Sugar Land vs Las Vegas Aviators Baseball Predictions, Tips & Picks

baseball / Usa / Pcl - Second Stage

20.09.2026 00:05

Sugar Land

7-0

Las Vegas Aviators

Finished

Sugar Land vs Las Vegas Aviators Predictions

DNB Full + Over Time Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityLas Vegas Aviators

51%

49%51%

1Sugar Land49%2Las Vegas Aviators51%

Confidence57%Best odds1.88Bookmakers6

Prediction Summary51.1% implied probability from 6 bookmakers

best bookmaker price is 4.0% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.3% from 164,878 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 51.4% from 1,186 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: in Baseball, published picks on 2nd team win in Moneyline Full Game Including Extra Innings within the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 52.6% from 19 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 49.9% wins in the 1.80-1.89 odds range from 98,162 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 49.4% from 2,597 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 2nd team win in Moneyline Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 64.1% from 170 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Sugar Land

Opening1.89

Current1.89

No move0.0%

2Las Vegas Aviators

Opening1.80

Current1.81

Drifted0.3%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Las Vegas Aviators is the market favorite:

For 1st team win in Moneyline Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 53.1% / lost 46.9% from 32 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 32.6% / lost 67.4% from 141 settled market-outcome tests.

O/U Full + Over Time Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 955%OpenClose

45%55%

Over945%Under955%

Confidence53%Best odds1.63Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary55.5% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 58.6% from 77,233 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 59.5% wins from 555 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 56.0% wins from 63,976 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 55.6% from 2,571 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range, won 57.8% from 481 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over9

Opening2.03

Current2.03

No move0.0%

Under9

Opening1.63

Current1.63

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 9 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 21.4% / lost 78.6% from 14 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 49.0% / lost 51.0% from 312 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 7.557%OpenClose

57%43%

Over7.557%Under7.543%

Confidence54%Best odds1.59Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary56.9% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.50-1.59 odds range shows 63.0% wins from 62,010 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.1% from 252 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 60.1% wins from 64,175 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 58.3% wins in the 1.50-1.59 odds range from 2,590 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range, won 58.5% from 426 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over7.5

Opening1.59

Current1.59

No move0.0%

Under7.5

Opening2.10

Current2.10

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 7.5 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 2.10-2.19 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 60.9% / lost 39.1% from 23 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 39.5% / lost 60.5% from 266 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 9.560%OpenClose

40%60%

Over9.540%Under9.560%

Confidence55%Best odds1.52Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary59.6% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 62,010 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 63.1% wins from 252 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 60.1% wins from 64,175 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 58.3% from 2,590 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range, won 57.1% from 483 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over9.5

Opening2.24

Current2.24

No move0.0%

Under9.5

Opening1.52

Current1.52

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 9.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.20-2.29 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 37.5% / lost 62.5% from 24 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 40.0% / lost 60.0% from 225 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 854%OpenClose

54%46%

Over854%Under846%

Confidence52%Best odds1.68Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary53.8% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.60-1.69 odds range shows 58.6% wins from 77,233 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.5% from 555 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 56.0% wins from 63,976 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 55.6% wins in the 1.60-1.69 odds range from 2,571 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range, won 60.5% from 400 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over8

Opening1.68

Current1.68

No move0.0%

Under8

Opening1.96

Current1.96

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 8 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 1.90-1.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 52.0% / lost 48.0% from 25 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 45.2% / lost 54.8% from 367 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 764%OpenClose

64%36%

Over764%Under736%

Confidence57%Best odds1.42Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary63.7% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.40-1.49 odds range shows 66.7% wins from 52,560 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.7% from 137 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 64.8% wins from 67,006 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 63.1% wins in the 1.40-1.49 odds range from 2,006 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range, won 69.6% from 395 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over7

Opening1.42

Current1.42

No move0.0%

Under7

Opening2.49

Current2.49

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 7 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.40-2.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 62.0% / lost 38.0% from 50 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 33.8% / lost 66.2% from 145 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 1064%OpenClose

36%64%

Over1036%Under1064%

Confidence57%Best odds1.42Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary63.7% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.7% from 52,560 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 65.7% wins from 137 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 64.8% wins from 67,006 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 63.1% from 2,006 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range, won 58.0% from 398 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over10

Opening2.49

Current2.49

No move0.0%

Under10

Opening1.42

Current1.42

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 10 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.40-2.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 62.0% / lost 38.0% from 50 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 47.1% / lost 52.9% from 187 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 8.550%OpenClose

50%50%

Over8.550%Under8.550%

Confidence29%Best odds1.91Bookmakers4

Prediction Summary50.0% implied probability from 4 bookmakers

best bookmaker price is 3.5% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.80-1.89 odds range shows 53.3% wins from 164,878 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 51.4% from 1,186 predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball tipsters taking Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings at prices in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 64.3% from 14 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range returned 49.9% wins from 98,162 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 49.4% wins in the 1.80-1.89 odds range from 2,597 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range, won 48.6% from 440 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over8.5

Opening1.85

Current1.85

No move0.0%

Under8.5

Opening1.85

Current1.85

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceBalanced market context: historical stats by current odds range:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 60.0% / lost 40.0% from 20 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 54.2% / lost 45.8% from 467 settled market-outcome tests.
For Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 64.3% / lost 35.7% from 14 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 48.6% / lost 51.4% from 440 settled market-outcome tests.

O/U 1st Inning Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 1.571%OpenClose

29%71%

Over1.529%Under1.571%

Confidence60%Best odds1.27Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary71.2% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 75.1% wins in the 1.20-1.29 odds range from 77,826 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range won 69.1% from 1,251 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs 1st Inning tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range won 4.6% from 109 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over1.5

Opening3.14

Current3.14

No move0.0%

Under1.5

Opening1.27

Current1.27

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 1.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 3.10-3.19 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 26.9% / lost 73.1% from 26 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 100.0% / lost 0.0% from 18 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 0.551%OpenClose

49%51%

Over0.549%Under0.551%

Confidence51%Best odds1.76Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary51.4% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 117,234 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 54.9% from 882 predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive shows Under in Over/Under Total Runs 1st Inning priced in the 1.70-1.79 odds range winning 54.1% from 37 settled tipster picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 52.9% wins in the 1.70-1.79 odds range from 68,193 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 49.2% from 2,252 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs 1st Inning tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 0.0% from 57 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over0.5

Opening1.86

Current1.86

No move0.0%

Under0.5

Opening1.76

Current1.76

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 0.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs 1st Inning in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 52.6% / lost 47.4% from 19 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 98.3% / lost 1.7% from 58 settled market-outcome tests.

O/U 1st 5 Innings Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 3.561%OpenClose

61%39%

Over3.561%Under3.539%

Confidence54%Best odds1.50Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary60.9% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 62,010 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.1% from 252 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 60.1% from 64,175 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 58.3% wins in the 1.50-1.59 odds range from 2,590 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows Over in Over/Under Total Runs 1st 5 Innings using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range winning 86.1% from 79 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over3.5

Opening1.50

Current1.50

No move0.0%

Under3.5

Opening2.34

Current2.34

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 3.5 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.30-2.39 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 66.7% / lost 33.3% from 36 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 15.2% / lost 84.8% from 33 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 5.561%OpenClose

39%61%

Over5.539%Under5.561%

Confidence54%Best odds1.50Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary61.1% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 62,010 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.1% from 252 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 60.1% wins in the 1.50-1.59 odds range from 64,175 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 58.3% from 2,590 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows Under in Over/Under Total Runs 1st 5 Innings using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range winning 27.4% from 95 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over5.5

Opening2.36

Current2.36

No move0.0%

Under5.5

Opening1.50

Current1.50

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 5.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.30-2.39 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 66.7% / lost 33.3% from 36 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 75.0% / lost 25.0% from 36 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 4.551%OpenClose

49%51%

Over4.549%Under4.551%

Confidence49%Best odds1.80Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary50.8% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.3% from 164,878 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 51.4% from 1,186 predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive shows Under in Over/Under Total Runs priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range winning 51.5% from 101 settled tipster picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 49.9% wins in the 1.80-1.89 odds range from 98,162 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 49.4% from 2,597 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows Under in Over/Under Total Runs 1st 5 Innings using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range winning 23.1% from 130 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over4.5

Opening1.86

Current1.86

No move0.0%

Under4.5

Opening1.80

Current1.80

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 4.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 51.5% / lost 48.5% from 101 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 76.5% / lost 23.5% from 119 settled market-outcome tests.

AH Full + Over Time Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilitySugar Land +1.559%OpenClose

59%41%

1Sugar Land59%2Las Vegas Aviators41%

Confidence58%Best odds1.62Bookmakers4

Prediction Summary59.3% implied probability from 4 bookmakers

odds dropped by 0.3% on average
best bookmaker price is 3.7% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.50-1.59 odds range shows 63.0% wins from 62,010 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.1% from 252 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 60.1% wins from 64,175 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 58.3% from 2,590 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 57.5% from 341 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Sugar Land

Opening1.57

Current1.56

Dropped0.3%

2Las Vegas Aviators

Opening2.27

Current2.28

Drifted0.4%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Sugar Land +1.5 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.20-2.29 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 39.2% / lost 60.8% from 199 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 42.7% / lost 57.3% from 164 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilitySugar Land +155%OpenClose

55%45%

1Sugar Land55%2Las Vegas Aviators45%

Confidence54%Best odds1.66Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary54.5% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

odds dropped by 1.2% on average
Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.60-1.69 odds range shows 58.6% wins from 77,233 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.5% from 555 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 56.0% wins from 63,976 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 55.6% from 2,571 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 57.3% from 276 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Sugar Land

Opening1.68

Current1.66

Dropped1.2%

2Las Vegas Aviators

Opening1.96

Current1.99

Drifted1.5%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Sugar Land +1 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 1.90-1.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 47.9% / lost 52.2% from 790 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 42.6% / lost 57.4% from 108 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityLas Vegas Aviators -161%OpenClose

39%61%

1Sugar Land39%2Las Vegas Aviators61%

Confidence55%Best odds1.49Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary60.7% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.7% from 52,560 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.7% from 137 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 64.8% from 67,006 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 63.1% from 2,006 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows 2nd team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range winning 75.7% from 288 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Sugar Land

Opening2.33

Current2.30

Dropped1.3%

2Las Vegas Aviators

Opening1.48

Current1.49

Drifted0.7%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Las Vegas Aviators -1 is the market favorite:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.30-2.39 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 46.5% / lost 53.5% from 228 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 26.5% / lost 73.5% from 102 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilitySugar Land +265%OpenClose

65%35%

1Sugar Land65%2Las Vegas Aviators35%

Confidence58%Best odds1.40Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary64.6% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

odds dropped by 0.7% on average
Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.40-1.49 odds range shows 66.7% wins from 52,560 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.7% from 137 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 64.8% wins from 67,006 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 63.1% from 2,006 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.0% from 349 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Sugar Land

Opening1.41

Current1.40

Dropped0.7%

2Las Vegas Aviators

Opening2.52

Current2.56

Drifted1.6%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Sugar Land +2 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.50-2.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 44.6% / lost 55.4% from 112 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 35.1% / lost 64.9% from 151 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilitySugar Land +2.567%OpenClose

67%33%

1Sugar Land67%2Las Vegas Aviators33%

Confidence59%Best odds1.34Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary67.5% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

odds dropped by 0.7% on average
Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.30-1.39 odds range shows 70.9% wins from 78,463 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 68.8% from 64 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range returned 69.3% wins from 75,827 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 64.4% from 1,763 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 66.6% from 425 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Sugar Land

Opening1.35

Current1.34

Dropped0.7%

2Las Vegas Aviators

Opening2.74

Current2.78

Drifted1.5%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Sugar Land +2.5 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.70-2.79 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 40.5% / lost 59.5% from 84 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 30.3% / lost 69.7% from 109 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityLas Vegas Aviators -1.567%OpenClose

33%67%

1Sugar Land33%2Las Vegas Aviators67%

Confidence58%Best odds1.35Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary67.0% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 70.9% from 78,463 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 68.8% from 64 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 69.3% from 75,827 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 64.4% from 1,763 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows 2nd team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range winning 78.4% from 431 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Sugar Land

Opening2.74

Current2.74

No move0.0%

2Las Vegas Aviators

Opening1.35

Current1.35

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Las Vegas Aviators -1.5 is the market favorite:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.70-2.79 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 40.5% / lost 59.5% from 84 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 23.3% / lost 76.7% from 90 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilitySugar Land +372%OpenClose

72%28%

1Sugar Land72%2Las Vegas Aviators28%

Confidence61%Best odds1.25Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary72.4% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range returned 75.1% wins from 77,826 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range won 69.1% from 1,251 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range won 69.9% from 306 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Sugar Land

Opening1.25

Current1.25

No move0.0%

2Las Vegas Aviators

Opening3.28

Current3.28

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Sugar Land +3 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 3.20-3.29 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 23.7% / lost 76.3% from 38 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 36.2% / lost 63.8% from 58 settled market-outcome tests.

How BTR Win Probability is Calculated

Standard sports statistics are completely blind to real-world context like team motivation, tactical lineup shifts, or irregular lower-league match outcomes.

Our BTR Win Probability uses a double-layered, anomaly-resistant algorithm to cut through market noise and deliver the authentic layout of a match:

Historical Tipster Predictions: We compare today's prices with a proprietary archive of over 1,000,000 settled tipster predictions tracked since 2015, showing how real published picks performed in the same odds range, sport, market, period, and outcome. This matters because very few prediction sites can support their probabilities with such a large transparent record of real historical picks.

Recent Hypothetical Picks: We also backtest recent settled odds markets by treating each available outcome as a hypothetical pick, then checking it against the real result. This shows how similar prices performed in live match conditions, even when no tipster selected that outcome.

BTR Probability Blend: The final percentage balances bookmaker implied probability, historical tipster predictions, recent hypothetical picks, market movement, and bookmaker consensus. This helps reduce blind trust in very short odds while still rewarding prices that have performed well in similar conditions.

By fusing traditional lines with a decade of community conviction, we provide an unfiltered, back-tested projection you can trust.

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