Australia vs Iraq (European Handicap) prediction

This will be the first match from World Cup, Asia, a match between Australia and Iraq. The home team will fight for the first two places and will try to qualify directly to the final tournament. This team qualified at the last World Cup from the second place under Japan, the winner of the Group B. Iraq was in the same group as Australia but they finished on the last place. Japan is another country that will fight for the first place and I think that is the favorite team to end as the leader. At the last tournament Australia won on home with 1-0 and away with 1-2. This tournament will be probably the same: will be a draw until 10 or 20 min to the end of the match and Australia will score taking a precious victory. I will choose -1 European Handicap x because Australia will win with just one goal in their advantage.