Nashville Sounds vs Memphis Redbirds Baseball Predictions, Tips & Picks

baseball / Usa / Il - Second Stage

19.09.2026 23:35

Nashville Sounds

3-9

Memphis Redbirds

Finished

Nashville Sounds vs Memphis Redbirds Predictions

DNB Full + Over Time Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityNashville Sounds

51%

51%49%

1Nashville Sounds51%2Memphis Redbirds49%

Confidence58%Best odds1.89Bookmakers7

Prediction Summary50.9% implied probability from 7 bookmakers

best bookmaker price is 4.2% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.3% from 164,878 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range returned 51.4% wins from 1,186 settled picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball tipsters taking 1st team win in Moneyline Full Game Including Extra Innings at prices in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.1% from 32 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 49.9% wins in the 1.80-1.89 odds range from 98,162 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 49.4% from 2,597 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 1st team win in Moneyline Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 32.6% from 141 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Nashville Sounds

Opening1.81

Current1.81

No move0.0%

2Memphis Redbirds

Opening1.88

Current1.88

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Nashville Sounds is the market favorite:

For 2nd team win in Moneyline Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 52.6% / lost 47.4% from 19 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 64.1% / lost 35.9% from 170 settled market-outcome tests.

O/U Full + Over Time Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 8.558%OpenClose

58%42%

Over8.558%Under8.542%

Confidence56%Best odds1.60Bookmakers3

Prediction Summary57.9% implied probability from 3 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 62,010 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.1% from 252 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 60.1% from 64,175 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 58.3% from 2,590 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range winning 58.5% from 426 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over8.5

Opening1.57

Current1.57

No move0.0%

Under8.5

Opening2.17

Current2.17

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 8.5 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 2.10-2.19 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 60.9% / lost 39.1% from 23 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 39.5% / lost 60.5% from 266 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 10.558%OpenClose

42%58%

Over10.542%Under10.558%

Confidence55%Best odds1.60Bookmakers3

Prediction Summary57.7% implied probability from 3 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 62,010 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.1% from 252 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 60.1% from 64,175 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 58.3% wins in the 1.50-1.59 odds range from 2,590 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 57.1% from 483 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over10.5

Opening2.15

Current2.15

No move0.0%

Under10.5

Opening1.58

Current1.58

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 10.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 2.10-2.19 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 66.7% / lost 33.3% from 18 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 43.9% / lost 56.1% from 280 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 1055%OpenClose

45%55%

Over1045%Under1055%

Confidence53%Best odds1.65Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary54.8% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 58.6% from 77,233 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.5% from 555 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 56.0% from 63,976 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 55.6% wins in the 1.60-1.69 odds range from 2,571 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 57.8% from 481 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over10

Opening2.00

Current2.00

No move0.0%

Under10

Opening1.65

Current1.65

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 10 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 21.4% / lost 78.6% from 14 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 49.0% / lost 51.0% from 312 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 862%OpenClose

62%38%

Over862%Under838%

Confidence56%Best odds1.45Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary62.4% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.7% from 52,560 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.7% from 137 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 64.8% from 67,006 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 63.1% from 2,006 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range winning 69.6% from 395 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over8

Opening1.45

Current1.45

No move0.0%

Under8

Opening2.41

Current2.41

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 8 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.40-2.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 62.0% / lost 38.0% from 50 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 33.8% / lost 66.2% from 145 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 1163%OpenClose

37%63%

Over1137%Under1163%

Confidence56%Best odds1.44Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary62.8% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.7% from 52,560 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.7% from 137 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 64.8% from 67,006 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 63.1% wins in the 1.40-1.49 odds range from 2,006 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 58.0% from 398 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over11

Opening2.43

Current2.43

No move0.0%

Under11

Opening1.44

Current1.44

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 11 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.40-2.49 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 62.0% / lost 38.0% from 50 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 47.1% / lost 52.9% from 187 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 954%OpenClose

54%46%

Over954%Under946%

Confidence52%Best odds1.69Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary53.6% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 58.6% from 77,233 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.5% from 555 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 56.0% from 63,976 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 55.6% from 2,571 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database shows Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range winning 60.5% from 400 settled outcomes.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over9

Opening1.69

Current1.69

No move0.0%

Under9

Opening1.95

Current1.95

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 9 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 1.90-1.99 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 52.0% / lost 48.0% from 25 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 45.2% / lost 54.8% from 367 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 9.551%OpenClose

49%51%

Over9.549%Under9.551%

Confidence55%Best odds1.87Bookmakers5

Prediction Summary51.1% implied probability from 5 bookmakers

best bookmaker price is 3.7% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 53.3% from 164,878 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 51.4% from 1,186 predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball tipsters taking Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings at prices in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 60.0% from 20 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 49.9% from 98,162 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 49.4% wins in the 1.80-1.89 odds range from 2,597 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.80-1.89 odds range won 54.2% from 467 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over9.5

Opening1.88

Current1.88

No move0.0%

Under9.5

Opening1.80

Current1.80

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 9.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 64.3% / lost 35.7% from 14 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 48.6% / lost 51.4% from 440 settled market-outcome tests.

O/U 1st Inning Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 1.569%OpenClose

31%69%

Over1.531%Under1.569%

Confidence59%Best odds1.32Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary68.6% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.30-1.39 odds range shows 70.9% wins from 78,463 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 68.8% from 64 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range returned 69.3% wins from 75,827 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 64.4% from 1,763 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Under in Over/Under Total Runs 1st Inning tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 5.2% from 136 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over1.5

Opening2.88

Current2.88

No move0.0%

Under1.5

Opening1.32

Current1.32

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 1.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.80-2.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 28.3% / lost 71.7% from 53 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 100.0% / lost 0.0% from 21 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 0.551%OpenClose

51%49%

Over0.551%Under0.549%

Confidence51%Best odds1.77Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary51.1% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 55.4% from 117,234 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: Baseball picks at published odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 54.9% from 882 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: in Baseball, published picks on Over in Over/Under Total Runs 1st Inning within the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 54.1% from 37 settled predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range returned 52.9% wins from 68,193 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 49.2% from 2,252 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, Over in Over/Under Total Runs 1st Inning tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 100.0% from 58 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over0.5

Opening1.77

Current1.77

No move0.0%

Under0.5

Opening1.85

Current1.85

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 0.5 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs 1st Inning in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 49.2% / lost 50.8% from 61 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 1.2% / lost 98.8% from 83 settled market-outcome tests.

O/U 1st 5 Innings Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 5.555%OpenClose

45%55%

Over5.545%Under5.555%

Confidence53%Best odds1.70Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary54.9% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 58.6% from 77,233 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 59.5% wins from 555 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 56.0% from 63,976 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 55.6% from 2,571 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for Under in Over/Under Total Runs 1st 5 Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range, won 24.3% from 103 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over5.5

Opening2.04

Current2.04

No move0.0%

Under5.5

Opening1.68

Current1.68

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 5.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 44.0% / lost 56.0% from 25 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 82.6% / lost 17.4% from 86 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityOver 4.555%OpenClose

55%45%

Over4.555%Under4.545%

Confidence51%Best odds1.66Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary55.1% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 58.6% from 77,233 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.5% from 555 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 56.0% wins in the 1.60-1.69 odds range from 63,976 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 55.6% from 2,571 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for Over in Over/Under Total Runs 1st 5 Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range, won 89.0% from 82 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over4.5

Opening1.66

Current1.66

No move0.0%

Under4.5

Opening2.04

Current2.04

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Over Over 4.5 is the market favorite:

For Under in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 44.0% / lost 56.0% from 25 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 15.2% / lost 84.8% from 66 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityUnder 6.564%OpenClose

36%64%

Over6.536%Under6.564%

Confidence55%Best odds1.42Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary64.4% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.7% from 52,560 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 65.7% wins from 137 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 64.8% from 67,006 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 63.1% from 2,006 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for Under in Over/Under Total Runs 1st 5 Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range, won 17.7% from 68 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

Over6.5

Opening2.57

Current2.57

No move0.0%

Under6.5

Opening1.42

Current1.42

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Under Under 6.5 is the market favorite:

For Over in Over/Under Total Runs in the 2.50-2.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 92.3% / lost 7.7% from 13 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 70.0% / lost 30.0% from 20 settled market-outcome tests.

AH Full + Over Time Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityNashville Sounds +1.560%OpenClose

60%40%

1Nashville Sounds60%2Memphis Redbirds40%

Confidence58%Best odds1.59Bookmakers4

Prediction Summary60.2% implied probability from 4 bookmakers

best bookmaker price is 3.8% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 62,010 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.1% from 252 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 60.1% from 64,175 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 58.3% wins in the 1.50-1.59 odds range from 2,590 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 57.5% from 341 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Nashville Sounds

Opening1.53

Current1.53

No move0.0%

2Memphis Redbirds

Opening2.32

Current2.32

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Nashville Sounds +1.5 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.30-2.39 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 46.5% / lost 53.5% from 228 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 29.8% / lost 70.2% from 151 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityNashville Sounds +156%OpenClose

56%44%

1Nashville Sounds56%2Memphis Redbirds44%

Confidence53%Best odds1.62Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary55.9% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 58.6% from 77,233 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 59.5% from 555 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 56.0% from 63,976 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 55.6% wins in the 1.60-1.69 odds range from 2,571 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 57.3% from 276 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Nashville Sounds

Opening1.62

Current1.62

No move0.0%

2Memphis Redbirds

Opening2.05

Current2.05

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Nashville Sounds +1 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings in the 2.00-2.09 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 36.4% / lost 63.6% from 11 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 46.4% / lost 53.6% from 140 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityMemphis Redbirds -1.564%OpenClose

36%64%

1Nashville Sounds36%2Memphis Redbirds64%

Confidence60%Best odds1.47Bookmakers4

Prediction Summary64.0% implied probability from 4 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 66.7% from 52,560 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.40-1.49 odds range returned 65.7% wins from 137 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 64.8% wins in the 1.40-1.49 odds range from 67,006 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 63.1% from 2,006 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for 2nd team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range, won 75.7% from 288 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Nashville Sounds

Opening2.55

Current2.55

No move0.0%

2Memphis Redbirds

Opening1.43

Current1.43

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Memphis Redbirds -1.5 is the market favorite:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.50-2.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 44.6% / lost 55.4% from 112 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 34.9% / lost 65.1% from 126 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityMemphis Redbirds -158%OpenClose

42%58%

1Nashville Sounds42%2Memphis Redbirds58%

Confidence54%Best odds1.56Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary58.0% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: published picks across all sports priced in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 63.0% from 62,010 settled predictions
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.50-1.59 odds range returned 63.1% wins from 252 settled picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 60.1% wins in the 1.50-1.59 odds range from 64,175 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range won 58.3% from 2,590 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for 2nd team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.50-1.59 odds range, won 68.9% from 241 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Nashville Sounds

Opening2.15

Current2.15

No move0.0%

2Memphis Redbirds

Opening1.56

Current1.56

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Memphis Redbirds -1 is the market favorite:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.10-2.19 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 41.3% / lost 58.7% from 276 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 31.9% / lost 68.1% from 94 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityNashville Sounds +2.568%OpenClose

68%32%

1Nashville Sounds68%2Memphis Redbirds32%

Confidence60%Best odds1.36Bookmakers3

Prediction Summary67.7% implied probability from 3 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 70.9% from 78,463 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 68.8% from 64 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 69.3% from 75,827 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 64.4% wins in the 1.30-1.39 odds range from 1,763 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 66.6% from 425 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Nashville Sounds

Opening1.35

Current1.35

No move0.0%

2Memphis Redbirds

Opening2.82

Current2.82

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Nashville Sounds +2.5 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.80-2.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 28.3% / lost 71.7% from 53 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 37.0% / lost 63.0% from 92 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityNashville Sounds +265%OpenClose

65%35%

1Nashville Sounds65%2Memphis Redbirds35%

Confidence57%Best odds1.39Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary65.1% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 70.9% from 78,463 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 68.8% from 64 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 69.3% from 75,827 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 64.4% wins in the 1.30-1.39 odds range from 1,763 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.30-1.39 odds range won 66.6% from 425 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Nashville Sounds

Opening1.39

Current1.39

No move0.0%

2Memphis Redbirds

Opening2.59

Current2.59

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Nashville Sounds +2 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.50-2.59 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 44.6% / lost 55.4% from 112 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 35.1% / lost 64.9% from 151 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityNashville Sounds +372%OpenClose

72%28%

1Nashville Sounds72%2Memphis Redbirds28%

Confidence61%Best odds1.25Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary72.4% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range won 75.1% from 77,826 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 69.1% wins in the 1.20-1.29 odds range from 1,251 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 1st team run line cover in Run Line Full Game Including Extra Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.20-1.29 odds range won 69.9% from 306 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Nashville Sounds

Opening1.25

Current1.25

No move0.0%

2Memphis Redbirds

Opening3.28

Current3.28

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Nashville Sounds +3 is the market favorite:

For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 3.20-3.29 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 23.7% / lost 76.3% from 38 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 36.2% / lost 63.8% from 58 settled market-outcome tests.

AH 1st 5 Innings Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityMemphis Redbirds -1.566%OpenClose

34%66%

1Nashville Sounds34%2Memphis Redbirds66%

Confidence56%Best odds1.40Bookmakers1

Prediction Summary66.0% implied probability from 1 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.40-1.49 odds range shows 66.7% wins from 52,560 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 65.7% from 137 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the broader match database at current odds shows 64.8% wins in the 1.40-1.49 odds range from 67,006 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: recent Baseball market outcomes priced by current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 63.1% from 2,006 backtests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: in Baseball, 2nd team run line cover in Run Line 1st 5 Innings tested against settled results with current odds in the 1.40-1.49 odds range won 73.2% from 41 outcome checks.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Nashville Sounds

Opening2.72

Current2.72

No move0.0%

2Memphis Redbirds

Opening1.40

Current1.40

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Memphis Redbirds -1.5 is the market favorite:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 2.70-2.79 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 40.5% / lost 59.5% from 84 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 30.0% / lost 70.0% from 20 settled market-outcome tests.

BTR Win ProbabilityNashville Sounds +051%OpenClose

51%49%

1Nashville Sounds51%2Memphis Redbirds49%

Confidence51%Best odds1.78Bookmakers2

Prediction Summary50.6% implied probability from 2 bookmakers

Historical Tipster Predictions: the all-sports archive for the 1.70-1.79 odds range shows 55.4% wins from 117,234 settled tipster picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: settled Baseball tipster picks in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 54.9% from 882 predictions
Recent Hypothetical Picks: across all sports, settled market outcomes tested with current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range won 52.9% from 68,193 backtested outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting at current odds returned 49.2% wins in the 1.70-1.79 odds range from 2,252 settled outcomes
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for 1st team run line cover in Run Line 1st 5 Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.70-1.79 odds range, won 55.0% from 60 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Nashville Sounds

Opening1.78

Current1.78

No move0.0%

2Memphis Redbirds

Opening1.82

Current1.82

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceBalanced market context: historical stats by current odds range:

For 1st team run line cover in Run Line in the 1.70-1.79 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 54.9% / lost 45.1% from 882 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 55.0% / lost 45.0% from 60 settled market-outcome tests.
For 2nd team run line cover in Run Line in the 1.80-1.89 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 51.4% / lost 48.6% from 1,186 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 56.3% / lost 43.8% from 64 settled market-outcome tests.

How BTR Win Probability is Calculated

Standard sports statistics are completely blind to real-world context like team motivation, tactical lineup shifts, or irregular lower-league match outcomes.

Our BTR Win Probability uses a double-layered, anomaly-resistant algorithm to cut through market noise and deliver the authentic layout of a match:

Historical Tipster Predictions: We compare today's prices with a proprietary archive of over 1,000,000 settled tipster predictions tracked since 2015, showing how real published picks performed in the same odds range, sport, market, period, and outcome. This matters because very few prediction sites can support their probabilities with such a large transparent record of real historical picks.

Recent Hypothetical Picks: We also backtest recent settled odds markets by treating each available outcome as a hypothetical pick, then checking it against the real result. This shows how similar prices performed in live match conditions, even when no tipster selected that outcome.

BTR Probability Blend: The final percentage balances bookmaker implied probability, historical tipster predictions, recent hypothetical picks, market movement, and bookmaker consensus. This helps reduce blind trust in very short odds while still rewarding prices that have performed well in similar conditions.

By fusing traditional lines with a decade of community conviction, we provide an unfiltered, back-tested projection you can trust.

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