Fubon Guardians vs Rakuten Monkeys Baseball Predictions, Tips & Picks

baseball / Taiwan / Cpbl - Second Stage

18.09.2026 10:35

Fubon Guardians

2-1

Rakuten Monkeys

Finished

Fubon Guardians vs Rakuten Monkeys Predictions

DNB Full + Over Time Predictions

BTR Win ProbabilityRakuten Monkeys

56%

44%56%

1Fubon Guardians44%2Rakuten Monkeys56%

Confidence64%Best odds1.71Bookmakers9

Prediction Summary56.3% implied probability from 9 bookmakers

best bookmaker price is 3.5% above the market average
Historical Tipster Predictions: across every sport, tipster picks in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 58.6% from 77,233 settled records
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive priced in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 59.5% wins from 555 settled picks
Historical Tipster Predictions: the Baseball archive shows 2nd team win in Moneyline Full Game Including Extra Innings priced in the 1.60-1.69 odds range winning 61.9% from 21 settled tipster picks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: all-sports backtesting using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range returned 56.0% wins from 63,976 settled market tests
Recent Hypothetical Picks: the Baseball match database using current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range won 55.6% from 2,571 settled outcome checks
Recent Hypothetical Picks: Baseball backtesting for 2nd team win in Moneyline Full Game Including Extra Innings, priced by current odds in the 1.60-1.69 odds range, won 46.4% from 110 settled market tests.

Opening Odds vs Current Odds

1Fubon Guardians

Opening2.14

Current2.13

Dropped0.4%

2Rakuten Monkeys

Opening1.65

Current1.65

No move0.0%

Odds Stats by SourceNon-favorite outcomes while Rakuten Monkeys is the market favorite:

For 1st team win in Moneyline in the 2.10-2.19 odds range: Historical Tipster Predictions won 41.3% / lost 58.7% from 276 real archived picks; Recent Hypothetical Picks won 47.4% / lost 52.6% from 78 settled market-outcome tests.

How BTR Win Probability is Calculated

Standard sports statistics are completely blind to real-world context like team motivation, tactical lineup shifts, or irregular lower-league match outcomes.

Our BTR Win Probability uses a double-layered, anomaly-resistant algorithm to cut through market noise and deliver the authentic layout of a match:

Historical Tipster Predictions: We compare today's prices with a proprietary archive of over 1,000,000 settled tipster predictions tracked since 2015, showing how real published picks performed in the same odds range, sport, market, period, and outcome. This matters because very few prediction sites can support their probabilities with such a large transparent record of real historical picks.

Recent Hypothetical Picks: We also backtest recent settled odds markets by treating each available outcome as a hypothetical pick, then checking it against the real result. This shows how similar prices performed in live match conditions, even when no tipster selected that outcome.

BTR Probability Blend: The final percentage balances bookmaker implied probability, historical tipster predictions, recent hypothetical picks, market movement, and bookmaker consensus. This helps reduce blind trust in very short odds while still rewarding prices that have performed well in similar conditions.

By fusing traditional lines with a decade of community conviction, we provide an unfiltered, back-tested projection you can trust.

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