Ostersunds vs Falkenbergs (Asian Handicap) prediction

Ostersunds is typically home team in Sweden. 22 of 30 points came at home games and they are 5th best team for home performances and I believe they will pass Elfsborg and take 4th position. Their road record is awful, just got only 8 points and the only road victory was against Falkenbergs. They may look bad form for last 3 games but home game was against best team in league, Norrkoping while 2 road matches were against solid teams. They are 7-1-4 at home games and 4 losses were agianst 1-2-3-6th teams in league. They haven't concede a goal against teams who are ranking 7th or below on standings. They start very fast to home games, scored 4 goals in 15 minutes and they do really good job keeping score. They have great chance to compensate recent bad results. On the other side, Falkenbers are about to go lower division. They got only 1 point in last 10 games, scored 5-conceded 28 goals. Their only road victory was against second worst team in league and they conceded at least 2 goals on road in 9 of 11 games. Moreover, they conceded 9 goals in first 15 minutes. Overall, Falkenbers are really bad on road and concede very early goals while OStersunds strong home team and they are fast starters. Ostersunds wants to go far away from relegation zone and they can beat more than 1 goal difference.