Carreno-Busta P. vs Istomin D. prediction

Carreno-Busta P. vs Istomin D. - Prediction Carreno-Busta P. vs Istomin D.

Prediction: 2 AH +4.5 Games
Tipster: damir
Stake: 15
Odds: 1.77
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Date: 19.04.2016
Time: 10:00 (UTC+0)
League: Barcelona International
Category: Tennis Prediction Tennis Prediction
Result: won
Result: 7-5 7-5
Profit: +11.55
Published: 18 April 2016 - 13:38 (UTC+0)
Preview: The Tennis game featuring Carreno-Busta P. versus Istomin D. is scheduled for 19.04.2016 in the Barcelona held in International. Our expert tipster, damir, has provided a betting prediction: a win for Istomin D. with an Asian Handicap of +4.5 Games in the Full Time. He is placing a 15 bet at 1.77 odds with Pinnacle. Based on this Asian Handicap prediction in Tennis, damir could potentially earn a profit of 11.55.

It seems to me %51 Busta - %49 Istomin. But there is a huge difference in odds, Busta looks 1.22 and Istomin looks around more than 4.50. I will also try Istomin ML with 4.60 odds on Pinnacle.
Busta is ranking 49 while Istomin in ranking 73rd. I accept that Istomin is in a bad run and got 3 victories in last 10. But He has beaten Coric number 41 in Miami.  Busta and Istomin did match 11 days ago that Busta won the match 6-3 7-6.
Busta looks fine on his clay statistics but almost all of his opponents were out of Top-100.
Istomin who priced up 4.00-5.00 odds range on clay court is 1-9. But look at his opponents ; Kyrgios , Belluci, Philipp Kohlschreiber ( 2 times) , Seppi, Davydenko... As you can notice, all this players are in Top-40 position.
They both participated Barcelona 5 times and they both had only 1 victory. Busta may win the match but I believe that Istomin will fight hard and stay in this handicap.


Tip: a win for Istomin D. with an Asian Handicap of +4.5 Games in the Full Time


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