Sagan Tosu vs Montedio Yamagata prediction (Over/Under)

In the 4th round of the Japan Emperors Cup is scheduled on Best Amenity Stadium the match between Sagan Tosu and Montedio Yamagata. Both teams evolve in J1 league, so Sagan Tosu is on 13th place with 19 points and Montedio Yamagata is on last place with 10 points. Not many goals scored by this two teams, hosts have 15 goals scored in 16 rounds played in J1 league and guests have scored 10 goals in 16 matches. Only two goals have been scored in last 5 matches played on own ground by Sagan Tosu, with under 1.5 goals in each of those games. Sagan Tosu is undefeated in last 3 matches played on own ground in front of Montedio Yamagata, hosts have two wins with 1-0 and a 0-0 result but in each game was scored under 1.5 goals in match. Both teams want to advance in the next round of the competition and i expect both sides to focus on defense and the match to be decided by under 1.5 goals.