Utenis vs Suduva prediction (Over/Under)

Suduva was victorious against FK Liepaja in Eurpoa League winning the first leg with 2-0 but losing the second one with 1-0. Now Suduva will play in the semi-finals and they are at just 2 stages away to reach their goals. That will help them in this match but most of the players will feel the pressure of that match and Utenis can take advantage of that. Suduva won the last 7 matches played against Utenis and all those matches had 3 goals at least. Now I can't decide what to pick: money line 2 or over 2.5 goals. I hope I made the right decision picking over 2.5 goals because I think that Utenis will score at leas one goal as well.