Monaco vs Manchester City prediction (Over/Under)

Monaco will host Manchester City in the second leg match of Champions league last 16 phase. In their first game we have seen 8 goals in total. Manchester City won 5-3 so they are very close to qualify for the next stage. This time I expect different game than their first game played in Manchester. I think this time there will not be so many goals scored. Odds on over has raised a lot and now we could find under 3.5 goals at odds around 1.85 and this looks value to me. Manchester City is very good defensively, they had a clean sheet in last 3 matches and also in 7 of last 10 matches. Their defense has not performed so well in their first game against Monaco when they made some huge mistakes, but they could surely play much better than that and I think this time they will not allow Monaco to play in their style. Slower tempo in this game will surely more fit to them, so I will take under 3.5 here. Here is possible line ups Monaco: Subašić - Mendy, Raggi, Jemerson, Sidibe - Lemar, Fabinho, Bakayoko, Silva - Falcao, Mbappe Manchester City: Caballero - Fernandinho, Otamendi, Stones, Sagna - Toure - Sterling, Silva, De Bruyne, Sane - Agüero