North Queensland Cowboys vs Sydney Roosters prediction

I expect this to be a closer match than the bookmakers are predicting, North Queensland Cowboys this season have won 3 matches and lost 5, they have won 2 and lost 2 at home averaging 26.2 points and conceded 20.0, they have won 3 of the last 5 head to heads against the Sydney Roosters and with a 15.5 points handicap lead can take this, Sydney Roosters have won 5 matches and lost 3 this season, winning 2 and losing 2 away averaging 35.0 points and conceded 13.2,