Sol de America vs Guarani prediction (Over/Under)

I am wacking my head on the proper bet here and I hope this is the right one. Sol de America welcomes Guarani in the 19´th round of the Paraguayan Clausura. Ther are still a few rounds left and the things are not yet decided for the two teams. Both have something to play for as Sol de America needs to secure te Copa Sud Americana competition while Guarani chases the Copa Libertadores place but also the title. Guarani is the favorite today as their form has ben great lately but the hosts will not give up. They have a great season so far and as they beat Guarani already this season they could do it again. Out of the last 10 matches played ther are 4 wins for Sol and 6 for Guarani. There was only 1 draw in their last 24 mutual matches. Guarani is the favorite today and will probably win it but I will go for goals as that was the common factor in recent matches. Sol de America has 3-2-4 at home and 15:13 goal difference. They score at least 1 goal in 8 of their 9 home matches and have the best scorer in the league - Salcedo with 17 goals so far. On the other hand Guarani has the second best league scorer - Fernandez with 13 goals so far. He has been in great form lately and scored 4 goals in the last 4 matches. Fernandez was rested in first half against Nacional but he was not neccesarry as Guarani won by 4:0. There were not that many chances created but Guarani scored 2 from set pieces and had no problems running the the flanks and insert the killer pass. We could say Guarani was very clinical. Guarani ha been scoring for fun lately and look like the Guarani we all know. They scored an incredible 24 goals in the last 7 matches but have also conceded 11. The hosts will probably field this lineup:" Gerardo Ortiz, Raul Caceres, Arnaldo Recalde, Diego Arrúa and Walter Lopez; Claudio Garay, Domingo Salcedo, Carlos Florenciáñez and Lorenzo Frutos; Cesar Villagra and Santiago Salcedo" Guarani will play with:" Alfredo Aguilar; Luis De La Cruz, Juan Patino, Julio Cesar Caceres and Thomas Bartomeus; Marcelo Palau, Jorge Mendoza, Juan Aguilar and Alberto Contreras; Fernando Caceres and Alex Fernandez". For a goal more is the bet.