Crvena Zvezda vs Floriana (Asian Handicap) prediction

Serbian team Crvena Zvezda was the leader of normal season. However, they became second after Championship group. They also reached National Cup Final, but lost to their biggest rival Partizan 1-0. Elsewhere, their home record was very impressive. They lost only once in 19 , to league Champion Partizan, scored 49 goals which is more than 2.2 goal average. Crvena Zvezda is very strong at home with Plavsic and Boakye. If they would played this game in normal season, i would go -4 handicap. But my only concern is , it is very hot weather and very early season. They played Champions League qualifications last year when eliminated by Bulgarian Ludogorets 2-2 and 2-4. Later, Ludogorets got impressive results at CL. On the other side, it is not even comparable their team worth when we consider 600k€ for Malta attender.They consist of mostly amateur players. Their last European experience finished after 4-0 8-0 defeats to Swedish team. I expect that Serbian team will get good result to secure before second leg.