Rakuten Monkeys vs TSG Hawks Baseball Predictions, Tips & Picks

baseball / Taiwan / Cpbl - Second Stage

20.09.2026 09:05

Rakuten Monkeys

10-1

TSG Hawks

Finished

Rakuten Monkeys vs TSG Hawks Predictions

DNB Full + Over Time Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityBalanced Home/Away

51%

51%49%

1Rakuten Monkeys51%2TSG Hawks49%

Confidence59%Best odds1.90Bookmakers9

Prediction Summary50.7% implied probability from 9 bookmakers

best bookmaker price is 4.0% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.3% from 164,878 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 51.4% from 1,186 predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: in Baseball, published picks on 1st team win in Moneyline Full Game Including Extra Innings within the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.1% from 32 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range returned 49.9% wins from 98,162 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 49.4% from 2,597 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 1st team win in Moneyline Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 32.6% from 141 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Rakuten Monkeys

Opening1.79

Current1.83

Drifted2.0%

2TSG Hawks

Opening1.92

Current1.88

Dropped2.1%

Odds Stats by SourceBalanced market context: historical stats by current odds range:

For 1st team win in Moneyline Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 53.1% / lost 46.9% from 32 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 32.6% / lost 67.4% from 141 settled market-outcome tests.
For 2nd team win in Moneyline Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 52.6% / lost 47.4% from 19 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 64.1% / lost 35.9% from 170 settled market-outcome tests.

O/U Full + Over Time Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 8.562%OpenClose

38%62%

Over8.538%Under8.562%

Confidence61%Best odds1.56Bookmakers5

Prediction Summary61.7% implied probability from 5 bookmakers

odds dropped by 0.5% on average
best bookmaker price is 4.7% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.7% from 52,560 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.7% from 137 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 64.8% wins in the 1.40-1.49 odds range from 67,006 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 63.1% from 2,006 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 58.0% from 398 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over8.5

Opening2.41

Current2.40

No move0.0%

Under8.5

Opening1.50

Current1.49

Dropped0.5%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 8.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.40-2.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 62.0% / lost 38.0% from 50 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 47.1% / lost 52.9% from 187 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 7.555%OpenClose

45%55%

Over7.545%Under7.555%

Confidence59%Best odds1.76Bookmakers6

Prediction Summary54.6% implied probability from 6 bookmakers

best bookmaker price is 3.4% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 117,234 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 54.9% from 882 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: in Baseball, published picks on Under in Over/Under Total Runs within the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 58.8% from 51 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 52.9% wins in the 1.70-1.79 odds range from 68,193 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 49.2% from 2,252 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 50.0% from 330 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over7.5

Opening2.04

Current2.05

No move0.0%

Under7.5

Opening1.70

Current1.70

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 7.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 21.4% / lost 78.6% from 14 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 49.0% / lost 51.0% from 312 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 6.556%OpenClose

56%44%

Over6.556%Under6.544%

Confidence56%Best odds1.68Bookmakers4

Prediction Summary56.3% implied probability from 4 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 58.6% from 77,233 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.5% from 555 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 56.0% wins from 63,976 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 55.6% from 2,571 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range winning 60.5% from 400 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over6.5

Opening1.65

Current1.65

No move0.0%

Under6.5

Opening2.13

Current2.13

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 6.5 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 2.10-2.19 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 60.9% / lost 39.1% from 23 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 39.5% / lost 60.5% from 266 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 858%OpenClose

42%58%

Over842%Under858%

Confidence54%Best odds1.64Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary58.1% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 58.6% from 77,233 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.5% from 555 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 56.0% wins in the 1.60-1.69 odds range from 63,976 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 55.6% from 2,571 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 57.8% from 481 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over8

Opening2.24

Current2.24

No move0.0%

Under8

Opening1.61

Current1.61

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 8 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.20-2.29 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 37.5% / lost 62.5% from 24 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 40.0% / lost 60.0% from 225 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 662%OpenClose

62%38%

Over662%Under638%

Confidence55%Best odds1.54Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary61.7% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

odds dropped by 0.6% on average
Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 62,010 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.1% from 252 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 60.1% wins from 64,175 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 58.3% from 2,590 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range winning 58.5% from 426 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over6

Opening1.55

Current1.54

Dropped0.6%

Under6

Opening2.48

Current2.48

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 6 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.40-2.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 62.0% / lost 38.0% from 50 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 33.8% / lost 66.2% from 145 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 5.565%OpenClose

65%35%

Over5.565%Under5.535%

Confidence56%Best odds1.47Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary64.7% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.7% from 52,560 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.7% from 137 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 64.8% wins from 67,006 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 63.1% from 2,006 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range winning 69.6% from 395 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over5.5

Opening1.47

Current1.47

No move0.0%

Under5.5

Opening2.68

Current2.69

Drifted0.4%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 5.5 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.60-2.69 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 90.9% / lost 9.1% from 11 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 24.5% / lost 75.5% from 106 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 751%OpenClose

51%49%

Over751%Under749%

Confidence51%Best odds1.85Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary51.5% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.3% from 164,878 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 51.4% from 1,186 predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: in Baseball, published picks on Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings within the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 64.3% from 14 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range returned 49.9% wins from 98,162 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 49.4% from 2,597 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range winning 48.6% from 440 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over7

Opening1.82

Current1.82

No move0.0%

Under7

Opening1.93

Current1.93

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 7 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 1.90-1.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 52.0% / lost 48.0% from 25 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 45.2% / lost 54.8% from 367 settled market-outcome tests.

AH Full + Over Time Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityRakuten Monkeys +1.564%OpenClose

64%36%

1Rakuten Monkeys64%2TSG Hawks36%

Confidence64%Best odds1.53Bookmakers7

Prediction Summary63.5% implied probability from 7 bookmakers

best bookmaker price is 4.7% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.40-1.49 odds range shows 66.7% wins from 52,560 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.7% from 137 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 64.8% from 67,006 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 63.1% wins in the 1.40-1.49 odds range from 2,006 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range, won 65.0% from 349 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Rakuten Monkeys

Opening1.45

Current1.46

Drifted0.8%

2TSG Hawks

Opening2.59

Current2.55

Dropped1.8%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Rakuten Monkeys +1.5 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.50-2.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 44.6% / lost 55.4% from 112 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 35.1% / lost 64.9% from 151 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityTSG Hawks -1.566%OpenClose

34%66%

1Rakuten Monkeys34%2TSG Hawks66%

Confidence64%Best odds1.44Bookmakers6

Prediction Summary65.9% implied probability from 6 bookmakers

odds dropped by 0.7% on average
Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.7% from 52,560 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.7% from 137 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 64.8% from 67,006 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 63.1% wins in the 1.40-1.49 odds range from 2,006 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 2nd team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 75.7% from 288 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Rakuten Monkeys

Opening2.67

Current2.71

Drifted1.5%

2TSG Hawks

Opening1.41

Current1.40

Dropped0.7%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while TSG Hawks -1.5 is the market favorite:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.70-2.79 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 40.5% / lost 59.5% from 84 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 23.3% / lost 76.7% from 90 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityRakuten Monkeys +158%OpenClose

58%42%

1Rakuten Monkeys58%2TSG Hawks42%

Confidence54%Best odds1.56Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary58.0% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.50-1.59 odds range shows 63.0% wins from 62,010 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.1% from 252 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 60.1% from 64,175 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 58.3% wins in the 1.50-1.59 odds range from 2,590 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range, won 57.5% from 341 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Rakuten Monkeys

Opening1.56

Current1.56

No move0.0%

2TSG Hawks

Opening2.15

Current2.15

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Rakuten Monkeys +1 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.10-2.19 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 41.3% / lost 58.7% from 276 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 50.9% / lost 49.1% from 161 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityTSG Hawks -160%OpenClose

40%60%

1Rakuten Monkeys40%2TSG Hawks60%

Confidence55%Best odds1.50Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary60.3% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 62,010 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.1% from 252 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 60.1% from 64,175 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 58.3% wins in the 1.50-1.59 odds range from 2,590 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 2nd team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 68.9% from 241 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Rakuten Monkeys

Opening2.28

Current2.28

No move0.0%

2TSG Hawks

Opening1.50

Current1.50

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while TSG Hawks -1 is the market favorite:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.20-2.29 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 39.2% / lost 60.8% from 199 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 31.0% / lost 69.0% from 100 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityRakuten Monkeys +269%OpenClose

69%31%

1Rakuten Monkeys69%2TSG Hawks31%

Confidence62%Best odds1.33Bookmakers4

Prediction Summary69.2% implied probability from 4 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.30-1.39 odds range shows 70.9% wins from 78,463 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 68.8% from 64 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 69.3% from 75,827 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 64.4% wins in the 1.30-1.39 odds range from 1,763 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range, won 66.6% from 425 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Rakuten Monkeys

Opening1.32

Current1.32

No move0.0%

2TSG Hawks

Opening2.99

Current2.98

Dropped0.4%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Rakuten Monkeys +2 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.90-2.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 39.6% / lost 60.4% from 53 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 30.2% / lost 69.8% from 106 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityRakuten Monkeys +2.572%OpenClose

72%28%

1Rakuten Monkeys72%2TSG Hawks28%

Confidence63%Best odds1.28Bookmakers4

Prediction Summary72.0% implied probability from 4 bookmakers

Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range won 75.1% from 77,826 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 69.1% wins in the 1.20-1.29 odds range from 1,251 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range, won 69.9% from 306 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Rakuten Monkeys

Opening1.27

Current1.27

No move0.0%

2TSG Hawks

Opening3.31

Current3.28

Dropped0.9%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Rakuten Monkeys +2.5 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 3.20-3.29 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 23.7% / lost 76.3% from 38 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 36.2% / lost 63.8% from 58 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityTSG Hawks -275%OpenClose

25%75%

1Rakuten Monkeys25%2TSG Hawks75%

Confidence62%Best odds1.26Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary74.6% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

odds dropped by 1.6% on average
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range won 75.1% from 77,826 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 69.1% wins in the 1.20-1.29 odds range from 1,251 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 2nd team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range won 87.5% from 305 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Rakuten Monkeys

Opening3.55

Current3.70

Drifted4.2%

2TSG Hawks

Opening1.28

Current1.26

Dropped1.6%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while TSG Hawks -2 is the market favorite:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 3.70-3.79 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 26.3% / lost 73.7% from 10,712 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 11.6% / lost 88.4% from 43 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityTSG Hawks -2.577%OpenClose

23%77%

1Rakuten Monkeys23%2TSG Hawks77%

Confidence63%Best odds1.21Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary76.9% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

odds dropped by 1.6% on average
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range won 75.1% from 77,826 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 69.1% wins in the 1.20-1.29 odds range from 1,251 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 2nd team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range won 87.5% from 305 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Rakuten Monkeys

Opening3.89

Current4.03

Drifted3.6%

2TSG Hawks

Opening1.23

Current1.21

Dropped1.6%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while TSG Hawks -2.5 is the market favorite:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 4.00-4.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 23.6% / lost 76.4% from 8,305 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 7.1% / lost 92.9% from 28 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityRakuten Monkeys +377%OpenClose

77%23%

1Rakuten Monkeys77%2TSG Hawks23%

Confidence63%Best odds1.18Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary76.9% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.10-1.19 odds range won 81.5% from 76,794 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 75.9% wins in the 1.10-1.19 odds range from 780 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.10-1.19 odds range, won 73.0% from 222 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Rakuten Monkeys

Opening1.18

Current1.18

No move0.0%

2TSG Hawks

Opening3.92

Current3.92

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Rakuten Monkeys +3 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 3.90-3.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 23.9% / lost 76.1% from 4,589 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 31.6% / lost 68.4% from 38 settled market-outcome tests.

AH 1st 5 Innings Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityTSG Hawks -0.557%OpenClose

43%57%

1Rakuten Monkeys43%2TSG Hawks57%

Confidence52%Best odds1.62Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary56.8% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 58.6% from 77,233 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.5% from 555 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 56.0% wins from 63,976 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 55.6% wins in the 1.60-1.69 odds range from 2,571 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 2nd team run line cover in Run Line 1st 5 Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 56.9% from 65 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Rakuten Monkeys

Opening2.13

Current2.13

No move0.0%

2TSG Hawks

Opening1.62

Current1.62

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while TSG Hawks -0.5 is the market favorite:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.10-2.19 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 41.3% / lost 58.7% from 276 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 41.2% / lost 58.8% from 34 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityTSG Hawks -1.569%OpenClose

31%69%

1Rakuten Monkeys31%2TSG Hawks69%

Confidence59%Best odds1.34Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary69.1% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

odds dropped by 1.5% on average
Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 70.9% from 78,463 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 68.8% from 64 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range returned 69.3% wins from 75,827 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 64.4% wins in the 1.30-1.39 odds range from 1,763 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 2nd team run line cover in Run Line 1st 5 Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 77.1% from 35 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Rakuten Monkeys

Opening2.90

Current3.00

Drifted3.4%

2TSG Hawks

Opening1.36

Current1.34

Dropped1.5%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while TSG Hawks -1.5 is the market favorite:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 3.00-3.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 43.6% / lost 56.4% from 55 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 21.7% / lost 78.3% from 23 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityRakuten Monkeys +051%OpenClose

51%49%

1Rakuten Monkeys51%2TSG Hawks49%

Confidence51%Best odds1.78Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary50.6% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.70-1.79 odds range shows 55.4% wins from 117,234 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 54.9% from 882 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 52.9% wins in the 1.70-1.79 odds range from 68,193 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 49.2% from 2,252 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows 1st team run line cover in Run Line 1st 5 Innings using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range winning 55.0% from 60 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Rakuten Monkeys

Opening1.78

Current1.78

No move0.0%

2TSG Hawks

Opening1.82

Current1.82

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceBalanced market context: historical stats by current odds range:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 1.70-1.79 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 54.9% / lost 45.1% from 882 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 55.0% / lost 45.0% from 60 settled market-outcome tests.
For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 51.4% / lost 48.6% from 1,186 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 56.3% / lost 43.8% from 64 settled market-outcome tests.

How BTR Win Probability is Calculated

Standard sports statistics are completely blind to real-world context like team motivation, tactical lineup shifts, or irregular lower-league match outcomes.

Our BTR Win Probability uses a double-layered, anomaly-resistant algorithm to cut through market noise and deliver the authentic layout of a match:

Historical Tipster Predictions: We compare today's prices with a proprietary archive of over 1,000,000 settled tipster predictions tracked since 2015, showing how real published picks performed in the same odds range, sport, market, period, and outcome. This matters because very few prediction sites can support their probabilities with such a large transparent record of real historical picks.

Recent Hypothetical Picks: We also backtest recent settled odds markets by treating each available outcome as a hypothetical pick, then checking it against the real result. This shows how similar prices performed in live match conditions, even when no tipster selected that outcome.

BTR Probability Blend: The final percentage balances bookmaker implied probability, historical tipster predictions, recent hypothetical picks, market movement, and bookmaker consensus. This helps reduce blind trust in very short odds while still rewarding prices that have performed well in similar conditions.

By fusing traditional lines with a decade of community conviction, we provide an unfiltered, back-tested projection you can trust.

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