Philadelphia vs San Diego prediction

Philadelphia Phillies will send to the mound Charile Morton (0-1 with a 14.73 ERA), who had big problems in his first start of the season, in which he gave up 5 hits and 6 runs, while walking two over 3 2/3 innings in a 6-10 loss in Cincinnati last Thursday.Morton, however, went 2-1 with a 3.19 ERA in five starts against the Padres over the last three years, posting a 2.08 ERA in the last two of them in  2015.San Diego will count on Robbie Erlin (1-0 with a 0.00 ERA), who pitched 3 2/3 solid innings against Colorado Rockies on April 8 (13-6).Erlin has gone 1-0 with a 2.19 ERA in two career starts versus Philadelphia.The Phillies were limited to three or fewer runs in five of their previous seven games, while the Padres - in four of their seven games in 2016.I expect less than nine runs in that game.