Panathinaikos vs Crvena Zvezda prediction

Panathinaikos will face Crvena Zvezda in the match of the 3^rd round of group E Top 16 phase of Euroleague. I see nice value on home side here. Different in quality between this two teams is huge.  Crvena Zvezda started this phase very ambitious, but after they gamble 15 points lead against Fenerbahce in first round, they fall mentally, then they lost derby in national championship against Cedevita, while in second round of Euroleague they were demolished by Efes losing by 23 points. They beat Olimpija  this weekend in national championship, but I still think they are not ready for match like this. Panathinaikos on other side have one win and lose so far in Euroleague. They beat Unicaja and lost from Fenerbahce.   We know that it is very tough to beat them in Athens as they lost only once in last 15 home matches.  I think they will be dominant in center positions where they are much stronger than Crvena zvezda with players like Kuzmic and Raduljica, while on other side Crvena Zvezda have only good Zirbes, but not any good player to replace him. I think this will be easy win for home team and I think Panathinaikos wil cover -8.5 handicap.