CRB vs Joinville (Asian Handicap) prediction

I don't understand why the odds for CRB are rising. Maybe it's because of absences; as the striker Ze Carlos. But in my opinion it has no reason for this to happen considering the quality of both teams! CRB won the last game on the road against Vasco. CRB still have mathematical chances of promotion, have the second best attack in the league and if we analyze the recent bad results of the team, were in specific situations where the team was destabilized after receiving a red card for example. Joinville continues in the relegation zone, won the last game at home against Parana 1-0 and Parana received a red card in the first half. The team has the worst attack in the league with only 19 goals scored, and has some absences for the game, as striker Fernando Viana. Other players did not travel with the team because of coach's decision; Everton Silva, Fabiano Eller, Paulinho Dias, Bertotto and Bruno Ribeiro. OK! Defense CRB is very unstable. But against a weak attack that will still have absences; I do not see many reasons for concern. Even as CRB has an excellent attack, and if grant any goal; It has the quality to score more and reverse any adversity on the scoreboard in this type of situation. Joinville has only 2 wins in the last 12 games on the road. But the two wins were in regional derbys, then the factor on road is virtually nil. It has a draw by 1-1 against Atletico Goianiense , Fernando Viana scored a goal in the last minute of the game! and 9 losses are on road, considering only the last 12 games! This is a decisive match for CRB, any draw is very bad for the ambitions of the team and they certainly play focused to add 3 more points and continue with chances of promotion. We will protect half stake in the event of a tie, it would be a big surprise because Joinville is very weak. But the fact of fighting against relegation, may be incentive for them to play as Final and defend most of the time.