Nautico vs Joinville prediction

It's 6th round in Brazilian Serie B where Nautico will host Joinville at their home and will seeking to exploit in maximum their ground advantage to keep all 3 points at their home. Nautico in this new season have this form in first 5 matches (2W 1D 2L) and holds 9th place with 7 points. Joinville in this new season have this record (1W 3D 1L) and holds 13th place with 6 points. 4 of last 5 matches for Joinville have seen under 2.5 goals while for Nautico have seen 3 from last 5 matches in the league. I think we will see a match with less goals at least under 2.5 goals. I expect a tight match especially in first half but in second half I think Nautico will win this match. My pick for this match HT/FT X/1 at odds 4.50 with Bet365.