range, sport, market, period, and outcome. This matters because very few prediction sites can support their probabilities with such a large transparent record of real historical picks.

Recent Hypothetical Picks: We also backtest recent settled odds markets by treating each available outcome as a hypothetical pick, then checking it against the real result. This shows how similar prices performed in live match conditions, even when no tipster selected that outcome.

BTR Probability Blend: The final percentage balances bookmaker implied probability, historical tipster predictions, recent hypothetical picks, market movement, and bookmaker consensus. This helps reduce blind trust in very short odds while still rewarding prices that have performed well in similar conditions.

By fusing traditional lines with a decade of community conviction, we provide an unfiltered, back-tested projection you can trust.

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