Cecchinato Marco vs Gerald Melzer prediction

Weird odds for me cause I don't find reasons why Melzer should be favorite here.He only played two matches this season lost on first Australian open round then second match was on Davis Cup on clay surface where he beat Ivashka who is not even clay surface player.Cecchinato is main surface clay and currently have 1/3 balance but this can't indicate he is on bad form.. cause obviously he is not hard court player.So both players like to play on clay and they showing strongest game there, so none of them have big advtange here and this should be tight game so odds obviously to high on Cecchinato win.