Paire B. vs Fritz T. prediction

There's no doubt that Paire is better player, but his problem is head and motivation. His offansive repertoire is amazing, but he often don't use it in right way. He is on score 8-7 this year, but except loss vs De Minaur on the start of the season other losses were from players which are currently a lot better than Fritz. He is having four defeats in a row and I think that five is too much and bad end must stop somewhere. Fritz loves fast surface, but as I wrote in last analysis, surface in Indian Wells is a little bit slower and Paire is sligthly better on slower surfaces than Fritz who is avoiding that kind of tournaments. The odds on Paire should be around 1,6 and this 2,14 have value. My prediction is Paire to win. Good luck