Lorca Deportiva vs La Hoya Lorca prediction (Over/Under)

First there is a difference in quality between the teams; La Hoya Lorca play in a higher division, you have better players, and in my opinion is favorite and is able to win the game. But on the road they are somewhat unstable and generally concede goals. While Lorca Deportiva had a exellent last season and played in play offs for promotion but failed to promoting and again are in the same division last season. The odds for La hoya fell a lot and does not have much value now for a game on the road, but considering that they in a position to win the game, perhaps scoring more than one goal and on the other hand their defense is unstable and probably grant a goal to any less; has a good value Over 1.5, My only fear is the unstable defense of La hoya on the road, they can win with a more than goal difference, the same way they can win 2-1 or 1-1 or 2-2 tie in and comparing the odds, over 1.5 this better.