Fiorentina vs Belenenses (Asian Handicap) prediction

Fiorentina will host Belenenses in the match of the last round of Group I Europa League. This is match which will decide which of these two teams will go into the next phase of this competition. For Fiorentina draw would be enough for that, while Belenenses need a win. Fiorentina won easily in their previous duel in Portugal with 4-0 so I think they should not have problems in this match too as they now playing at home, so I expect another easy win for them. They are in very good shape, they are unbeaten in their last 8 games, while this weekend they easily beat Udinese with 3-0 in the national championship. Belenenses on the other side playing very por lately. They have only one win in their last 7 games, of which they lost 5, and failed to score a goal at  5 of these 7 games. Their chances for next phase are very small, they need a win in this game under the condition that Lech not win against Basel., and chances for that are not so big. So I think they are not very confident about this match, and I expect that Fiorentina will cover -1.5 handicap. Here is possible line ups Fiorentina: Sepe; Tomovic, Astori, Gonzalo Rodriguez; Bernardeschi, Vecino, Badelj, Alonso; Ilicic, Borja Valero; Kalinic Belenenses: Ventura; Andre Geraldes, Tonel, Brandao, Filipe Ferreira; Ruben Pinto, Ricardo Dias; Fabio Sturgeon, Tiago Silva, Kuca; Leal