Milan vs Sampdoria prediction (Over/Under)

Milan will host Sampdoria in the match of the 14^th round of Italian Serie A. Milan is favorite in this match, but I think that betting on goals should be safer option here. Both teams playing more defensive football. In last 4 Milan matches was under 1.5 goals, while on other side in last 4 Sampdoria matches was under 2.5 goals. Also if we take a look on their head to head matches we can see that in 5 of their last 6 matches was under 2.5 goals. So even that both teams playing in formation with 3 strikers, they looks more defensive oriented, while they struggle to score goals, so I think there will no be many goals in this game, and under 2.5 goals looks value to me.