Spain vs Italy prediction (Over/Under)

These two teams are tied on the first place with the same ammount of points by 18. The other teams in this group are very weak trailling seven points behind and the winner of this game for sure will win the first place. Spain have recorded four overs 3.5 goals in their last six matches. Spain recorded 13 overs 1.5 goals in a row before this match. On the other side Italy have recorded four straight overs 2.5 goals. Italy recorded 12 overs 1.5 goals in their last 13 matches. Head-to-head the last three encounters have seen over 1.5 goals. My pick is over 1.5 goals.